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Real Sociedad B vs Granada CF Prediction: 04.10.2026 La Liga 2

03.10.2026, 06:53
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Two mid-table sides meet at Zubieta with contrasting ambitions. Real Sociedad B sit 14th, Granada CF just one place and zero points above them at 13th, and both arrive having lost their most recent fixture. The interesting wrinkle here is the head-to-head record: Granada have won both of the last two meetings between these clubs by an aggregate of 7-2, a gap that looks wide given how tight the current table positions are.

Keep an eye on Dani Diaz up front for the home side, he has produced six shots and a goal across his last three appearances despite limited minutes. For Granada, Manuel Lama Maroto has been the standout contributor from the back line, chipping in with a goal and an assist while still leading defensive duties.

Hot stat: Granada CF have fired 73 shots across their last five matches, more than double Real Sociedad B’s 30, averaging close to 14.6 attempts per game to the hosts’ 6. That gulf in attacking volume says a lot about where the goal threat is likely to come from on Sunday.

08:00Finished04.10.2026
🏆 Tournament: La Liga 2 2026/2027, Regular Season
🏟 Venue: Estadio Ciudad Deportiva Zubieta, San Sebastian
🗓️ Date: 04.10.2026
⏰ Time: 14:00 CEST

Real Sociedad B vs Granada CF prediction

We lean toward Granada CF here, backed mainly by the recent head-to-head trend and the shot volume gap. Our pick for value is Granada CF on the double chance (X2), covering both a win and a draw, since the away side has looked the sharper outfit in shot creation and passing accuracy without always converting it into results. To be honest, a straight Granada win carries appeal too given their 7-2 aggregate advantage in the last two meetings, but the double chance offers a cushion against their own inconsistent away form.

Style-wise, Real Sociedad B have committed more fouls per match (64 across five games against Granada’s 48) and picked up the same ten yellow cards as their opponents, suggesting a scrappier approach that could disrupt Granada’s rhythm early. Granada’s pass accuracy sits around 86%, well above Real Sociedad B’s 69%, a gap that typically shows up in territorial control and corner counts rather than a flood of clear chances. Expect Granada to dominate possession phases while Real Sociedad B look to break quickly and draw fouls near the box.

🔥Hot Tip: Granada CF Double Chance (X2)
⚽Total Goals: Over 2.5
💥Both Teams To Score: Yes
🎯Total Corners: Over 9.5

Team Analysis

Real Sociedad B’s latest result was a 4-0 win over Leicester U21, snapping a run that had seen three losses in the previous four outings, including a 1-3 defeat to Ceuta and a 0-1 loss to Mallorca. The win was built on a rare clean attacking display, with Dani Diaz and Lander Astiazarán both getting on the scoresheet, but the underlying form across the last fifteen matches shows more losses than wins, pointing to a side still searching for consistency at this level.

14:00Finished30.09.2026

Granada CF head into this one on the back of a 2-3 loss to Andorra, their fourth defeat in the last five matches, with only a 3-1 win over Cordoba breaking up a run of setbacks against Leganes, Albacete and Eibar. The shot numbers and pass accuracy data suggest Granada are creating enough to score, averaging roughly a goal a game across that stretch, but defensive lapses have repeatedly cost them points on the road.

10:15Finished26.09.2026
3AndorraSpain

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

Statistic Real Sociedad B Granada CF
Goals 2 7

🚨Check out our dedicated Real Sociedad B vs Granada CF stats page for more info.

Real Sociedad B. Source: Official Facebook

Real Sociedad B. Source: Official Facebook

Pre-game odds and win probability: Real Sociedad B the favourite

  • Moneyline Real Sociedad B 2.50 | Granada CF 2.70
  • Draw 3.20

Bookmakers price Real Sociedad B as marginal favourites at 37% implied probability against Granada’s 34%, with the draw sitting at 29%. That gap is thin enough to treat as close to a coin flip, and given Granada’s superior shot output and pass accuracy over the last five games, we see value leaning toward the away side rather than taking the hosts at face value as favourites.

Possible Starting Lineups

Real Sociedad B possible starting eleven

  • GK: Aitor Fraga
  • DF: Inaki Ruperez, Unax Agote, Kazunari Kita, Jon Garro
  • MF: Tomy Carbonell, Alex Lebarbier, Gorka Gorosabel, Lander Astiazarán, Ibai Aguirre
  • FW: Dani Diaz

Ion Ansotegi should stick with the 4-2-3-1 that has featured in each of the last five matches. Carbonell and Lebarbier anchor midfield, while Dani Diaz leads the line as the main attacking outlet after producing the most shots among the forwards.

Granada CF possible starting eleven

  • GK: Raúl Lizoain
  • DF: Sergio López, Benedikt Gimber, Manuel Lama Maroto, Bourama Dembelé
  • MF: Gerard Gumbau, Rubén Alcaraz, Pedro Alemañ Serna
  • FW: José Manuel Arnáiz, Jorge Pascual, Sergio Rodelas Pintor

José Rojo Martín has used nearly the same back four and front three in all four recent fixtures, pointing to a settled 4-3-3. Arnáiz is the one to watch, leading the squad in shot attempts, while Lama Maroto adds goal threat from defense on set pieces.

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Granada CF. Source: Official Facebook

Granada CF. Source: Official Facebook


TipsGG Match Prediction

We predict Granada CF to edge this one, or at worst share the points, backed by their 7-2 aggregate dominance in the last two head-to-head meetings and a clear shot volume edge over the last five matches. Real Sociedad B’s home comfort and recent 4-0 win give them a puncher’s chance, but their defensive numbers, conceding regularly and committing more fouls, suggest Granada’s higher pass accuracy and chance creation should tell over 90 minutes. Our call: Granada CF Double Chance (X2), with both teams to score and the total goals tally climbing past 2.5.

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