The 1. HNL fixture between Rijeka and Dinamo Zagreb on February 8th, 2026, at Stadion HNK Rijeka promises a consequential match-up in the context of both the title race and Rijeka’s pursuit of European qualification. Rijeka, guided by Víctor Sánchez, will look to take advantage of home turf despite recent mixed form, while Mario Kovacevic’s Dinamo Zagreb aim to consolidate their position at the top of the standings with a decisive away performance. Notably, Dinamo Zagreb’s recent offensive output and Rijeka’s tactical discipline suggest a clash where moments of precision and resilience could define the result.
Keep an eye on Rijeka’s Tiago Dantas, whose creative midfield presence has yielded crucial goals, and Dinamo’s striker Dion Drena Beljo, who enters the match in a rich vein of finishing form. The “hot stat” for this encounter: Dinamo Zagreb have scored 10 goals in their last five matches, doubling Rijeka’s tally over the same span—a clear testament to their attacking potency as they arrive in Rijeka.
| 🏆 Tournament: | 1. HNL 2025/26 Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Stadion HNK Rijeka (Rijeka) |
| 🗓️ Date: | 08.02.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 18:45 CEST |
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Rijeka vs Dinamo Zagreb prediction
Dinamo Zagreb enter this contest as the favorites, backed by superior league form (60 percent win rate in their last five matches) and an attack that’s headlined by the prolific Dion Drena Beljo. Rijeka, despite solid defensive shape and home advantage, have struggled to convert draws into victories, evidenced by only one win in their last four games and a modest offensive return.
Tactically, both sides usually operate with a 4-2-3-1 formation, aiming for compact midfields and rapid transitions. Rijeka have demonstrated discipline but have also accumulated 48 fouls and six yellow cards in their last five matches, which may see them cede dangerous set pieces if not managed carefully. Dinamo’s ball retention is impressive (1339 passes/32 interceptions in last five matches) and their sharper forward line translates to higher shot counts and goal conversion—crucial against a Rijeka squad that sometimes struggles with attacking efficiency.
Given Dinamo’s clinical edge and overall momentum, the best value lies in siding with Dinamo Zagreb through the Asian Handicap market (0: -0.25). For punters seeking an alternative, “Both Teams to Score – Yes” is supported by Rijeka’s home resilience and Dinamo’s aggressive attacking approach.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Dinamo Zagreb 0: -0.25 (Asian Handicap) |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Rijeka Recent Matches:
Rijeka’s form line reveals some margin for concern, with just one win in their last four. Their previous match against Osijek ended in a narrow 0-1 defeat, where attacking inefficiency was exposed—Rijeka managed only four goals across their last five outings, highlighting a need for significantly improved creativity in the final third. Defensive focus has kept them competitive, but increased pressure on their back line could draw fouls and cards, especially against superior opposition.
Dinamo Zagreb Recent Matches:
Dinamo Zagreb continue to impress, recording three wins out of their last five fixtures, most recently dispatching Vukovar 1991 by a 3-1 scoreline. Their goal tally remains robust, led by in-form forwards and supported by an industrious midfield. Their only recent defeats came in continental action, lending further credence to their domestic dominance. The attacking quartet, especially Beljo and Monsef Bakrar, provide multiple threats, benefitting from a stable defensive base and efficient ball progression.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Rijeka | Dinamo Zagreb |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 4 | 7 |
| Total shots | 40 | 70 |
| Free kicks | 15 | 19 |
| Corner kicks | 15 | 19 |
| Total fouls | 48 | 53 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 84 | 87 |
| Interceptions | 22 | 32 |
| Offsides | 2 | 7 |
🚨Read our full Rijeka vs Dinamo Zagreb stats for more analysis.

Rijeka. Source: Official Website
Pre-game odds and win probability: Dinamo Zagreb the favourite
- Moneyline Rijeka 3.45 | Dinamo Zagreb 2.04
- Draw 3.25
- Over/Under Over 2.5 1.80 | Under 2.5 2.00
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.67 | No 2.15
The odds reflect Dinamo Zagreb’s status atop the 1. HNL: their win probability (42 percent) is the highest, while Rijeka’s home advantage sees them given only modest chance. The Over 2.5 line boasts relatively short odds, fitting given Dinamo’s consistent scoring and Rijeka’s defensive lapses. Markets also strongly favor goals at both ends, with “BTTS – Yes” priced accordingly. These numbers underscore market confidence in Dinamo’s superior firepower and a contest that is unlikely to finish goalless.
You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.
Possible Starting Lineups
Rijeka possible starting eleven

- GK: Martin Zlomislić
- DF: Stjepan Radeljić, Ante Majstorović, Teo Barisic, Anel Husic
- MF: Tiago Dantas, Merveil Ndockyt, Alfonso Barco, Amer Gojak
- FW: Ante Matej Juric, Duje Čop
Rijeka are expected to utilize a 4-2-3-1, sticking with defensive mainstays like Radeljić and Husic. The midfield creativity is likely to flow through Tiago Dantas, whose ability to dictate tempo and provide incisive passes is critical. Up front, Ante Matej Juric is the danger man, supported by the experienced Duje Čop. Expect the squad to focus on compact defending with quick transitions, as imposed by Víctor Sánchez in recent rounds.
Dinamo Zagreb possible starting eleven

- GK: Ivan Nevistić
- DF: Kévin Théophile-Catherine, Niko Galesic, Sergi Dominguez, Bruno Goda
- MF: Josip Mišić, Miha Zajc, Marko Soldo
- FW: Monsef Bakrar, Dion Drena Beljo, Luka Stojkovic
Dinamo Zagreb should roll out their trusted 4-2-3-1 setup, anchored by the experienced Nevistić in goal. The backline, featuring Dominguez and Galesic, has been adept at snuffing out threats. In midfield, Mišić and Zajc balance defensive solidity with attacking intent, while the front three are paced by Dion Drena Beljo, whose goal instinct is amongst the sharpest in the league. Luka Stojkovic adds width and directness, making this an eleven well suited for both possession dominance and rapid counters.
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Dinamo Zagreb. Source: Official Website
My take on the Match
The statistical edge, recent form, and attacking depth point firmly towards Dinamo Zagreb emerging with either a victory or at least a hard-fought draw. Expect Rijeka to push hard, especially at home, but their offensive limitations and discipline issues suggest Dinamo are more likely to capitalize on pivotal moments. The main pick is Dinamo Zagreb 0: -0.25 (Asian Handicap), coupled with a strong likelihood of seeing at least three goals, and both sides finding the net. This fixture is poised to deliver attacking action, and savvy bettors should watch for live odds as the game develops for potential in-play value.

