Puebla vs Queretaro Predictions: Odds and betting tips for Liga MX 2026 Clausura Match - 25.04.2026

As the Liga MX 2026 Clausura regular season nears its conclusion, Estadio Cuauhtémoc in Puebla becomes the stage for a pivotal clash between Puebla and Queretaro. Scheduled for April 25, 2026, with kick-off at 06:00 CEST, this match features two sides desperate for points to climb out of the bottom half of the table. With Puebla languishing in 17th and Queretaro just three places above in 14th, the stakes could not be higher. The home advantage may offer Puebla a slight psychological edge, but Queretaro arrive with superior form and a resolute defensive structure under coach Esteban González.

Among the most influential figures for Puebla is the attacking midfielder Iker Moreno, whose creative spark and recent goal-scoring form remain crucial for breaking down organized defenses. For Queretaro, the partnership of forwards Ali Ávila and Mateo Coronel provides a dual threat; both have found the net recently and are adept at exploiting defensive lapses, a known Puebla vulnerability.

A hot stat that stands out from recent fixtures: Queretaro have not lost in their last five league outings, drawing three and winning two, while Puebla have failed to win any of their last five, scoring only twice in that period.

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Puebla vs Queretaro predictions

Me best bet: Draw. Both sides have struggled for consistent victories, but Queretaro’s recent ability to avoid defeat against stronger opponents combined with Puebla’s continued home struggles suggest a tightly contested stalemate is likely. The average odds from top bookmakers indicate an evenly matched encounter, with Puebla (39%) and Queretaro (34%) separated by only a slim margin. Expect a cautious opening with moments of intensity as both teams search for much-needed points.

Both teams favor a 4-2-3-1 formation, emphasizing stability in midfield and flexibility in attack. Puebla have averaged 7 yellow cards in their last five matches, indicating a propensity for physical play that could disrupt Queretaro’s build-up. However, their high foul count (55) and relatively low pass accuracy (83%) have often led to lost possession in dangerous areas. Queretaro, while only marginally less aggressive (52 fouls in five), show greater attacking intent, reflected in their 79 shots and 27 corners over the same period. This contrast in styles is likely to produce a match of fluctuating momentum, where discipline and concentration will be key.

• ⚽Total Goals: Under 2.5
• 💥Both Teams To Score: No
• 🎯Total Corners: Over 8.5

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Puebla vs Queretaro Most recent H2Hs

Reviewing their two most recent meetings in Liga MX (2025 Apertura and Clausura), Queretaro have claimed both encounters, winning 3-1 and 2-0 respectively. In both matches, Queretaro demonstrated a clear ability to capitalize on defensive errors, with superior shot creation and more efficient use of set pieces. Puebla struggled to maintain attacking pressure, often conceding control in midfield and relying on counter-attacks that yielded little reward.

🚨Read our full Puebla vs Queretaro stats for more analysis.

Key Stats

• Queretaro are unbeaten in their last five league matches (2 wins, 3 draws).
• Puebla have not won in their last five matches and have scored only twice in that span.
• Queretaro have outscored Puebla by a margin of 7 to 2 in their last five games.
• Both teams average over 10 shots per game but struggle with conversion rates.
• Puebla’s disciplinary record (7 yellow cards, 2 red cards in last five) is among the worst in Liga MX this season.

Puebla vs Queretaro score prediction: 0-1

While Puebla will aim to leverage home support and the creativity of Iker Moreno, their defensive fragility and lack of recent form are likely to prove costly. Queretaro’s attacking duo of Ali Ávila and Mateo Coronel, who have combined for four goals in the last five matches, should find enough space against Puebla’s porous backline to snatch a narrow victory. Expect Queretaro to absorb pressure and strike efficiently on the break, securing a crucial away win.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Puebla the favourite

Bookmakers marginally favor Puebla, primarily due to home advantage, but the odds reflect a high degree of uncertainty. The draw is a strong possibility based on both teams’ recent tendency to share the points. The value on Queretaro is notable given their recent unbeaten streak and head-to-head success. Under 2.5 goals and “No” on both teams to score are attractive options considering Puebla’s goal drought and Queretaro’s disciplined defensive approach.

Puebla vs Queretaro Over/Under Analysis

• Queretaro’s last five matches: Under 2.5 goals in 4 of 5
• Puebla’s last five matches: Under 2.5 goals in 4 of 5
• Combined average goals per match in last five for both: 1.8
• Hot tip: Expect a tight, low-scoring contest.

Puebla Preview

Puebla have endured a difficult campaign, reflected in a recent run of three consecutive defeats, including a heavy 0-5 loss to Chivas Guadalajara. Their last outing, a narrow 1-2 home defeat to Monterrey, highlighted persistent issues in defensive organization and a lack of cutting edge in attack. Despite switching between various attacking options, goals remain scarce, with Emiliano Gómez and Iker Moreno shouldering much of the responsibility. The midfield has been industrious but often outnumbered, and a leaky defense has allowed 24 goals in just 16 matches.

Puebla possible starting eleven

Queretaro Preview

Queretaro have built momentum with a series of resilient performances, highlighted by a recent 1-1 draw against high-flying Cruz Azul and a 3-1 victory over Necaxa. Their defensive core has limited opposition chances, while the midfield provides consistent support to their dynamic front line. Mateo Coronel and Ali Ávila remain pivotal in attack, combining well to stretch opposing defenses. Queretaro’s discipline and tactical flexibility have enabled them to grind out results, despite not being prolific in front of goal.

Queretaro possible starting eleven

Our prediction: Who Wins?

Based on current form, tactical analysis, and historical head-to-head results, the TipsGG team expert prediction is a narrow Queretaro victory (0-1). The visitors’ superior organization and recent unbeaten run give them the edge over a struggling Puebla side. Our dedicated AI prediction engine assigns a 38% probability to a Queretaro win, 35% for Puebla, and 27% for a draw.

How to watch Puebla vs Queretaro

• When? 25 April 2026
• Kick-off time: 05:00 CEST
• Where? Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla
• How to watch: Liga MX streaming partners, regional broadcasters, and select online platforms
• Favorite: Puebla

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