Liam Duckstein
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Rizespor host Alanyaspor at the Çaykur Didi Stadyumu in what shapes up as a meaningful early-season Süper Lig fixture. Both sides sit on 4-6 points after three rounds, but the form gap between them is already noticeable. Rizespor have been the stronger side across the past month, winning four of their last six games, while Alanyaspor head into this one off a 1-2 home defeat to Eyüpspor. One detail worth noting: in three of the last four head-to-head meetings, this fixture has produced a clean result for the home side rather than a shared spoil.
Midfielder Qazim Laci is the player to watch for Rizespor. He has registered a goal across the last three league appearances and leads the side in both passing volume and shot attempts from central areas. For Alanyaspor, forward Ruan Pereira Duarte carries the most direct threat, with seven shots in three matches and the only goal contribution from open play among the visitors’ attackers.
A hot stat from recent games: Alanyaspor committed 57 fouls across their last five matches, the highest figure of the two sides, yet managed only 27 total shots. That ratio tells you a great deal about the kind of reactive, disrupted game they have been playing.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Süper Lig 2026/27, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Çaykur Didi Stadyumu, Rize |
| 🗓️ Date: | 07.09.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 19:00 CEST |
Rizespor vs Alanyaspor Prediction
We predict a Rizespor win here. The home side has won four of their last six matches, they are operating in a settled 4-1-4-1 shape, and they hold the home advantage at a ground where they have not lost in the current league campaign. Alanyaspor, by contrast, have won just one of their last four fixtures and arrive on the back of a defeat.
The bookmakers price Rizespor at around 1.90-1.98 with the sharper books, and that represents genuine value given the form difference. Alanyaspor’s 57 fouls in five games suggest a side that is frequently out of position and forced into reactive defending. Rizespor, with 1,399 passes and 85% pass accuracy across the same period, control the ball better and create more structured attacks. That passing dominance should allow them to dictate the tempo on home turf and eventually find the spaces Alanyaspor leave open.
Goals may not flow freely. Both teams have scored just three goals each across their last five matches, and Alanyaspor’s defensive structure, despite its foul count, has kept scorelines tight. We lean toward a low-scoring Rizespor win, with the hosts covering the result market at full time.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Rizespor to Win & Under 2.5 Goals |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Rizespor have been one of the more consistent sides in the Süper Lig over the past month. Four wins from six games, including victories over Konyaspor and Pyramids, show a squad that knows how to close out matches. Their most recent league game, a 2-1 win over Gaziantep, came against a side that had been in reasonable form, which makes it a meaningful result. The defeat in between, a 0-2 loss to Samsunspor, was the only real blip, and Recep Uçar’s side responded well by beating Konyaspor 1-0 in the fixture that followed. Their current league record of two wins and one loss from three games puts them seventh, but they are only four points behind the leaders with a game in hand on some sides above them.
Alanyaspor’s recent run makes for harder reading. One win from four matches in the past 30 days, and that sole victory came against Beşiktaş, which stands out as a genuine result. But the defeats on either side of it tell the fuller story. A 0-1 loss to Persepolis before the season started, a draw with Gaziantep in the league, and then the 1-2 defeat at home to Eyüpspor last time out. João Pereira’s side has been using a 3-4-3 formation, which demands a lot from the wing-backs, and the 57 fouls they have committed in five games suggests the system is creating structural problems when they lose the ball. Their pass accuracy of 76% is noticeably lower than Rizespor’s 87%, and that gap in ball retention is likely to be felt in an away fixture.
Most Recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Rizespor | Alanyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 4 | 3 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Rizespor vs Alanyaspor stats page for more info.
Alanyaspor. Source: Official Facebook
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Rizespor the Favourite
- Moneyline Rizespor 1.98 | Alanyaspor 4.07
- Draw 3.33
- Over/Under Over 2.5 N/A | Under 2.5 N/A
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes N/A | No N/A
Pinnacle’s 1.98 on Rizespor is the sharpest line available and reflects a genuine 49% win probability from the average bookmaker expectation. For a home side in this kind of form, that price looks workable. The draw at 3.33 is fair given that two of the last four head-to-head meetings ended level, but the current form gap makes it a less attractive option. Alanyaspor at 4.07 would only make sense if you believe their win over Beşiktaş was the start of something rather than an isolated result, and the evidence from their last game does not support that reading.
Possible Starting Lineups
Rizespor Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Yahia Fofana
- DF: Mithat Pala, Attila Mocsi, Modibo Sagnan, Zakaria Ariss
- MF: Taylan Antalyalı, Ibrahim Olawoyin, Qazim Laci, Adedire Mebude
- MF: Ahmed Kutucu
- FW: Ali Sowe
Recep Uçar has been consistent with his 4-1-4-1 shape, and this lineup reflects the players who have featured most across the last three matches. Taylan Antalyalı sits at the base of midfield and provides the defensive screen, while Qazim Laci pushes forward from the central lane. Ali Sowe leads the line and has been the most direct goal threat, with one goal and seven shots in three appearances. Emrecan Bulut offers an option from the bench if more forward energy is needed in the second half.
Alanyaspor Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Paulo Victor
- DF: Fidan Aliti, Nuno Miguel Reis Lima, Florent Hadergjonaj
- MF: Gaius Makouta, Ali Baran Gezek, Enes Keskin, Florent Hadergjonaj
- FW: Arda Usluoğlu, Hwang Ui-Jo, Ruan Pereira Duarte
João Pereira has settled on a 3-4-3, using three central defenders with wing-backs pushing high. Fidan Aliti and Nuno Miguel Reis Lima have been the most active defenders in terms of interceptions and passing. In attack, Ruan Pereira Duarte is the sharpest option with seven shots across three matches, and Arda Usluoğlu has contributed one goal from the forward line. Paulo Victor in goal has made 12 saves in three games, which speaks to how much pressure the back line has been under.
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Rizespor. Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
The stats point clearly in one direction. Rizespor have better passing accuracy, more shots, better form, and the home advantage. Alanyaspor are arriving off a loss, committing fouls at a high rate, and struggling to hold possession. The head-to-head record shows the home side has won two of the last four meetings, with two draws, and no Alanyaspor win at Rize in recent memory.
We back Rizespor to win this match. The best value play is a Rizespor win combined with under 2.5 goals, given how few goals both sides have been producing. Pinnacle’s 1.98 on the home win is the price to target. Alanyaspor may create moments through Ruan Pereira Duarte, but Paulo Victor’s 12 saves in three games tells you how often this team is defending, and that pattern is unlikely to change on the road against a side with Rizespor’s current confidence.
