Queretaro vs Pachuca Predictions: Odds and betting tips for Liga MX Clausura - 02.02.2026

The Estadio Corregidora de Queretaro in Santiago de Queretaro sets the stage for a pivotal Liga MX 2026 Clausura regular season encounter as Queretaro hosts Pachuca on February 2, 2026, at 01:00 CEST. This fixture carries significant weight for both sides, with Queretaro searching for their first win of the campaign, while Pachuca aims to ascend the standings and establish early momentum. The raucous home crowd will look to inspire Queretaro to halt their winless run, while Pachuca arrives with tactical discipline and superior recent form under Esteban Solari.

Key players to watch include Queretaro’s forward Mateo Coronel, who has struck twice in the opening three matches and often looks to capitalize on transitions, and Pachuca’s Oussama Idrissi, a dynamic wide attacker capable of unlocking defences and providing incisive service to the forwards. Each is integral to their respective side’s attacking output.

A “hot stat” from recent outings: Queretaro have failed to win in their last six Liga MX home games, underlining the pressure they face to deliver in front of their fans.

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Queretaro vs Pachuca predictions

My best bet: Pachuca to win. Despite an inconsistent start, Pachuca possess a deeper squad, greater tactical flexibility, and have shown a capacity to secure points away from home, evidenced by their 40% win rate over their last five games. Their defensive organization and efficiency on the break under Solari stand in contrast to Queretaro’s ongoing struggles in both penalty areas.

Further analysis of playing style reveals Queretaro’s high foul count (31 in the last five games) and commitment to physical challenges, which has resulted in a moderate yellow-card tally (7). Their average ball possession remains low, often ceding initiative to opponents, while Pachuca leverage a disciplined 4-1-4-1 formation with high passing numbers (1206 passes, 82 percent accuracy) and a preference for controlling central spaces. That control is likely to hinder Queretaro’s attacking hopes and provoke mistakes.

Prop picks by me:

• ⚽Total Goals: Under 2.5
• 💥Both Teams To Score: No
• 🎯Total Corners: Under 10.5

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Queretaro vs Pachuca Most recent H2Hs

Examining previous meetings, Pachuca’s 1-0 win over Queretaro in the 2025 Clausura and the recent 2-0 victory by Queretaro in the 2025 Apertura underscore the tightly contested nature of this matchup. Low goal margins have been common, each team generally grinding possession and opportunities. The tactical setup often leads to cagey contests, suggesting another close, low-scoring affair.

🚨Read our full Queretaro vs Pachuca stats for more analysis.

Key Stats

• Pachuca boasts an 82 percent passing accuracy over their last five matches, compared to Queretaro’s 78 percent.
• Queretaro have scored just 3 goals in three Liga MX matches; Pachuca scored only 2, but they have shown stronger defensive discipline.
• Mateo Coronel (Queretaro) has been directly involved in 2 of his team’s 3 goals.
• Pachuca have committed 43 fouls in their last five matches, reflecting their aggressive approach in midfield defensive transitions.
• Both teams remain disciplined, with no red cards in their last five matches.

Queretaro vs Pachuca score prediction: 0-1

A narrow Pachuca away victory is the most probable outcome, with Oussama Idrissi or Salomón Rondón likely to find the decisive breakthrough. Pachuca’s composure in defence and superior midfield ball retention are likely to blunt Queretaro’s counterattacks. Expect Esteban Solari’s men to dictate play for long stretches, leaving Queretaro searching for answers in the final third.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Pachuca the favourite

Bookmakers are leaning towards Pachuca due to their better recent run and tactical solidity. The relatively short odds for under 2.5 goals reflect expectations for a cautious opening and limited clear-cut opportunities. The “both teams to score” odds are very tight, which corresponds with both teams’ inconsistent attacking outputs.

Queretaro vs Pachuca Over/Under Analysis

• Pachuca’s last 4 games: 3 have gone under 2.5 goals
• Queretaro’s last 3 matches: none have seen more than 3 goals
• Combined, these teams have averaged less than one goal each per match in the Clausura
• Best total goals pick: Under 2.5

Queretaro Preview

Queretaro enter this fixture in the midst of a worrying slide, registering a draw and two defeats to start the Clausura. Their last outing, a narrow 1-2 home defeat against Chivas Guadalajara, typified their season: brief spells of promise punctuated by defensive lapses and a lack of sharpness in front of goal. Their inability to convert chances and control matches is reflected in both their goal output and passing statistics.

Queretaro possible starting eleven:

Pachuca Preview

Pachuca arrive buoyed by a recent 2-1 triumph over Club Leon after securing a valuable draw against Club America. They also faced Chivas Guadalajara, succumbing 0-2, but overall, the team demonstrates resilience and structural stability. Esteban Solari’s tactical blueprint relies on width from Oussama Idrissi and direct running from Salomón Rondón, underpinned by disciplined midfield support. While attacking output has been modest, their overall approach emphasizes controlled build-up and effective pressing.

Pachuca possible starting eleven:

The Verdict

As TipsGG experts, we forecast Pachuca to edge this contest in Santiago de Queretaro. Their higher passing accuracy, disciplined shape, and advantage in individual duels provide the edge in a fixture that has historically been closely fought. AI prediction model estimates Pachuca’s win probability at 42 percent, Queretaro at 30 percent, and the draw at 28 percent.

How to watch Queretaro vs Pachuca

When? February 2, 2026 | Kick-off time: 01:00 CEST

Where? Estadio Corregidora de Queretaro, Santiago de Queretaro

How to watch: TUDN (MX), streaming on official Liga MX platforms.

Favorite: Pachuca

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