Sofia Quijada
River Plate welcome Aldosivi to El Monumental in the Copa Argentina Round of 32, a tie that looks straightforward on paper but carries a recent subplot worth noting: these two sides met just weeks ago in the Argentine Primera División, where River won 3-1. Aldosivi will arrive knowing exactly what awaits them, though their squad depth and form suggest a very different outcome is unlikely. Eduardo Coudet’s side carries a 60% win rate across 30 matches this year, while Israel Damonte’s team has managed just one win from 17.
Sebastián Driussi is the standout name to watch for River, having scored both goals in their most recent match against Flamengo, while Giovanni González provides an attacking threat from right back, already contributing an assist and drawing fouls consistently. The form gap here is significant, and River’s home record at El Monumental amplifies that advantage.
Hot stat: Driussi fired four shots and scored twice in River’s last outing against Flamengo, making him the most direct attacking threat in Coudet’s current setup.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Copa Argentina 2026, Round of 32 |
| 🏟 Venue: | El Monumental, Buenos Aires |
| 🗓️ Date: | 18.07.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 02:45 CEST |
River Plate vs Aldosivi Prediction
River Plate are overwhelming favorites and the stats support that entirely. They beat Aldosivi 3-1 less than a month ago in league play, and Aldosivi have recorded zero goals, zero shots, and zero corners across the last five matches logged in our system. That level of attacking output, or the absence of it, makes backing River Plate on the moneyline at around 1.40 the clearest value available.
River average around 10 shots per game and maintain pass accuracy in the mid-to-high 80s, pointing to a team that controls games through possession and creates chances in volume. Their foul count of 15 in their last recorded match suggests an aggressive pressing style, which will further suffocate a side that has struggled to hold the ball. Aldosivi commit fouls to break up play, but against River’s movement off the ball, that approach tends to invite set-piece danger rather than neutralize attacks. The corner line is worth targeting given River’s dominance in wide areas.
- We predict River Plate to win this match comfortably, with over 2.5 goals the natural accompaniment to that call.
- BTTS looks unlikely given Aldosivi’s near-total absence of attacking output in recent weeks.
- River Plate Asian Handicap -1.5 offers better value than the flat moneyline at these short odds.
| 🔥 Hot Tip: | River Plate -1.5 Asian Handicap |
| ⚽ Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥 Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯 Total Corners: | Over 7.5 |
Team Analysis
River Plate have won 18 of 30 matches this year and their recent schedule has been demanding. They drew 2-2 with Flamengo in their last outing, a result that flattered Flamengo given River’s overall control for stretches of that game. Driussi’s brace showed his clinical edge, and the midfield trio of Vera, Galván, and Rivero provided the engine. Before that, River beat Blooming 3-0 in the Copa Libertadores, dropped a 2-3 home loss to Belgrano, and drew 1-1 with Bragantino. The Belgrano defeat is the only real blemish, and even that came against a top-half Argentine side. Their form over the last five matches shows four positive results from five, with their attacking structure remaining consistent across competitions.
Aldosivi’s last five matches tell a difficult story. They drew 1-1 with Independiente Rivadavia, lost 1-3 to River Plate in the league, drew 1-1 with Racing Club, lost 0-1 to Belgrano, and drew 0-0 with Estudiantes Río Cuarto. That sequence includes three draws and two losses, with just one goal scored across five games. Their win rate of 6% across 17 matches this year places them among the weakest sides in Argentine football by that metric. The squad data available shows no recorded shots, passes, or corners across the last five matches, which points to a team that either parks deep or simply fails to generate any attacking momentum. Against River at El Monumental, neither approach tends to yield results.
🚨 Check out our dedicated River Plate vs Aldosivi stats page for more info.
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: River Plate the Favourite
- Moneyline River Plate 1.40 | Aldosivi 7.80
- Draw 4.20
- Over/Under Over 2.5 N/A | Under 2.5 N/A
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes N/A | No N/A
The market gives River a 66% implied win probability, which aligns with our own assessment. The draw at 4.20 is priced generously given Aldosivi’s inability to keep games level against quality opposition, and the away win at 7.80 reflects a realistic but distant possibility. Pinnacle’s 8.33 on Aldosivi is the outlier and likely the sharpest price available if you are looking for any contrarian value, though we would not recommend it here. River at 1.40 to 1.42 is short but justified, and the handicap market offers a better return for those confident in a multi-goal margin.
Possible Starting Lineups
River Plate Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Santiago Beltrán
- DF: Marcos Acuña, Lucas Martínez Quarta, Ulises Adrián Giménez, Giovanni González
- MF: Lautaro Rivero, Fausto Vera, Tomás Ezequiel Galván, Juan Cruz Meza
- FW: Facundo Colidio, Sebastián Driussi
Coudet has been rotating across competitions but the core of this side is well established. Santiago Beltrán starts in goal, with Martínez Quarta anchoring the backline alongside Acuña. González at right back is a genuine attacking outlet and one to watch for direct involvement in goals. Driussi leads the line and remains the primary threat on goal, having scored in each of his last two competitive appearances. The 4-2-2-2 shape gives River compactness in midfield and the ability to overload wide channels, which suits their pressing identity under Coudet.
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Aldosivi. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
TipsGG Match Prediction
River Plate beat Aldosivi 3-1 in their only previous meeting this season, and the underlying numbers since that fixture have only widened the gap between these two sides. River have gone 18-7-5 this year with consistent attacking output and a settled squad, while Aldosivi sit at 1-10-6 with almost no recorded attacking statistics across their last five games. At El Monumental, River are expected to control possession early and convert their chances before the hour mark. We predict a River Plate win with over 2.5 goals, and the -1.5 Asian Handicap is the bet we back most confidently in this fixture. To be honest, the only question is the margin, not the winner.
