Reims vs Paris Saint Germain Prediction: 24.05.2025 Coupe de France Final

The grand finale of the Coupe de France brings an intriguing contest as Reims faces Paris Saint Germain at Stade de France, Paris. While PSG arrives as overwhelming favorites, accounting for more than 80% of win probability according to leading bookmakers, there is still plenty at stake for both clubs. Reims, managed by Samba Diawara, will look to defy the odds and muster a resilient performance, while Luis Enrique’s PSG chases silverware to cap a dominant domestic season. The tactical battle and contrasting recent forms set the stage for a compelling showdown.

Key players to keep an eye on include PSG’s Gonçalo Ramos, whose attacking contributions have been vital in recent rounds, and Reims’ Sergio Akieme, who has been one of the few positives for the underdogs with appearances across all recent games and direct impact at both ends of the pitch.

A standout “hot stat”: Paris Saint Germain have scored 11 goals in their last 5 games, compared to Reims’ 2, highlighting the gulf in attacking efficiency coming into the final.

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Reims vs Paris Saint Germain prediction

The odds indicate near-total confidence in PSG’s ability to secure the Coupe de France, and with good reason. The Parisian giants boast an 82% win rate this year and have outscored their opponents by a considerable margin. Reims, conversely, have struggled for wins (0 in their last 5), showing persistent issues both in attack and defense. Expect PSG to control possession — their last five matches picked up more than 2,400 passes with high accuracy (89%) — and dictate the tempo, while Reims must focus on defensive solidity and hope to hit on the break. Fouls and yellow cards for both teams are relatively modest, suggesting a game that could be tactical rather than overtly physical.

Given PSG’s dominance in all forward metrics and a resolute defense, a multi-goal victory is expected. Reims’ struggle to find the net and PSG’s efficiency further support under 10.5 corners and “Both Teams To Score: No” as value picks.

Team Analysis

For Reims, recent results underline a tough spell: a 1-1 draw with Metz was as close as they came to a positive outcome in their last five, balanced against defeats to Lille (1-2), Saint Etienne (0-2), and Nice (0-1). Their defensive structure in a 4-3-3 setup has been stretched, and attacking output — only two goals in five — leaves plenty to be desired. Defensive midfielders like Amadou Koné and Valentin Atangana Edoa are tasked with shielding but struggle when pressed by higher-caliber opposition.

Paris Saint Germain approaches this final in striking form. Impressive recent victories, such as the 4-1 demolition of Montpellier and a 3-1 win over Auxerre, highlight just how much flair and attacking depth the squad possesses. PSG mixes experience and youth in a fluid 5-4-1, with a defense marshaled by Lucas Hernández and attacking impetus provided by Gonçalo Ramos, Ousmane Dembélé, and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia. Their only recent blip was a 1-2 loss to Strasbourg, but overall momentum is decisively in their favor.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Reims vs Paris Saint Germain stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Reims the favourite

• Moneyline Reims 22.00 | Paris Saint Germain 1.10
• Draw 9.70
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.60 | Under 2.5 2.40
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.05 | No 1.65

With PSG’s recent performance and their star-studded squad, the bookmakers’ odds reflect a lopsided contest. The generous line on Reims is illustrative of the expectations, but also shows potential for high-risk, high-reward bets for the daring bettor. The Over 2.5 line is favored, anticipating PSG’s offensive firepower, while “BTTS: No” also represents value given Reims’ attacking woes.

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Possible Starting Lineups

This projected 4-3-3 leans heavily on consistency; Diouf is the clear starter in goal. In defense, Kipre and Okumu are mainstays, with Akieme bringing dynamism on the flank. Gbane and Koné anchor the midfield, providing cover for more attack-minded players, while Siebatcheu leads the line. Ito and Nakamura offer width but have struggled for end product lately. Expect Reims to absorb pressure and break wide when possible.

Luis Enrique will likely deploy his favored 5-4-1, designed for both solidity and explosive width. Donnarumma remains an automatic pick in goal. Hernández and Beraldo marshal a three-man core, while Hakimi and Mendes provide attacking surges from wing-back positions. Zaire Emery and Neves ensure midfield balance, with Fabián Ruiz bringing composure alongside the ever-present Mayulu. At the tip, Ramos aims to continue his fine scoring form. Key players to watch: Ramos, for his finishing, and Hakimi, whose forward runs may unlock Reims’ defense.

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My take on the Match

Considering the current form, squad quality, and tactical acumen, Paris Saint Germain are strongly tipped to lift the trophy. Their superior ball retention, sharper attacking transitions, and a squad depth that comfortably eclipses their opposition should translate into a professional, multi-goal triumph. For bettors, PSG on the Asian Handicap market, Over 2.5 goals, and a “No” on Both Teams To Score are the standout picks. Reims will fight bravely, as is often the case in cup finals, but short of a dramatic upset, expect PSG’s class to prevail.

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