Remo vs Santos Prediction: August 5, 2026 Copa do Brasil

The Copa do Brasil Round of 16 second leg brings Remo and Santos back together at the Estádio Evandro Almeida in Belém, with the tie locked at 0-0 from the first leg. Santos enter as the bookmakers’ favourite despite playing away, and with good reason: they carry significantly more firepower, averaged nearly 2.2 goals per game across their last five matches, and have won three of their last six fixtures. Remo, playing at home in front of their own crowd, will need a disciplined defensive performance to force extra time or penalties.

The key figure to watch is Neymar, who has scored twice and drawn three yellow cards in just four appearances since his Santos return, making him both a creative threat and a potential disciplinary liability. On Remo’s side, Leonel Picco has been the most productive central midfielder, contributing a goal and leading the team in interceptions over the last five games, and his ability to disrupt Santos’s build-up play could prove decisive.

Hot stat: Santos registered 123 total shots across their last five matches compared to Remo’s 43, a nearly 3:1 ratio that underlines the gulf in attacking output between these two sides.

Remo vs Santos Prediction

The first leg ended 0-0, and the second leg is being played at Remo’s ground, but Santos’s attacking depth and recent form make them the team more likely to break the deadlock. Santos scored 11 goals in their last five matches; Remo scored just three. Léo Condé’s side relies heavily on a low block and transitions, while Cuca’s Santos press higher and look to dominate possession. The home advantage for Remo is real, but Santos have the quality to win this tie outright.

Remo average 2.8 fouls per game more than Santos across the last five matches, which suggests they defend aggressively and could pick up cards under pressure. Santos commit more fouls in absolute terms (62 vs 50) but over more matches, and their pass accuracy of 86% dwarfs Remo’s 79%. Santos control tempo and force opponents into reactive defending, which suits a match where they need a goal to avoid extra time.

We predict Santos to win this match and advance. The value bet is Santos on the moneyline at around 2.20-2.30, given the bookmakers already price them as 40% favourites and their recent form genuinely supports that.

Team Analysis

Remo’s last 30 days have been difficult: one win, two losses, and a draw across four matches, for a 25% win rate. Their most recent competitive result before the first leg was a 1-2 home defeat to Mirassol, and before that a 0-3 loss to Corinthians Paulista. The 2-0 win over Vitória offered some confidence, but that remains a one-off bright spot in a run that exposes defensive vulnerabilities. Remo’s 0-0 in the first leg against Santos was arguably their best defensive display in recent weeks, achieved through high foul counts and physical disruption rather than clean positional defending.

Santos have been in markedly better shape. Three wins, one loss, and two draws in their last six matches, with a 50% win rate over the last 30 days. Their 4-2 and 4-1 wins over Universidad Central de Venezuela in the Copa Sudamericana demonstrated genuine attacking firepower, and even the 2-2 draw with Chapecoense showed their ability to score multiple goals in a single game. The one concern is the 1-2 loss to Botafogo, where they were outpressed and struggled to create cleanly. Against a defensive Remo side, Santos should have more space to operate than they did in that match.

Most Recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Check out our dedicated Remo vs Santos stats page for more info.

Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Santos the Favourite

• Moneyline Remo 3.05-3.10 | Santos 2.20-2.30
• Draw 2.90-3.05

Santos at 2.20-2.30 represents the sharpest value in this market. The bookmakers’ 40% win probability for Santos is well-supported by the stats: superior shot volume, better pass accuracy, stronger recent form, and a squad depth that Remo simply cannot match. Remo at 3.05-3.10 is tempting on paper as the home side, but their recent form and limited attacking output make that price flattering. The draw at 2.90-3.05 is plausible given the first leg, but Santos have too much quality to be held again over 90 minutes at a venue they have already kept clean against.

Possible Starting Lineups

Remo Possible Starting Eleven

Remo are expected to line up in their familiar 4-2-3-1, with José Welison and Leonel Picco screening the back four. Mayk Van Van has been the most active defender in terms of passing (204 passes across five matches), often pushing forward to support attacks. Alef Manga and Jandir Breno are Remo’s primary scoring threats, each with a goal in the last five games. Marcelo Rangel has been reliable in goal with 18 saves over five appearances. Léo Condé will likely set up to be compact and hit Santos on transitions.

Santos Possible Starting Eleven

Santos deploy a 4-2-3-1 as well, with Christian Oliva as the deepest midfielder (332 passes, 294 accurate across six matches). Gabriel Brazão has made 20 saves in six appearances and is the clear first-choice goalkeeper. Neymar is the obvious danger man despite his yellow card accumulation (three in four games), and Álvaro Barreal has been the most active attacker by shot volume with 21 attempts. Gabriel Menino adds goals from midfield (two in six games), giving Cuca an extra scoring option beyond the front line. Lucas Veríssimo leads defensive interceptions with 12 across six matches, anchoring the back line.

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TipsGG Match Prediction

Santos are the better team on almost every measurable metric in this tie, and the first leg’s 0-0 result sets up a second leg where they must attack. Remo’s defensive record in recent weeks has been patchy (three goals conceded against Corinthians, two against Mirassol), and Santos have the personnel to exploit gaps. We predict a 1-0 Santos win, with Neymar or Álvaro Barreal as the most likely scorer. Remo’s home support will lift them early, but Santos’s superior possession and shot volume should wear down a Remo side that has won just one of their last four matches. The best bet remains Santos on the moneyline, and corners over 8.5 looks strong given Santos generated 46 corners across five matches compared to Remo’s 13.

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