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Roma vs Viktoria Plzen Prediction: 23.10.2025 UEFA Europa League Preview

21.10.2025, 16:19

As the UEFA Europa League league phase unfolds, Roma face Viktoria Plzen at Brann Stadion in Bergen—an unusual venue choice sure to add intrigue to an already significant group-stage clash. Both sides have reason to see this fixture as pivotal: Roma look to rebound after a mixed run of results, while Viktoria Plzen, fresh from spirited recent performances, are eager to maintain momentum against more illustrious opposition. Under Gasperini and Hysky, expect a strategic duel marked by contrasts in attacking intent and defensive discipline.

Keep an eye on Roma’s Matias Soule, whose dynamism and creativity have been central to much of Roma’s attacking play, and Viktoria Plzen’s Rafiu Durosinmi, who remarkably netted four goals in his last five appearances—his finishing ability might be the wild card that tilts the balance.

Hot stat: Viktoria Plzen’s offensive edge has seen them notch eight goals in their last five matches, compared to Roma’s six, with Durosinmi leading the surge.

15:00Finished23.10.2025
1RomaItaly
2Viktoria PlzenCzech Republic
🏆 Tournament: UEFA Europa League 2025/26 – League Phase
🏟 Venue: Brann Stadion, Bergen
🗓️ Date: 23.10.2025
⏰ Time: 22:00 CEST

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Roma vs Viktoria Plzen prediction

The bookmakers rightly favour Roma, with the Giallorossi boasting a 67% win rate over the past 30 days and quality in depth across the park. Under Gasperini, Roma’s structured 3-4-2-1 system thrives on ball retention and advances through the thirds, and against a Viktoria Plzen side conceding more fouls and yellow cards, control in midfield could prove decisive. However, Plzen’s 3-5-2 approach gives them numbers going forward, and Durosinmi’s scoring run cannot be ignored.

Roma’s discipline and clean build-up (88% pass accuracy in their last five matches) will likely stifle Plzen’s high-press, high-turnover approach. Still, Plzen’s directness and willingness to shoot on sight (76 total shots in five matches) create the prospect of goals at both ends. Expect Roma’s defence to be tested, but their elegance in transition and overall squad quality should see them edge this contest. For best value, Asian Handicap Roma -1 looks appealing—covering both the straight win and a likely two-goal margin.

In terms of style, expect Roma’s measured possession (1988 accurate passes in five games) to limit counterattacks, while Plzen’s physicality (14 yellows, 73 total fouls) may disrupt the rhythm leading to set-piece chances. Both sides have the tools to hit the scoreboard, but Roma’s greater midfield control and attacking variance—Soule, Dybala (if fit), Pellegrini—should lead the way.

🔥Hot Tip: Asian Handicap Roma -1
⚽Total Goals: Over 2.5
💥Both Teams To Score: Yes
🎯Total Corners: Over 9.5

Team Analysis

Roma: Roma’s recent form shows resilience and flair in equal measure. Although a narrow 0-1 defeat to Inter was a setback, prior wins—including a strong 2-1 over Fiorentina and 2-0 against Verona—underscore Gasperini’s ability to rotate and get results. Soule has seized his moment with two vital goals in five matches, while Cristante’s metronomic presence in midfield has provided steadiness. Defensive solidity remains—Mancini and NDicka combining for 16 interceptions in five games—yet lapses can cost, as shown against Inter and Lille. The return to their favoured 3-4-2-1 promises width and support from wingbacks, and if Dybala returns fully fit, creativity should blossom in the attacking third.

14:45Finished18.10.2025
0RomaItaly
1InterItaly

Viktoria Plzen: The Czech side have rallied impressively, unbeaten in their last four (W2 D2), including a fine 3-0 dismantling of Malmo and a solid 1-0 win over Bohemians. Durosinmi is in imperious touch, ably supported by Prince Adu and Vydra, while Valenta and Cerv ensure midfield industry. However, Plzen’s defensive discipline is suspect—three defenders with multiple bookings in the last five games and a red card for Doski signal there’s a gung-ho element to Hysky’s approach. Their direct 3-5-2 can trouble Roma if allowed space, but they’ll need to ensure discipline and resist the urge to press recklessly against Roma’s patient build-up.

09:00Finished18.10.2025
0Bohemians 1905Czech Republic
1Viktoria PlzenCzech Republic

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

Statistic Roma Viktoria Plzen
Goals 6 8
Total shots 65 76
Free kicks 88 73
Corner kicks 27 23
Total fouls 51 36
Pass accuracy (%) 88 82
Interceptions 51 36
Offsides 6 7

🚨Read our full Roma vs Viktoria Plzen stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Roma the favourite

  • Moneyline Roma 1.38 | Viktoria Plzen 7.80
  • Draw 5.00
  • Over/Under Over 2.5 1.83 | Under 2.5 2.10
  • BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.94 | No 1.77

Roma are clear favourites with odds hovering around 1.37-1.39 across top bookmakers—a nod to their elite squad, European pedigree, and recent stability under Gasperini. The draw, at a lengthy 5.00, reflects Plzen’s underdog status but also signals Roma’s penchant for controlling play and limiting drama. Plzen’s price (7.80) is value for dreamers, though their odds highlight the gulf in quality. Over 2.5 at 1.83 and BTTS at 1.94 suggest bookies expect attacking output—with defensive slip-ups a distinct possibility, especially on a neutral ground.

You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Roma possible starting eleven

  • GK: Mile Svilar
  • DF: Evan NDicka, Gianluca Mancini, Zeki Çelik
  • MF: Manu Koné, Bryan Cristante, Lorenzo Pellegrini, Konstantinos Tsimikas
  • FW: Matias Soule, Artem Dovbyk, Stephan El Shaarawy

Roma should line up in their staple 3-4-2-1. Svilar’s consistency between the sticks is vital, while the back three offers mix of power (NDicka, Mancini) and forward thrust (Çelik). In midfield, Kone and Cristante anchor proceedings, flanked by dynamic Tsimikas. Pellegrini’s creativity and industry, alongside the goal-hungry Soule, build a bridge to Dovbyk up top. This line-up offers tactical stability and plenty of goal threats—watch Soule surge and Dovbyk’s movement!


Viktoria Plzen possible starting eleven

  • GK: Martin Jedlička
  • DF: Václav Jemelka, Sampson Dweh, Jan Paluska
  • MF: Cheick Souare, Lukas Cerv, Milan Havel, Merchas Doski, Adrian Zeljkovic
  • FW: Rafiu Durosinmi, Prince Adu

Hysky’s preferred 3-5-2 is set up to counter-attack ruthlessly. Jedlička’s form in goal is crucial, while the Jemelka-Dweh-Paluska tandem must stay disciplined. Doski and Souare provide thrust wide, Havel and Cerv shape the midfield. Up top, the partnership of Durosinmi (excellent touch and finishing) and Adu (electric on the break) is Plzen’s best hope for an upset. Expect defensive rigidity mixed with opportunism in attack.

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Viktoria Plzen. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo

Viktoria Plzen. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo


The Verdict

Expect Roma to make their technical superiority count, but this will not be a cruise. Viktoria Plzen possess a spirited attack and can punch above their weight, yet Roma’s experience and midfield dominance should see them over the line. My main pick? Roma to win with both teams to score. Soule’s invention and Dovbyk’s finishing could swing it their way, but keep an eye on Durosinmi for Plzen—he’s a livewire! The road to the knockouts starts with moments like these—and Roma’s European ambitions demand nothing but three points here in Bergen.

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