Sofia Quijada
The Estadio Corregidora de Queretaro in Santiago de Queretaro sets the stage for this pivotal Liga MX 2025 Apertura Regular Season fixture between Queretaro and Mazatlan FC on November 3, 2025, with kick-off scheduled for 01:00 CEST. With both teams striving to move out of the bottom half of the table, the stakes could not be higher. Queretaro, currently in 15th place, holds a slight edge in the standings over 16th-placed Mazatlan FC, making this clash far more than just a mid-season contest—it is a battle for pride and much-needed momentum.
On the tactical front, keep a sharp eye on Queretaro’s forward Ali Ávila, who leads their attack with three goals across his last four appearances, frequently making intelligent runs behind defensive lines. For Mazatlan FC, Bryan Colula has emerged as an unlikely but influential offensive threat from the back, with two goals in his last four games, underlining his capacity to impact both defensive solidity and set-piece situations. Their performances could well tip the balance in this finely-poised contest.
In recent matches, Mazatlan FC’s proficiency at earning set pieces stands out; they have forced a remarkable 17 corner kicks in their last five fixtures—one of the highest figures in Liga MX during this span. This volume of corners points to their persistent pressure and creativity in the attacking third.
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Queretaro vs Mazatlan FC predictions
Me best bet: Queretaro to win.
Given their recent improvement at home and the narrow win against Chivas Guadalajara—an opponent of considerably higher standing—Queretaro enters this clash with a measure of confidence. The side is under the guidance of Benjamín Mora, who has instilled a structure evident in their recent home fixtures, especially in compact defensive transitions and pressing shape.
Queretaro tend to play a disciplined 4-1-4-1, relying on structured buildup, while Mazatlan FC’s 4-2-3-1 keeps them compact but at times overly cautious. Notably, Mazatlan FC commits more fouls (60 over their last 5 games compared to Queretaro’s 47) and accumulates more yellow cards—12 to Queretaro’s 7—suggesting a level of aggression that could lead to disruptive play or disciplinary issues, especially away from home. Ball possession statistics (measured via total passes) are roughly balanced—1372 to 1305 in the last five matches—so this contest may hinge on execution and discipline more than possession dominance. These elements help tilt the odds toward Queretaro, particularly given their higher recent scoring efficiency at home.
- ⚽Total Goals: Under 2.5
- 💥Both Teams To Score: No
- 🎯Total Corners: Over 10.5
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Queretaro vs Mazatlan FC Most recent H2Hs
| Statistic | Queretaro | Mazatlan FC |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 0 |
| Total shots | 9 | 8 |
| Free kicks | 12 | 14 |
| Corner kicks | 5 | 7 |
| Total fouls | 15 | 17 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 82 | 78 |
| Interceptions | 13 | 12 |
| Offsides | 1 | 2 |
Historically, meetings between these two sides have been competitive but often low-scoring. In their most recent clash, Queretaro edged a 1-0 win with a slightly higher passing accuracy and a willingness to break forward on the counter. In an earlier 2-2 draw, both teams demonstrated an ability to capitalize on defensive lapses, though defensive discipline has tightened since then given recent trends in yellow card accumulation and reduced goal totals.
🚨Read our full Queretaro vs Mazatlan FC stats for more analysis.
Key Stats
- Queretaro have won 2 of their last 5 league matches, including a recent home victory against Chivas Guadalajara.
- Mazatlan FC have drawn 2 of their last 3, but secured just 1 win in their previous 5 fixtures.
- Mazatlan FC forced 17 corners in their last five games, the highest amongst the bottom six teams in the standings.
- Queretaro averages fewer yellow cards per game (1.4) than Mazatlan FC (2.4), indicating greater discipline.
- A combined win rate below 30 percent for both sides this season points to tight, competitive matches rather than one-sided affairs.
Queretaro vs Mazatlan FC score prediction: 1-0
Expect Queretaro to edge out a narrow 1-0 victory. The home side’s defensive shape, anchored by the likes of Diego Reyes and the creative spark from Lucas Rodriguez and Ali Ávila in transition, makes them likely to absorb Mazatlan FC’s pressure effectively and strike on the break. Mazatlan FC’s tendency toward indiscipline and fouls could disrupt their own rhythm and provide Queretaro the set-piece opportunities necessary to seize all three points.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Queretaro the favourite
| Moneyline | Queretaro 2.16 | Mazatlan FC 3.27 | |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 3.34 | |
| Over/Under | Over 2.5 2.15 | Under 2.5 1.75 | |
| BTTS (both teams to score) | Yes 1.88 | No 1.92 | |
Bookmakers have rightly identified Queretaro as marginal favourites on home soil, given their marginally stronger finish in recent games and their higher league standing. The short odds on Under 2.5 goals reflect both teams’ season-long struggle to produce goals and highlight the likelihood of a low-scoring contest. The near parity in both teams to score odds further echoes the balance and defensive tendencies of both squads.
Mazatlan. Source: Official Facebook
Queretaro vs Mazatlan FC Over/Under Analysis
- Queretaro’s last four matches have seen Under 2.5 goals land three times.
- Mazatlan FC have only scored more than two goals once in their last ten outings.
- Both teams rank in the bottom third for total goals scored in Liga MX this season.
- Corner kicks prediction: Over 10.5 corners, with Mazatlan FC driving the total.
Queretaro Preview
Queretaro come into this match after an encouraging 1-0 win over Chivas Guadalajara, injecting much-needed belief into their campaign. The clean sheet was the result of disciplined defending and a quick, vertical transition game. However, previous losses to Santos Laguna and Toluca exposed vulnerabilities at the back, especially under pressure from direct attacks. Coach Benjamín Mora relies on a compact defensive block and aggressive full-backs, and the emergence of Ali Ávila as a clinical finisher is a crucial asset heading into this encounter.
Queretaro possible starting eleven
- GK: Guillermo Allison
- DF: Omar Mendoza, Jaime Gomez, Francisco Venegas, Diego Reyes
- MF: Rodrigo Bogarin, Lucas Rodriguez, Angel Zapata, Jhojan Julio, Santiago Damián Homenchenko
- FW: Ali Ávila
Mazatlan FC Preview
Mazatlan FC, under Robert Siboldi, have shown glimpses of attacking vibrancy, notably in their recent 2-2 draws with Club America and Santos Laguna, thanks to dynamic incursions from Bryan Colula and discipline in midfield transitions. Nonetheless, their inability to secure victories regularly is a concern, stemming from defensive lapses and an over-reliance on set pieces for scoring opportunities. The side’s physicality is double-edged—while it generates attacking set plays (high corner and foul counts), it frequently results in cautions and disrupts their offensive flow.
Mazatlan FC possible starting eleven
- GK: Ricardo Gutierrez
- DF: Bryan Colula, Facundo Almada, Jair Díaz, Ángel Leyva
- MF: Mauro Laínez, Joaquin Esquivel, Roberto Meraz, Yoel Bárcenas
- FW: Jesús Hernández Casiano, Dudu
Our prediction: Who Wins?
We, at TipsGG, lean toward a narrow Queretaro win—our main pick is Queretaro to claim all three points, buoyed by a compact defense and home advantage. The probability for Queretaro’s victory stands at 43 percent, powered by our dedicated AI prediction engine. Expect a low-scoring affair, with emphasis on disciplined defending, and a decisive moment likely coming from Ali Ávila or Lucas Rodriguez on a set piece or breakaway.
Queretaro. Source: Official Facebook
How to watch Queretaro vs Mazatlan FC
When? November 3, 2025
Kick-off time: 01:00 CEST
Where? Estadio Corregidora de Queretaro, Santiago de Queretaro
How to watch: Check local Liga MX broadcasters, official streaming options, and sports betting platforms with live streaming.
Favorite: Queretaro
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