Sofia Quijada
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Queretaro host Monterrey at Estadio La Corregidora in Santiago Querétaro on 15.11.2026. The hosts sit 12th with 20 points, while Monterrey hold 10th with 21. Monterrey have won all four of their most recent meetings with Queretaro, scoring 11 goals in the process. That record gives the visitors a clear edge in this fixture.
Two players to watch stand out for different reasons. Ali Ávila has scored twice for Queretaro in the last five matches and leads his side in shots with 12, so he carries the main threat for the hosts. Hugo Cuypers has three goals from nine shots for Monterrey and gives the visitors a reliable finisher in the box.
Hot stat: Queretaro have conceded 13 goals in their last five matches, including five in a 0-5 defeat to Santos Laguna. That defensive record sets up a difficult test against a Monterrey side that has scored nine times in the same span.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Liga MX 2026 Apertura, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estadio La Corregidora, Santiago Querétaro |
| 🗓️ Date: | 15.11.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 01:00 CEST |
Queretaro vs Monterrey prediction
We predict a Monterrey win with over 2.5 goals. The visitors sit at 2.00 on the moneyline, and the bookmakers’ average gives them a 46% win probability. Queretaro have lost each of their last five matches, and their attack has produced only three goals in that stretch. Monterrey, despite a mixed run, have scored in four of their last five and carry more shot volume at 62 across the sample against Queretaro’s 83 shots that have not converted. The value sits with Monterrey to win and over 2.5 goals, because the hosts concede often and the visitors create enough chances to break through.
Queretaro commit more fouls per match, with 53 across five games against Monterrey’s 47, which suggests a team that defends through interruptions rather than positional control. Monterrey hold the greater share of possession, completing 2494 passes in five matches compared with Queretaro’s 2251, and they win more of the ball with 51 interceptions to 41. Monterrey have also been carded more often at 15 yellow cards to 8, a sign of a physical approach that may draw cards in a tight game. Monterrey’s control through the middle should dictate the flow, and the hosts’ lack of finishing points toward a visiting win with goals at both ends.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Monterrey to win and over 2.5 goals |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Queretaro have lost their last five matches, the most recent a 0-2 home defeat to Puebla. In our preview of Queretaro vs Puebla we called a Queretaro win, and the 0-2 scoreline went against us. The hosts managed only three goals across the five games and kept no clean sheet, which leaves them without a reliable route to points. Their 1-3 and 1-3 losses to Juarez and Cruz Azul show a side that concedes freely in open play. Form suggests a difficult evening against a team that has scored in four of its last five.
Monterrey lost 0-4 at Toluca in their most recent match, but their recent run before that includes a 4-1 win over Puebla and a 2-1 win over Pachuca. In our preview of Toluca vs Monterrey we called a draw as our primary option, and the 0-4 result went against us. Monterrey have scored nine goals in five matches, and their last two draws against Tijuana and the 3-3 result show attacking ambition that can also leave gaps. Their form has settled into a mix of results, which keeps them in the chase for the top half of the table.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Queretaro | Monterrey |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3 | 11 |
Monterrey have won all four recent meetings, with results of 4-0, 1-0, 4-2 and 2-1 across the 2024 to 2026 seasons. Queretaro have not scored more than twice in that run.
🚨Check out our dedicated Queretaro vs Monterrey stats page for more info.
Queretaro. Source: Official Facebook
Pre-game odds and win probability: Monterrey the favourite
- Moneyline Queretaro 3.40 | Monterrey 2.00
- Draw 3.55
Monterrey sit at 2.00 across the market, which translates to an implied probability near 50% before the margin is removed. The bookmakers’ average of 46% gives a slightly more measured view, and we agree that Monterrey hold the edge. Queretaro’s odds around 3.40 reflect a home side with no winning momentum. The draw at 3.55 carries less appeal because Monterrey’s attack should break the deadlock.
Possible Starting Lineups
Queretaro possible starting eleven
- GK: Guillermo Allison
- DF: Lucas Abascia, Daniel Parra, Diego Reyes, Carlos Villanueva
- MF: Carlo Garcia, Enzo Giménez, Bernardo Parra, Santiago Homenchenko
- FW: Ali Ávila, Mateo Coronel
The selection follows appearance totals across the last five matches, with Allison and Abascia logging the most minutes. Garcia and Giménez form the double pivot in a 4-2-3-1, with Bernardo Parra and Homenchenko supporting. Ávila operates as the attacking midfielder behind Coronel, who leads the line. Queretaro line up in a 4-2-3-1 formation.
Monterrey possible starting eleven
- GK: Esteban Andrada
- DF: Victor Guzmán, Gerardo Arteaga, Carlos Salcedo, Ricardo Chávez
- MF: César Garza, Óliver Torres, Orbelín Pineda, Lucas Ocampos
- FW: Diego Rossi, Hugo Cuypers
Andrada has started every match in the sample, and the back four has played nearly all available minutes. Garza and Torres form the base of the midfield, with Pineda and Ocampos providing creativity and width. Cuypers leads the line with three goals, and Rossi offers pace on the counter. Monterrey line up in a 4-2-3-1 formation.
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Monterrey. Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict Monterrey 2-1 Queretaro, with Monterrey winning and both teams finding the net. Queretaro have scored only three goals in five matches and have lost every game in that stretch, so the hosts need an unusual scoring spree to avoid defeat. Monterrey have won the last four meetings and carry a higher shot output. Over 2.5 goals and BTTS Yes fit the profile of a side that concedes often and a team that has struggled to keep clean sheets.
