Roma vs Udinese Prediction: 09.11.2025 Serie A 2025/26

The anticipation builds as Roma welcome Udinese to the Stadio Olimpico for a key Regular Season clash in Serie A 2025/26. With both teams eyeing valuable points to consolidate their places in the top half of the table, this encounter is shaping up to be a tactical duel. Under Gian Piero Gasperini, Roma have established themselves as formidable hosts, while Kosta Runjaic’s Udinese have demonstrated resilience, particularly on the road. This fixture not only carries implications for league standings but highlights the contrasting approaches of two sides keen to make their presence felt in Italian football this season.

For Roma, Paulo Dybala’s creative spark and Mario Hermoso’s authority at the back will be decisive against an Udinese outfit featuring the in-form Adam Buksa, whose presence up front can unsettle defences. Meanwhile, Jesper Karlstrom’s dynamism in midfield offers Udinese the engine and balance required to compete with the Giallorossi’s robust centre.

Hot stat: Roma have outshot their opposition with an impressive 87 total shots across their last five games — a commanding attacking metric compared to Udinese’s 35 in the same span.

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Roma vs Udinese prediction

The best value pick for this matchup is a Roma win, given their dominant home record and attacking intensity under Gasperini. Roma’s high shot count (17.4 per game last five) is a huge indicator of their onslaught-oriented football, while their defensive shape (just 5 goals conceded in 10 league games and a well-drilled 3-5-2 setup) makes them especially hard to break down at the Olimpico. Udinese, despite recent improvement, struggle to match Roma’s passing accuracy and volume, completing only 1103 out of 1379 passes in the last five matches versus Roma’s 2262 out of 2616, which suggests that possession will firmly be with the hosts.

Discipline could play a role: both teams have collected nine yellow cards in their last five – a sign that neither shies away from physical contests – but Roma’s ball retention (pass accuracy 86 percent vs. Udinese’s 80 percent) and greater control in midfield mean they should limit Udinese’s opportunities. Set pieces could also tip the balance: Roma’s 40 corners in their last five outstrip Udinese’s by more than double, allowing the home side to sustain their offensive pressure.

Team Analysis

Roma’s recent results: Roma’s latest outing was a confident 2-0 victory over Rangers, underlining their ability to control games against continental competition. Despite a narrow 0-1 loss against Milan, they rebounded with a win against Parma (2-1) and kept things tight at the back against Sassuolo (1-0). A blip came with the 1-2 home loss to Viktoria Plzen, but overall their recent form, especially at home, has been strong with well-organized displays and multiple contributors in attack.

Udinese’s recent results: Udinese enter this tie on a steady run: a 1-0 win over Atalanta showcased their defensive discipline, offsetting a recent 1-3 defeat to Juventus. A 3-2 triumph over Lecce and back-to-back 1-1 draws versus Cremonese and Cagliari reveal resilience but also issues putting games to bed, with occasional defensive lapses. While their attack, spearheaded by Adam Buksa, can threaten, consistency remains elusive compared to their opponents.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Roma vs Udinese stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Roma the favourite

• Moneyline Roma 1.58 | Udinese 6.20
• Draw 4.00
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.95 | Under 2.5 1.80
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.10 | No 1.70

Roma are deserved favourites at 1.58 with the bookmakers, reflecting both their superior league standing and statistical edge in recent matches over Udinese. The odds on Udinese (6.20) mirror their underdog status, given their inconsistent away form and issues in front of goal. The market’s slight preference for Under 2.5 goals (1.80) is understandable given Roma’s disciplined defence, but the hosts’ shot volume keeps Over 2.5 as a tempting value pick.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Roma possible starting eleven

Expect Gasperini to trust in his preferred 3-5-2 formation, utilizing the central defensive triumvirate of Mancini, Hermoso, and NDicka to secure the backline. Cristante anchors midfield, with Koné and El Aynaoui providing energy while Tsimikas and Čelik push down the flanks. Up front, Dybala’s vision and Dovbyk’s finishing make them the duo to watch, particularly in transition and on the break.

Udinese possible starting eleven

Udinese should line up in a matching 3-5-2, with Okoye between the posts and a back three of Solet, Kabasele, and Kamara charged with breaking down Roma’s attacks. Karlstrom, Lovric, and Atta bring solidity and work rate to midfield while Buksa’s presence up top, partnered by Bayo, offers a physical and direct attacking threat. Zanoli and Goglichidze are likely tasked with wing-back duties, providing width and support in transitions.

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My take on the Match

My main pick is a Roma victory with a clean sheet. This is a contest between a side remarkably efficient at both ends of the pitch at home and an Udinese team that, while well-organized, has struggled to create attacking consistency in top-tier away matches. With Roma’s shot creation and set piece prowess, look for the Giallorossi to assert themselves early and maintain control against an Udinese side that often relies on moments rather than sustained dominance. Expect a 2-0 or 3-0 scoreline in favour of Roma, with Dybala or Dovbyk likely on the scoresheet, and Hermoso anchoring the defence.

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