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Roma vs Como Prediction: 15.12.2025 Serie A

13.12.2025, 07:58

As we edge deeper into a gripping Serie A regular season, Stadio Olimpico prepares to host Roma against Como in what promises to be more than just another match in the Italian top flight. With both sides keenly positioned in the upper echelons of the table, this Monday night clash is shrouded in narrative: Roma, spearheaded by the tactical nous of Gian Piero Gasperini, seek to fortify their top-four credentials, while Cesc Fàbregas’s Como promoted and ever-ambitious are quickly shedding any “newcomer” labels. The intriguing subplot? Both coaches are reshaping their sides: Gasperini transitioning Roma into his trademark 3-5-2, while Fàbregas revitalises Como with youthful verve and technical finesse. All signs point to a battle of philosophies, not just footballing pedigrees.
For player spotlights, keep your eyes peeled for Roma’s prolific forward Evan Ferguson, whose clinical edge in the box has proven vital, and Como’s rising star Jayden Addai, whose mobility and keen sense for goal threaten to disrupt even the most disciplined defences. Between these two, expect sparks in attack.
Hot stat: Roma have managed 8 goals in their last 5 outings, while Como, despite one humbling loss, have scored 7 impressive for a side fresh to the division’s upper half.

14:45Finished15.12.2025
1RomaItaly
0ComoItaly
🏆 Tournament: Serie A 2025/26 Regular Season
🏟 Venue: Stadio Olimpico, Rome
🗓️ Date: 15.12.2025
⏰ Time: 21:45 CEST

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Roma vs Como prediction

Given current trajectories, Roma enter as narrow favourites hardly surprising considering their experience, squad depth, and strong home record. Yet Como’s emergence under Fàbregas is no fluke; their tactical discipline and recent form, including a resolute defensive display and blistering counter-attacks, make them a real threat on the break.

Roma’s 3-5-2 leans on a high pressing midfield and overlapping fullbacks, while Como’s 3-4-2-1 leverages midfield triangles for swift transitions. Roma average 2.8 yellow cards per last five games and a whopping 68 fouls, signalling a willingness to disrupt swiftly perhaps to be expected when balancing creative freedom up top with Gasperini’s defensive strictness. Como, meanwhile, have kept it cleaner with just 5 yellows and a much lighter 33 fouls, suggesting disciplined pressing and composure.

Possession stats tip slightly toward Roma, whose pass accuracy (68 percent over their last five) shows a preference for progressive, risky play patterns. Como, though, aren’t far off with 33 fouls and a tight, coherent defensive structure. This indicates Roma may control the ball more but are vulnerable to counter-attacks Como’s bread and butter.

🔥Hot Tip: Roma -0.5 Asian Handicap
⚽Total Goals: Over 2.5
💥Both Teams To Score: Yes
🎯Total Corners: Over 8.5

Team Analysis

Roma Recent Games:
Roma have experienced a turbulent but generally positive patch, winning 3 of their last 5 matches. The latest outing was a comprehensive 3-0 victory over Celtic, where Ferguson’s movement and finishing underscored Roma’s attacking threat a match where Gasperini’s 3-5-2 style shined, especially with wingbacks stretching play and contributing to a potent forward line. Prior to this, they slipped 0-1 at home to Cagliari and Napoli respectively matches in which over-committing in attack allowed opponents to thrive on the counter. Still, their ability to bounce back against Midtjylland (2-1) and power past Cremonese (3-1) reveals their resilience and squad depth.

15:00Finished11.12.2025
0CelticScotland
3RomaItaly

Como Recent Games:
Como, unbeaten in 3 of their last 4, suffered a humbling 0-4 defeat to Inter before shutting out Sassuolo 2-0 and thrashing Torino 5-1. Their propensity to absorb pressure and spring forward with pace particularly via Addai has been the stuff of Serie A upsets this season. The recent 0-0 draws with both Cagliari and Napoli demonstrate a dogged resolve at the back and discipline in midfield, key for stifling stronger teams. Notably, their defensive frailties were exposed only against the league’s giants otherwise, Como’s collective has grown in stature with every round.

12:00Finished06.12.2025
4InterItaly
0ComoItaly

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

Statistic Roma Como
Total shots 15 14
Free kicks 20 25
Corner kicks 13 8
Total fouls 27 33
Pass accuracy (%) 67 69
Interceptions 25 23
Offsides 7 5

🚨Read our full Roma vs Como stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Roma the favourite

  • Moneyline Roma 2.15 | Como 3.70
  • Draw 3.18
  • Over/Under Over 2.5 1.98 | Under 2.5 1.80
  • BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.77 | No 1.98

Bookmakers’ odds reflect a faint but clear edge for Roma, given their quality and home status but Como’s historic victories and proven ability to score against top-tier opposition keep this far from a foregone conclusion. A draw is well-priced, and the over/under markets suggest an expectation of goals: recent defensive lapses for both sides highlight the BTTS value. The key? Whoever seizes midfield control could tilt momentum in their favour.

You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Roma possible starting eleven

  • GK: Mile Svilar
  • DF: Gianluca Mancini, Evan NDicka, Zeki Çelik
  • MF: Bryan Cristante, Lorenzo Pellegrini, Manu Koné, Neil El Aynaoui, Konstantinos Tsimikas
  • FW: Evan Ferguson, Matias Soule

Roma’s probable 3-5-2 sees a familiar spine, with Svilar’s shot-stopping behind the composure and aerial prowess of Mancini and NDicka. In midfield, a blend of work rate and creativity is provided by Cristante and Pellegrini, supported by the athleticism of Koné and El Aynaoui. Tsimikas and Çelik will operate as wingbacks, tasked with both defence and providing width. Up top, Ferguson is expected to lead the line, flanked by Soule both in tremendous individual form. Watch out for Ferguson’s movement off the last defender and Soule’s ability to drift into space between the lines.

Como possible starting eleven

  • GK: Jean Butez
  • DF: Jacobo Ramón Naveros, Diego Carlos, Alberto Moreno
  • MF: Maximo Perrone, Lucas Da Cunha, Nicolas Paz, Álex Valle
  • FW: Jayden Addai, Martin Baturina, Anastasios Douvikas

Expect Fàbregas to stick with his favoured 3-4-2-1. Butez starts between the sticks, behind the trio of Naveros, Diego Carlos, and Moreno offering a mix of experience and athleticism. In midfield, Perrone and Da Cunha anchor, with Paz and Valle tasked with transitioning defence to attack. Further forward, Baturina and Addai provide fluid support for spearhead Douvikas. Addai’s capacity to exploit spaces vacated by aggressive Roma wingbacks could be decisive, while Perrone’s forward runs may pose a surprise goal threat.

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Roma. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo

Roma. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo

The Verdict

This fixture promises not only technical intrigue but also an emotional backdrop as both clubs look to cement their ambitions in the league’s upper reaches. Roma’s sharper forward line and more physical midfield should, in theory, tip the balance particularly at the Stadio Olimpico, where they remain a formidable prospect. However, Como’s ability to weather storms and spring lethal counters keeps them uncomfortably close for comfort. Our main pick is a Roma win with both teams getting on the scoresheet, but do not discount a late surge from Como should Roma over-commit. Expect a frenetic pace, tactical fouls, and moments of brilliance from stars on both sides. If Roma stay disciplined at the back and finish their chances, this should be three points earned, but Como’s resilience will make them work for every inch. With both managers keen to make a statement, neutrals and fans alike are in for a Monday night treat!

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