Portugalete vs Alavés Predictions: Odds and betting tips for Copa Del Rey 2025/26 Match - 02.12.2025

The stage is set at Brann Stadion, Bergen, where on the 2nd of December 2025 at 20:00 CEST, two Spanish sides—Portugalete and Alavés—will collide in the Round 2 matchup of the Copa Del Rey 2025/26. This cross-division clash offers a unique narrative: Portugalete, riding high on local momentum, welcomes a top-flight Alavés that enters with a point to prove.

Under Egoitz Bilbao’s stewardship, Portugalete boasts a flawless win streak over their last five matches, making them the team in form. In contrast, Eduardo Coudet’s Alavés seeks stability after a challenging spell, suffering consecutive defeats to formidable La Liga opponents such as Barcelona and Girona. As this cup tie approaches, all eyes will be on the underdog’s tenacity and the favorite’s resolve to avoid an upset.

Two key players primed to shape this contest are Portugalete’s dynamic forward—currently their top goal threat in the last five fixtures—and Alavés’ versatile midfielder Denis Suárez, who supplies vision, tempo, and a scoring threat from deep. While both sides will rely heavily on collective effort, these two figures represent the sparks capable of igniting their teams’ success.

Portugalete’s “hot stat”? An unbeaten record in the last five matches with 100 percent win rate—momentum that cannot be ignored as they host a historically stronger Alavés.

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Portugalete vs Alavés predictions

Me best bet: Both Teams To Score – Yes.

Both teams have shown contrasting but equally telling trends. Portugalete’s attacking output is notable: 10 goals in five matches with a balanced 4-4-2 that exploits the flanks and surges into the box with numbers. Alavés, though struggling for form, continue creating chances but are prone to conceding—having leaked eight goals in their last five outings despite keeping competitive in possession and corners. Given Portugalete’s home momentum and Alavés’ expected lineup of attacking regulars, both sides should find the net.

From a tactical perspective, Portugalete’s controlled aggression reflected in their moderate fouls count and controlled pressing contrasts with Alavés’ more turbulent approach. Alavés amassed 11 yellow cards in their last five, a sign of a team grappling with structural discipline and often forced into last-ditch defending. Ball possession favors Alavés, yet their recent passing struggles under high pressure make them vulnerable to Portugalete’s pressing.

Prop picks by me:

• ⚽Total Goals: Over 2.5
• 💥Both Teams To Score: Yes
• 🎯Total Corners: Over 8.5

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Portugalete vs Alavés Most recent H2Hs

Previous encounters paint a complex canvas: while Alavés have struggled against superior opposition, their output against less direct teams remains an open question. Portugalete’s conversion rate at home stands out, as does their discipline—with virtually no fouls or cards in this data segment, compared to Alavés’ frequent struggles with infringement. Expect Portugalete to try and control the tempo, disrupting Alavés’ rhythm without resorting to heavy challenges.

🚨Read our full Portugalete vs Alavés stats for more analysis.

Key Stats

• Portugalete: 5-game winning streak in all competitions.
• Alavés: Only 3 goals scored in their last 5 matches.
• Alavés: 11 yellow cards in those same 5 matches—disciplinary issues persisting.
• Portugalete: Scored in every game of the last month.
• Alavés: Top passers in this matchup, but accuracy drops significantly under pressure.
• Corner count: Portugalete averages 4+ corners per game over latest five.

Portugalete vs Alavés score prediction: 2-1

Expect a spirited contest with Portugalete energised by their recent cup heroics and well-drilled defensive lines. Their front line’s cohesion and home advantage could see them edge Alavés, whose attacking threats—particularly Denis Suárez and Lucas Boyé—ensure they’ll get opportunities, but Portugalete’s organization and momentum tip the scales in favor of a narrow, high-intensity win.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Alavés the favourite

Bookmakers make Alavés the clear statistical favorite based on league position and historical pedigree, but Portugalete’s form may not be fully accounted for in these odds. The 4.65 price on Portugalete offers notable value for upset seekers. Over 2.5 goals at 1.95 looks attractive given the defensive inconsistencies and attacking ambitions on both sides. The high BTTS ‘Yes’ price at 2.05 also makes sense due to both sides’ recent trends.

Portugalete vs Alavés Over/Under Analysis

• Each of Portugalete’s last five matches has produced at least two goals.
• Alavés have kept only one clean sheet in their last five matches.
• Total corners have hit nine or more in three of Portugalete’s past five games.
• Recommended: Over 2.5 goals and Over 8.5 corners.

Portugalete Preview

Alavés Preview

Alavés’ recent losses to La Liga powerhouses underline their defensive vulnerabilities but they remain a technically proficient side under Eduardo Coudet. A narrow defeat versus Celta Vigo (0-1) highlighted issues in ball progression, while the emphatic win over CD Getxo (7-0) exposed their ability to overwhelm lower league opposition when clinical. Denis Suárez and Lucas Boyé are pivotal, offering creativity and attacking intent even under pressure; Antonio Sivera’s reliability in goal could be decisive.

Alavés possible starting eleven

Our prediction: Who Wins?

While Alavés are justifiably rated the favorites by odds makers, our expert assessment values Portugalete’s form, discipline, and home advantage. The main pick is a 2-1 victory for Portugalete, reflecting their attacking edge and ability to punish Alavés’ lapses under pressure. Our dedicated AI prediction engine gives Portugalete a 46 percent winning probability, factoring in current form and matchup data against Alavés’ historic quality.

How to watch Portugalete vs Alavés

• When? Kick-off at 20:00 CEST, December 2, 2025
• Where? Brann Stadion, Bergen
• How to watch: Televised on regional sports channels; also streaming via official Copa Del Rey partners or check local listings.
• Favorite: Alavés

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