Racing Santander vs Almeria Predictions: Odds and betting tips for La Liga 2 - 12.04.2026

The stage is set for a pivotal La Liga 2 clash as Racing Santander welcomes Almeria to El Sardinero Stadium on 12 April 2026, with kickoff scheduled for 21:00 CEST. Both teams are firmly entrenched in the promotion picture, sitting first and second in the regular season standings. Under the stewardship of José Alberto López and Rubi, Racing and Almeria respectively have brought flair, aggression, and tactical discipline to the forefront this season, making this encounter one of the most anticipated fixtures in the second division calendar.

Beyond the coaches’ influence, all eyes will be on Racing’s dynamic attacking duo, Andrés Martín who nets goals and crafts chances with equal panache and the ever-dangerous Giorgi Guliashvili, especially given his recent scoring form. For Almeria, Sergio Arribas Calvo’s four-goal haul in five matches adds a potent threat from midfield, while Léo Baptistão remains a creative fulcrum upfront.

A hot stat for this encounter: Almeria have scored 10 goals in their last five matches the division’s best over that span signaling their offensive edge coming into this crucial fixture.

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Racing Santander vs Almeria predictions

Me best bet: Both Teams to Score (BTTS). This is a natural selection given the data: Racing Santander and Almeria have each scored at least twice in three of their last five matches, and their previous encounters have averaged 3 goals per game. Both teams boast aggressive, attack-minded formations and have conceded a combined 100 goals this season, suggesting an open contest where both attacks are likely to flourish. The forwards’ sharpness including Martín and Guliashvili for Santander, Arribas and De La Fuente for Almeria should further guarantee offensive spectacle.

When considering team styles, both employ a 4-2-3-1 shape, underlining the importance of wing play and quick transitions. Racing, slightly more disciplined defensively but prone to lapses (such as their recent 2-6 shock against Andorra), average 16 yellow cards and 62 fouls over their last five. Almeria exceed even this, with 70 fouls and 15 yellow cards, indicating a physical, pressing approach that sometimes slips into indiscipline. This could see the referee busy but also opens space for transitions and fast breaks, fertile ground for goals. Ball progression statistics show both teams exceed 1800 successful passes in their last five, hinting at a contest that should be lively and technical as much as gritty.

• ⚽Total Goals: Over 2.5
• 💥Both Teams To Score: Yes
• 🎯Total Corners: Over 8.5

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Historically, meetings between Racing Santander and Almeria have been balanced, but recent fixtures reflect a slight edge for Almeria, who triumphed 2-0 in the most recent 2024/25 meeting. However, Racing’s 3-2 victory earlier in 2025/26 underscores their attacking potential at home. Both sides tend to find the net against each other, maintaining high offensive output but also revealing defensive vulnerabilities.

🚨Read our full Racing Santander vs Almeria stats for more analysis.

Key Stats

• Almeria have won 4 of their last 6 matches (67% win rate in last month).
• Racing Santander at home have scored at least 2 goals in 5 of their previous 6 league matches.
• Both teams prefer the 4-2-3-1 formation and utilize wide attacking play with technical wingers.
• Recent meetings: At least 2 goals scored in each of the last three H2Hs, with two featuring over 2.5 goals.
• Almeria lead the league in shots attempted (77 in last 5 matches).
• Andrés Martín (Santander) and Sergio Arribas Calvo (Almeria) are among the most in-form players, involved in 6 goals (combined) in their respective last five matches.

Racing Santander vs Almeria score prediction: 2-2

A thrilling, high-intensity encounter is anticipated, and a 2-2 draw represents the most statistically likely outcome. Almeria’s dynamic duo of Arribas and De La Fuente, combined with Racing’s Martín and Guliashvili, should each be good for at least a goal. Both teams’ attacking prowess, matched only by occasional defensive lapses, points toward a score draw in front of what promises to be a fervent El Sardinero crowd.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Racing Santander the favourite

Markets favor Racing Santander narrowly with a 40% probability, but Almeria’s recent form and attacking quality mean the odds are tighter than they might otherwise be. Value clearly lies in the goals markets, as reflected in the favorable odds for over 2.5 goals and BTTS, due to both teams’ high output and leaky defences. With both sides pushing for promotion, neither is likely to sit back, further increasing the probability of multiple goals.

Racing Santander vs Almeria Over/Under Analysis

• Four out of the last five Racing Santander matches have seen over 2.5 goals.
• Almeria matches have averaged exactly 2 goals per game in their last five, with a 10-goal surge over that stretch.
• Both teams have failed to keep a single clean sheet in their last three matches.
• Hot tip: Over 2.5 goals offers excellent value considering both sides’ defensive records and attacking trends.

Racing Santander Preview

Racing Santander’s recent form has been somewhat erratic, with a lopsided 2-6 home defeat to Andorra raising questions about defensive organization. Nonetheless, the team rebounded with a confident 3-1 win over Gijon and remains top due to their relentless offense scoring 67 goals from 34 matches, the most in the league. The double presence of dynamic forwards Martín and Guliashvili will be crucial in unlocking a stubborn Almeria backline, while midfield stability provided by Gustavo Puerta and Damián Rodríguez keeps Racing ticking. However, discipline remains a concern, with 16 yellow cards in their last five games.

Racing Santander possible starting eleven

Almeria Preview

Almeria approach this fixture buoyed by a 2-1 win over Leganes and a 5-1 demolition of Real Sociedad B. Their robust attacking numbers 10 goals in their last five are complemented by standout individual form, notably from Sergio Arribas Calvo (four goals) and the creative impetus of Léo Baptistão and Adrián Embarba. Almeria’s defensive unit, marshaled by Andrés Fernández and Federico Bonini, boasts more solidity than Racing’s but is still prone to occasional lapses, as shown in their 2-2 draw with Castellon. Rubi’s side amass more fouls and yellow cards than any other top-4 team, an aspect that could yield dangerous free kicks for Racing.

Almeria possible starting eleven

The Verdict

As an expert panel representing TipsGG, our main pick for this top-of-the-table clash is a draw with a 2-2 scoreline highly probable. The data points to balanced attacking threats, mirrored vulnerabilities, and a history of goal-laden matchups. We assign Racing Santander a 40 percent win probability, Almeria at 33 percent, and include a 27 percent likelihood of a draw, according to our dedicated AI prediction engine. Expect tactical chess, relentless pace, and plenty of goalmouth drama.

How to watch Racing Santander vs Almeria

When? 12 April 2026

Kick-off time: 21:00 CEST

Where? El Sardinero, Santander, Spain

How to watch: Check local broadcasters or stream via La Liga SmartBank platforms.

Favorite: Racing Santander

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