Sofia Quijada
Real Valladolid host Deportivo La Coruna at Estadio José Zorrilla as both teams approach the business end of the La Liga 2 season with sharply contrasting ambitions. Valladolid, sitting at 16th, remain dangerously close to the relegation battle, while Deportivo are in second, pushing for automatic promotion. The stark difference in recent form makes this matchup particularly revealing: Deportivo have dropped points just once in their last five, while Valladolid have suffered three defeats in the same period. An in-form Zakaria Eddahchouri for Deportivo, with two goals in his last four, and Valladolid’s creative spark Stipe Biuk (1G, 1A in three) are primed to impact the outcome. Goalkeeper Álvaro Fernández’s shot-stopping for Deportivo also deserves mention as a possible game-changer. Hot stat: Deportivo boast an 80% win rate over the last 30 days, doubling Valladolid’s output in the same stretch.
| 🏆 Tournament: | La Liga 2 2025/26 Regular Season (ES) |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estadio José Zorrilla, Valladolid |
| 🗓️ Date: | 24.05.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 18:30 CEST |
Real Valladolid vs Deportivo La Coruna prediction
We predict Deportivo La Coruna to win. This call comes down to sheer consistency and quality: Deportivo’s recent win rate stands at 80%, while Valladolid lag at 40%. Deportivo have not lost in their last five and show a clear attacking edge, averaging more shots, corners, and overall control. Valladolid struggle for cohesion, evidenced by only five goals in their last five outings and a negative goal difference. Their attack often lacks bite, and defensive lapses remain persistent. Deportivo’s structured 4-2-3-1 supports a possession-based, pressing style, while Valladolid often look reactive, with a tendency for late mistakes. Both sides accumulate a moderate number of fouls and yellow cards (Valladolid: 9 yellows in 5, Deportivo: 12 in 5), but Deportivo’s better pass accuracy (1472/1716; ~86%) and higher corner output reflect greater control and attacking initiative. These factors tilt the balance strongly in favor of the visitors.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Deportivo La Coruna to score in both halves |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Valladolid’s recent games expose deep inconsistencies. In their last match, a heavy 1-4 loss to Racing Santander, their defensive frailty stood out. The side conceded early and failed to recover, showing little ability to manage pressure. Their two wins in the last five were hard-fought but lacked attacking fluidity, and the losses came with a combined deficit of six goals. The midfield rarely controls the tempo, and their 61% pass completion over the last five matches is unimpressive, underlining possession struggles. Discipline is another issue, with a red card in the last five and frequent yellow cards disrupting rhythm.
Deportivo La Coruna, by contrast, have maintained a winning rhythm. Their latest outing was a solid 2-1 win over Andorra. They consistently create chances (56 shots in five matches), and their 23 corners reflect a proactive approach. Defensive organization is clear: only four goals conceded in the last five. Even their draws show resilience, grinding out points under pressure. High pass accuracy and ball retention characterize Antonio Hidalgo’s style, while attacking players like Eddahchouri and Mario Soriano (1G, 1A in last 4) drive forward thrust. Discipline remains tight, with only one yellow card per match on average and no red cards in the last five games.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Real Valladolid | Deportivo La Coruna |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1 |
| Total shots | 36 | 56 |
| Free kicks | 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks | 20 | 23 |
| Total fouls | 61 | 56 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 83% | 86% |
| Interceptions | 26 | 36 |
| Offsides | 11 | 4 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Real Valladolid vs Deportivo La Coruna stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Deportivo La Coruna the favourite
- Moneyline Real Valladolid 4.60 | Deportivo La Coruna 1.70
- Draw 3.90
- Over/Under Over 2.5 2.10 | Under 2.5 1.75
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.85 | No 1.90
Bookmakers rank Deportivo La Coruna as clear favorites, pricing them at 1.70 to win, while Valladolid face steep odds at 4.60. A draw sits at 3.90. The over/under line signals expectation for a lively match, and both teams have enough attacking threat to justify backing BTTS. Deportivo’s form, attacking productivity, and passing precision make the short price justified. Valladolid’s defensive record and lack of recent scoring output justify their underdog status, while a draw seems unlikely given Deportivo’s consistency.
Real Valladolid. Source: Official Facebook
Possible Starting Lineups
Real Valladolid possible starting eleven
- GK: Álvaro Aceves
- DF: Pablo Tomeo Félez, Mohamed Jaouab, Ramón Martínez, Carlos Clerc
- MF: Stanko Jurić, Julien Ponceau, Mathis Lachuer
- FW: Iván Alejo, Stipe Biuk, Juan Miguel Latasa
Álvaro Aceves remains the logical pick in goal, offering experience and decent shot-stopping. The defensive line features regulars like Clerc, Jaouab, and Tomeo Félez, balancing youth and reliability. Midfield control hinges on Jurić and Ponceau, while Lachuer’s creativity will be key. The attack sees Biuk as the standout threat, with Latasa and Alejo providing width and pressing. This lineup is expected to stick to the 4-2-3-1, relying on discipline and counter-attacks. Watch for Biuk’s influence between the lines and Clerc’s forward runs.
Deportivo La Coruna possible starting eleven
- GK: Álvaro Fernández
- DF: Ximo Navarro, Lucas Noubi, Arnau Comas, Giacomo Quagliata
- MF: Diego Villares, Mario Soriano, José Ángel Jurado
- FW: Zakaria Eddahchouri, Luismi Cruz, Yeremay Hernández
Álvaro Fernández is undroppable in goal, marshaling the defense with authority. Navarro, Noubi, Comas, and Quagliata anchor a settled back four. Villares and Soriano, key for ball progression, partner with Jurado’s composure. The front line features Eddahchouri’s finishing, Cruz’s pace, and Hernández’s link-up play. Expect the 4-2-3-1 to emphasize control, high pressing, and width. Eddahchouri is the player to watch for his movement and goal threat, while Soriano’s ability to break lines will test Valladolid’s defensive shape.
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Deportivo La Coruna. Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict Deportivo La Coruna to win away, building on their consistent results, sharper attack, and disciplined midfield. Valladolid’s home form does not compensate for their defensive lapses, and their reliance on moments of individual brilliance leaves them exposed against a structured opponent. Expect Deportivo to dominate possession and create more high-quality chances, with Eddahchouri and Soriano likely to play decisive roles. A possible final scoreline: 2-1 or 3-1 to Deportivo La Coruna.
