Sofia Quijada
La Liga approaches its conclusion with Real Oviedo hosting Alavés at Nuevo Carlos Tartiere. While both teams have struggled this season, Alavés sit outside the relegation zone, while Real Oviedo are deeply threatened. A win here would be a rare bright spot for the home side. Alavés recently shocked Barcelona, showing they can upset even the elite. For Oviedo, Ilyas Chaira remains their only recent goal threat, while Alavés rely on Toni Martínez, who has netted four goals in his last five matches.
Hot stat: Real Oviedo have scored just 2 goals in their last 5 matches; Alavés have managed 7 over the same period.
| 🏆 Tournament: | La Liga 2025/26 Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Nuevo Carlos Tartiere, Oviedo |
| 🗓️ Date: | 17.05.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 19:00 CEST |
Real Oviedo vs Alavés prediction
We predict Alavés to win. Real Oviedo look uninspired in attack and have failed to secure a single win in their last five outings, while Alavés recently demonstrated resilience and tactical discipline, even defeating Barcelona. Alavés’ superior shot volume, improved conversion, and more dynamic attack give them an edge. Their aggressive approach has resulted in higher yellow card counts, but it also disrupts opponents and creates more set-piece opportunities.
Real Oviedo play cautiously, with a slightly lower foul count and fewer bookings, but their midfield lacks creative spark. Alavés press high and often commit tactical fouls, which slows down the game and disrupts rhythm. Ball possession is expected to be fairly even, but Alavés’ more direct style means they threaten more frequently.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Alavés to win & Over 2.5 yellow cards |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Real Oviedo’s most recent game saw them lose 0-2 to Real Madrid. The team showed little attacking intent, registering only a handful of shots and failing to create big chances. Previous games tell a similar story: a 0-0 draw with Getafe, a 0-3 defeat to Real Betis, and a 1-2 home loss against Elche. Their only positive moment was a 1-1 draw against Villarreal. Ilyas Chaira has scored both of Oviedo’s goals in the last five matches. The midfield, featuring Santi Cazorla and Santiago Colombatto, struggles to control games or provide service to forwards.
Alavés, in contrast, recently stunned Barcelona 1-0, showing defensive grit and opportunistic finishing. The run includes a 1-1 draw with Elche, a 2-4 loss to Athletic Bilbao, a 2-1 win over Mallorca, and a narrow 1-2 defeat to Real Madrid. Toni Martínez is in fine form, netting four times across these matches, while Antonio Blanco and Nahuel Tenaglia have contributed vital goals. Alavés’ midfield, anchored by Jon Guridi and Antonio Blanco, has balanced defensive work with quick transitions forward.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Real Oviedo | Alavés |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1 |
| Total shots | 9 | 8 |
| Free kicks | 14 | 13 |
| Corner kicks | 5 | 6 |
| Total fouls | 15 | 13 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 78 | 74 |
| Interceptions | 11 | 10 |
| Offsides | 1 | 2 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Real Oviedo vs Alavés stats page for more info.
Real Oviedo. Source: Official Website
Pre-game odds and win probability: Alavés the favourite
- Moneyline Real Oviedo 3.96 | Alavés 1.98
- Draw 3.86
- Over/Under Over 2.5 2.50 | Under 2.5 1.50
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.15 | No 1.60
The bookmakers heavily favor Alavés, reflecting both teams’ recent forms and league positions. Real Oviedo’s attack lacks bite and efficiency, while Alavés have found goals against tough opposition. Value lies in backing Alavés, especially considering their recent win against Barcelona. The under 2.5 goals market stands out, as both teams rarely rack up high scores. Both Teams To Score “No” is preferred, given Oviedo’s struggles in front of goal.
Possible Starting Lineups
Real Oviedo possible starting eleven
- GK: Aarón Escandell
- DF: Nacho Vidal, David Costas, Dani Calvo, Eric Bailly, Rahim Alhassane
- MF: Santi Cazorla, Santiago Colombatto, Alberto Reina
- FW: Ilyas Chaira, Federico Viñas
This lineup reflects the most consistent selections in recent matches, with Escandell in goal and a five-man defense aiming to stem the tide. Cazorla and Colombatto anchor the midfield, seeking stability and creativity. Ilyas Chaira, Oviedo’s only recent goal scorer, is crucial up front. The team should continue in the familiar 5-3-2 shape.
Alavés possible starting eleven
- GK: Antonio Sivera
- DF: Jonny Otto, Nahuel Tenaglia, Victor Parada, Jon Pacheco, Youssef Enriquez
- MF: Antonio Blanco, Jon Guridi, Pablo Ibanez Lumbreras
- FW: Toni Martínez, Abderrahmane Rebbach
Antonio Sivera leads from the back, with a solid five-man defense in front. Tenaglia and Parada offer both strength and distribution. Antonio Blanco and Jon Guridi control the middle, allowing Rebbach and Martínez to attack with pace. Expect Alavés to stick with their successful 5-3-2 formation. Toni Martínez is the clear danger man.
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Alavés. Source: Official Website
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict Alavés to secure all three points. Their confidence after toppling Barcelona, combined with the consistent scoring of Toni Martínez, sets them apart from a struggling Real Oviedo. Alavés’ higher tempo, physicality, and recent defensive organization make them the clear favorites in this fixture. Real Oviedo’s lack of firepower and recent home woes suggest another frustrating evening for their fans.
