Sofia Quijada
Group H of the Copa Chile 2026 throws up a critical fixture between Puerto Montt and D. Concepcion, two Chilean sides who are both under pressure after inconsistent starts. Puerto Montt sit second with just one point from two games, while D. Concepcion are yet to appear in the standings provided, making this a must-not-lose contest for both. The head-to-head entry for this fixture shows a prior Copa Chile meeting ending 0-0, which sets a useful tone for what to expect. Keep an eye on Joaquín Larrivey for D. Concepcion, who has contributed a goal and an assist across five matches, and on Jorge Henríquez, who leads the team in both passes and shots while also chipping in with a goal and an assist.
Hot stat: D. Concepcion have scored 5 goals across their last 5 matches and taken 64 total shots, compared to Puerto Montt’s 3 shots and 0 goals in the same span. That volume difference is stark and speaks directly to where the attacking threat in this match is likely to come from.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Copa Chile 2026, Group H |
| 🗓️ Date: | 29.06.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 02:00 CEST |
Puerto Montt vs D. Concepcion Prediction
Puerto Montt have been strikingly cautious in recent fixtures, drawing four of their last five league matches with scorelines of 0-0. Their single win came against Huachipato (2-0), a side rated just 503 in our system, which puts that result in context. D. Concepcion, despite a rough overall form run, have shown more attacking output: 3-2 wins over Huachipato and Limache, plus a draw against Deportes Temuco. Given Puerto Montt’s near-total absence of attacking stats and D. Concepcion’s superior shot volume, we predict D. Concepcion to win or at least find the net in what should be a low-to-moderate scoring match.
Puerto Montt’s 4-2-3-1 setup suggests a compact, defensive block, consistent with their string of goalless draws. Their foul count is essentially zero across the five-match stat window, which either reflects a data gap or a very passive press. D. Concepcion, by contrast, committed 28 fouls and collected 9 yellow cards in five matches, showing they press aggressively and compete physically. Fausto Grillo (3 yellow cards) and Jorge Henríquez (2 yellow cards) are booking candidates. The 18 corner kicks D. Concepcion generated also suggest sustained pressure and set-piece threat that Puerto Montt’s passive shape may struggle to handle.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | D. Concepcion to score in both halves |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 6.5 |
Team Analysis
Puerto Montt come into this match off a 2-0 win over Huachipato, their only goal-scoring output across five recent matches. Before that result, they drew 0-0 with Cobreloa, San Felipe, San Marcos de Arica, and San Luis Quillota, all sides with opponent ratings above 1,000. Their year-to-date record of 5 wins from 11 matches (45% winrate) is decent by Chilean lower-tier standards, but the recent form window tells a more cautious story. Coach Jeff Strasser appears to set up a conservative structure that prioritizes not conceding over creating, which has produced results in draws but limits upside when goals are needed.
D. Concepcion arrive on the back of a 3-2 win over Huachipato, which followed a 1-1 draw with Deportes Temuco. Before those results, they beat Limache 3-2 but lost to Coquimbo and Universidad de Chile, both sides rated below 250 in our system. That makes their inconsistency a real concern. Coach Fernando Díaz appears to run an attacking 4-3-3 that generates plenty of shots and corners but also gives up goals. Their year-to-date winrate of just 17% from 18 matches is poor, and their form string of mostly losses tells the same story. The attacking talent is present, but defensive lapses keep costing them.
🚨Check out our dedicated Puerto Montt vs D. Concepcion stats page for more info.
Puerto Montt. Source: Official Website
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Puerto Montt the Favourite
- Moneyline Puerto Montt 2.62 | D. Concepcion 2.35
- Draw 3.25
- Over/Under Over 2.5 N/A | Under 2.5 N/A
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes N/A | No N/A
Bet365 prices Puerto Montt at 2.62 and D. Concepcion at 2.35, making D. Concepcion a slight away favourite despite the home designation for Puerto Montt. Given Puerto Montt’s near-complete attacking inactivity across five matches and D. Concepcion’s superior shot output, the 2.35 on D. Concepcion looks like the better value side of the moneyline. The draw at 3.25 is not without merit given the previous head-to-head ended 0-0, but D. Concepcion’s recent scoring form tips the balance. Pinnacle’s 3.29 on the draw is the most generous across the board, worth noting for anyone who wants to hedge.
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D. Concepcion. Source: Official Website
TipsGG Match Prediction
Puerto Montt’s recent form is built almost entirely on defensive solidity, with zero goals scored and zero shots of note across their last four matches before the Huachipato win. D. Concepcion carry real attacking intent, generating 64 shots and 18 corners in five matches, and their 4-3-3 will look to exploit any space behind Puerto Montt’s wide midfielders. The previous Copa Chile meeting ended 0-0, and we expect another tight contest, but D. Concepcion’s firepower gives them the edge.
- We predict D. Concepcion to win, with the match staying under 2.5 goals total.
- We predict D. Concepcion to score, with Puerto Montt unlikely to find a way through given their recent attacking output.
- The corner market Over 6.5 looks appealing given D. Concepcion’s 18 corners across five matches and Puerto Montt’s tendency to sit deep and invite pressure.
- To be honest, the BTTS No market offers solid value here, perhaps the best single-market option on the board given Puerto Montt’s goalless run.
