Sofia Quijada
Roma vs Athletic Bilbao Predictions, Picks & Odds for 06.03.2025 UEFA Europa League Match
The UEFA Europa League Round of 16 clash brings together two European heavyweights – Roma and Athletic Bilbao. With both teams having a solid pedigree in European competitions, this match is expected to be a thrilling encounter. Needing to win by a wide margin to secure a strong position going into the second leg, both sides will look to capitalize on any opportunities presented.
Match Overview and Context:
On Thursday, we find out which of Roma and Athletic Bilbao will be playing at their best at Stadio Olimpico. The Italian giants come in with a slightly higher win rate in the last 30 days, having secured victories in 63% of their recent matches. Meanwhile, Athletic Bilbao has shown resilience, securing a 40% win rate in their recent outings. This first leg encounter sets the stage for a dramatic confrontation in the second leg.
Roma vs Athletic Bilbao Predictions
Roma vs Athletic Bilbao score prediction: 2-1
Given the attacking play style of the hosts and their recent form, Roma is likely to edge out Athletic Bilbao in a closely contested affair. With Paulo Dybala spearheading their attack, Roma’s home advantage at Stadio Olimpico may prove decisive against a resilient Bilbao side.
Safe Bet: Roma to Win (2.24 via Thunderpick) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
With a favorable record at home and given their recent performances, betting on Roma to secure a victory offers a balanced risk-to-reward ratio, perfect for those looking to bolster their accumulators.
Value Bet: Over 2.5 Goals (2.80 via Stake) ⭐⭐⭐
This match promises goals, as seen in recent fixtures involving both clubs, making a bet on over 2.5 goals an enticing proposition for those seeking higher returns alongside compelling arguments based on recent performances.
Roma vs Athletic Bilbao Head-to-Head Record (last five games)
The last encounter between these two sides in the Europa League league phase ended in a 1-1 draw, demonstrating the competitive nature of their past meetings.
Athletic Bilbao. Source: Official Website
Key Stats:
- Roma has a win rate of 63% over the last 30 days.
- Athletic Bilbao managed to secure an emphatic 7-1 victory in one of their recent away matches.
- Both teams scored 11 goals in their last five matches, indicating offensive strength.
| Team | Goals | Free Kicks | Corner Kicks | Total Fouls | Pass Accuracy (%) | Interceptions | Offsides |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roma | 11 | 11 | 28 | 45 | 89% | 32 | 11 |
| Athletic Bilbao | 11 | 3 | 24 | 33 | 84% | 36 | 3 |
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Tipsters’ Take
Out of the total tips given, 45% of the tipsters are backing Roma for a win, showcasing strong confidence in their potential to secure victory in the first leg.
Five best tipsters picks:
| Tipster | Winrate (last 20 bets) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
| BetClan | 75% | Roma |
| MyBetsToday | 75% | Roma |
| BetIdeas | 75% | Roma |
| BetMines | 85% | Roma |
| Meczyki | 70% | Draw |
Out of 25 tipsters with winrate over 60%, 5 are backing the underdog, Athletic Bilbao
The top tipster with a winrate over 60% backing Athletic Bilbao is Tips Bet, showcasing a winrate of 55% with a notably high yield of 30% in their last 20 bets.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Roma the favourite
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Home (Roma) | 41% |
| Draw | 29% |
| Away (Athletic Bilbao) | 30% |
Roma vs Athletic Bilbao opening odds
| Bet | Odds |
|---|---|
| Moneyline: Roma | 2.35 |
| Moneyline: Athletic Bilbao | 3.10 |
| Draw | 3.30 |
| Over/Under: Over 2.5 | 2.80 |
| Under 2.5 | 1.40 |
| BTTS (both teams to score) Yes | 1.85 |
| BTTS No | 2.10 |
Team Analysis
Roma has been on an impressive run, showcasing a string of wins and strong performances, including a dominant 4-0 victory against Monza. Their tactical flexibility, often utilizing a 3-4-2-1 formation, has allowed them to adapt to different challenges. Meanwhile, Athletic Bilbao’s recent 7-1 away demolition of Real Valladolid highlights their potential to upset, despite some inconsistent displays.
Roma Preview
Roma, under the guidance of their strategic coach, has been a formidable force this season. With key players like Paulo Dybala and Bryan Cristante contributing significantly, the team has consistently found the back of the net. Their recent form indicates resilience, with only one loss in their last eight matches.
Roma possible lineup
Formation: 3-4-2-1
- Goalkeeper: Mile Svilar
- Defenders: Zeki Çelik, Gianluca Mancini, Evan N’Dicka
- Midfielders: Leandro Paredes, Lorenzo Pellegrini, Niccolò Pisilli, Angeliño
- Forwards: Paulo Dybala, Matias Soule, Eldor Shomurodov
Roma. Source: Official Website
Athletic Bilbao Preview
Athletic Bilbao enters the match with a history of surprise victories and a 4-2-3-1 formation that’s aimed at leveraging their attacking potential. Players like Iñaki Williams and Yuri Berchiche will be pivotal as they aim to secure a valuable away result to build upon back home.
Athletic Bilbao possible lineup
Formation: 4-2-3-1
- Goalkeeper: Unai Simon
- Defenders: Yeray Álvarez, Yuri Berchiche, Daniel Vivian, Iñigo Lekue
- Midfielders: Mikel Vesga, Oihan Sancet
- Forwards: Iñaki Williams, Nicholas Williams Arthur, Gorka Guruzeta
- Striker: Alex Berenguer
Key Player to Watch: Paulo Dybala
Dybala’s form has been outsdanding, with decisive goals and assists to his name in recent fixtures. His craft on the ball and ability to unlock defenses make him a player to watch, as his influence could very well dictate the outcome of this clash.
How to watch Roma vs Athletic Bilbao
Date: 6th March 2025
Time: 22:00 CEST
Venue: Stadio Olimpico, Rome
Broadcast: Available on major sports channels and streaming platforms.
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