Roma vs Torino Prediction: 13.01.2026 Coppa Italia

As the Coppa Italia Round of 16 reaches its crescendo, all eyes turn to the Stadio Olimpico where Roma are set to host Torino in a compelling Italian football clash. With both sides having experienced fluctuating fortunes in recent weeks, this cup tie promises tactical intrigue alongside classic knockout drama. Notably, Roma’s resurgence under Gian Piero Gasperini has injected a sense of urgency into their cup ambitions, while Marco Baroni’s Torino seek to disrupt the odds and carry forward their own cup hopes.

Two standouts to monitor closely are Paulo Dybala for Roma, whose creative spark remains crucial in tight cup ties, and Torino’s Nikola Vlašić, whose recent scoring form has been a lifeline for the visitors. Neither side boasts a dominant goalkeeper in this season’s stats, so expect plenty of pressure on both rearguards.

Hot stat: Roma have not drawn a single match in their last 7 games, winning 5 and losing 2—a sign of a side taking bold risks for results.

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Roma vs Torino prediction

The best value prediction here is a Roma win, possibly with an Asian Handicap of -1. They come into this fixture on solid form, with 5 wins out of their last 7 matches and a dynamic attacking display, netting 8 goals in their latest 5 outings. The Giallorossi’s tactical flexibility under Gasperini, shifting comfortably between attacking thrusts and disciplined midfield play, gives them an edge, particularly as Torino have shown vulnerability—especially when playing away, with 3 losses in their last 6.

Stylistically, Roma have managed to keep their cool, collecting fewer yellow cards (8 vs Torino’s 10 in the last five matches) and displaying a better pass accuracy (76% vs 71%). While both sides can rack up fouls (Roma 22, Torino 23), it’s the home side’s superior organisation and frequent pressing that creates more chances from forced errors. Expect substantial ball possession from Roma, supported by an in-form midfield, and a game likely tilted in their favour.

Team Analysis

Roma recent matches (with a focus on the last game):
Roma have shown excellent cup form, with a particularly professional display in their last match against Sassuolo, securing a 2-0 win on home soil. The team pressed aggressively, drawing fouls and staying clinical in front of goal. Prior to that, another 2-0 home win over Lecce further underscores their marked improvement in defence. The only blip was a narrow 0-1 defeat to Atalanta, a top-ranked opponent, but Roma responded with an assertive 3-1 win against Genoa and a tightly contested encounter versus Juventus. With the versatile 3-4-2-1 system, Roma’s midfielders and supporting forwards create varied angles of attack, putting them a step ahead of most domestic rivals.

Torino recent matches (with a focus on the last game):
Torino’s 0-2 defeat by Atalanta in their previous match highlighted their recurring difficulties against higher-quality opposition. Before that, they suffered a 1-2 home loss to Udinese—suggesting some defensive lapses—but did pull off a dominant 3-0 win over Verona, demonstrating their potential to be dangerous when underestimated. However, their inconsistency is evident in recent defeats and the inability to string together a winning sequence. Offensively, they rely on Vlašić and Casadei, but are sometimes let down by a lack of composure under pressure. Their familiar 3-5-2 favours strength in numbers in central midfield, but they’ve struggled to convert possession into meaningful chances against compact defences.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Roma vs Torino stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Roma the favourite

• Moneyline Roma 1.54 | Torino 6.40
• Draw 4.00
• Over/Under Over 2.5 2.20 | Under 2.5 1.69
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.21 | No 1.69

Roma are installed as clear favourites by bookmakers, holding a 61% win chance compared to Torino’s 15%. The Giallorossi’s strong recent form, higher world ranking, and home advantage all compress the odds, while the under on goals and ‘both teams to score – No’ market also draws value from both clubs’ recent under-2.5 match trends. Torino’s inconsistencies make an away upset unlikely, though the Coppa always brings potential for drama.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Roma possible starting eleven

Roma should deploy their preferred 3-4-2-1 system, bolstered by the resurgence of Dybala and the creative threat of Soule, who’s netted twice in their last five. Expect Kone and Cristante to anchor the midfield, recycling possession and dictating Roma’s tempo. Ferguson deserves mention for his finishing touch—two goals in recent outings. Pellegrini could also cameo, providing leadership if required.

Torino possible starting eleven

Torino will likely stick with a 3-5-2, tasking Maripán and Ismajli with thwarting Roma’s central thrusts. Vlašić and Casadei are pivotal in linking midfield to attack—Vlašić especially has proven a threat, while Lazaro supplies width and deliveries from deep. Adams and Simeone form a tenacious partnership up top, though goal output remains inconsistent. Watch for Casadei’s late runs into the box—a potential game-changer.

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My take on the Match

This cup tie has all the makings of a closely-fought affair, yet Roma’s superior organisation, in-form spine, and tactical astuteness under Gasperini lead me to favour the hosts. Roma’s recent scoring spree, defensive intensity, and a squad packed with firepower should see them through to the quarter-finals. Torino won’t make it easy, but their inconsistent form—particularly away from home—suggests the Giallorossi will edge a tactical battle, perhaps with a margin to spare. Our main pick: Roma to win, possibly to nil.

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