River Plate vs Huracan Prediction: 20.09.2026 Argentine Primera Division

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River Plate sit sixteenth in the Clausura table, a strange spot for a club chasing four wins from its last five games. Huracan arrive in similar mid table limbo, having drawn three of their last five before finally breaking a stalemate run with a 2-1 win over Racing Club. Both squads carry 13 points from nine matches, so the table gap is thin, yet the eye test says otherwise: River have scored 11 goals in their last five outings, Huracan managed just 4. That gulf in attacking output, more than the standings, shapes how we read this fixture at El Monumental.

Watch Ángel Correa for River Plate. He has produced 2 goals and an assist from 22 shots across his last five appearances and links the midfield to Driussi with real purpose. On the Huracan side, Facundo Waller stands out defensively and offensively, chipping in a goal while also drawing six fouls, the type of player Diego Martínez needs to disrupt River’s rhythm.

Hot stat: River Plate have scored 11 goals across their last five matches, more than double Huracan’s tally of 4 in the same stretch, while also out-shooting them 96 to 58 and out-passing them by over 1,100 attempted balls.

River Plate vs Huracan prediction

We predict a home win, with River Plate’s superior shot volume and pass accuracy translating into goals rather than a low block frustration job from Huracan. River have won 4 of their last 5, Huracan just 1 of 5, and the underlying numbers back the bookmakers’ 62% implied probability. Perhaps the more interesting angle sits in the goal line: River score in bunches, Huracan concede rarely but also create little, so a 2-0 or 2-1 River win reads as the most probable script.

River Plate’s squad completed over 2,900 passes in the last five games at 84% accuracy, comfortably outclassing Huracan’s 1,779 passes at 78%. Huracan foul less (41 fouls to River’s 59) and pick up fewer cards, a sign of a side content to sit back and absorb pressure rather than press aggressively. That passivity, combined with River’s set piece threat (Almada alone has 8 free kicks taken), tilts the match firmly toward the home side.

Team Analysis

River Plate’s most recent outing was a 2-1 win over Atletico Tucuman, their third victory in the last five matches, sandwiched between a loss and a draw earlier in that run. Correa and Driussi combined for the attacking spark, and the back four of Acuña, Montiel, Martinez Quarta and Otamendi barely needed to be tested. Leonardo Ponzio’s side looks sharper going forward than the standings suggest, and this current stretch of form, four wins in seven over the last month, is the clearest sign yet that a push up the table is coming.

Huracan’s last match ended a run of three straight draws with a 2-1 win over Racing Club. In our preview of Huracan vs Racing Club we called a tight, low scoring affair and leaned toward Draw No Bet on the hosts given their tidy defensive record, and the 2-1 scoreline delivered on that call since Huracan won outright. Before that result Diego Martínez’s side had drawn with Belgrano, Estudiantes Rio Cuarto and Deportivo Riestra, a pattern of control without conversion that shows up clearly in their 4 goals scored across five games. That lack of firepower is the single biggest concern heading into a trip to El Monumental.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Check out our dedicated River Plate vs Huracan stats page for more info.

Pre-game odds and win probability: River Plate the favourite

• Moneyline River Plate 1.53 | Huracan 7.24
• Draw 3.78

Bookmakers price River Plate at roughly 62% to win, a fair reflection of their attacking numbers over Huracan’s defensive but toothless approach. The draw sits near 25%, reasonable given both sides have drawn regularly this season, but the away price above 7.00 looks generous only for accumulator value, not for a straight single. We lean firmly toward the home win holding up.

Possible Starting Lineups

River Plate possible starting eleven

Ponzio should stick with the 4-2-3-1 that has worked in the last five matches. Almada and Correa carry the creative burden behind Driussi, and Otamendi anchors a defense that has conceded sparingly against weaker attacks. Montiel’s link-up with Correa down the right is worth watching for an early goal.

Huracan possible starting eleven

Diego Martínez keeps the same 4-2-3-1 shape, prioritizing compactness with Nervo dropping into a double pivot alongside Waller. Bisanz leads the line alone and will need service from Cortes, though Jordy Caicedo’s two goals in two recent appearances make him a dangerous option off the bench.

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TipsGG Match Prediction

River Plate’s attacking numbers, four wins from five and 11 goals scored, make them clear favourites against a Huracan side that draws often but rarely finds the net. We predict a 2-0 River Plate win, with goals arriving through Correa or Driussi and the home defense keeping a clean sheet against a visiting attack that has managed just 4 goals in its last five games. To be honest, the value beyond the moneyline sits in River winning both halves and the over 2.5 goals market, given the gap in shot volume and passing quality between these two sides.

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