The upcoming clash between Portugal and Denmark in the UEFA Nations League 2024/25 Quarterfinals promises to be a significant encounter. With Portugal needing a decisive victory to stay competitive in the tournament, the match at Estádio José Alvalade is crucial for their campaign. Meanwhile, Denmark, buoyed by their recent performances, looks to maintain their strong form. The result of this match could have profound implications for both teams as they vie for a coveted spot in the semifinals.
| 🏆Tournament: | UEFA Nations League 2024/25 |
| 🏟Venue: | Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon |
| 🗓️Date: | March 23, 2025 |
| ⏰Time: | 21:45 CEST |
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Portugal vs Denmark prediction
For this encounter, Portugal enters as the favorite, holding a 60% chance of victory according to bookmakers. Their recent form, however, shows vulnerability, particularly in the 0-1 loss against Denmark. The defensive solidity of Denmark, combined with their disciplined strategy, could once again frustrate Portugal. Therefore, the best value prediction leans towards a closely contested match with the potential for a draw or a narrow victory for Denmark.
In terms of discipline, Portugal’s higher number of fouls and yellow cards may work against them, whereas Denmark’s clean record in recent matches suggests a more strategic approach. This aspect might be pivotal in determining the outcome.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Draw No Bet Denmark |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Under 10 |
Team Analysis
Portugal’s recent performances have been inconsistent. Their previous match, a 0-1 defeat to Denmark, highlighted their struggles in breaking down well-organized defenses. Despite possession dominance, their finishing lacked precision.
Denmark, on the other hand, showcased tactical astuteness in their last match against Portugal. Their compact defensive line and ability to capitalize on counter-attacks proved effective. Denmark’s recent form indicates they are in a strong position to challenge Portugal once more.
Most recent H2Hs: Denmark dominates
| Statistic | Portugal | Denmark |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0 | 1 |
| Total shots | 16 | 46 |
| Free kicks | 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks | 12 | 14 |
| Total fouls | 18 | 10 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 89% | 89% |
| Interceptions | 14 | 16 |
| Offsides | 4 | 0 |
🚨Read our full Portugal vs Denmark stats for more analysis.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Portugal the favourite
| Moneyline | Portugal 1.59 | Denmark 5.60 | |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 4.09 | |
| Over/Under | Over 2.5 2.10 | Under 2.5 1.72 | |
| BTTS (both teams to score) | Yes 2.05 | No 1.75 | |
While Portugal is favored, the odds reflect a close match, acknowledging Denmark’s ability to upset the favorites. The potential for a low-scoring affair is high, aligning with both teams’ defensive tendencies.
You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.

Portugal. Source: Official Website
Key Players to Watch
Cristiano Ronaldo: Despite not scoring in the last two matches, Ronaldo remains crucial for Portugal. His ability to influence the game through experience and leadership makes him a player to watch.
Rasmus Hojlund: Scoring twice in recent matches, Hojlund is Denmark’s offensive threat. His agility and clinical finishing have been pivotal in Denmark’s attacking play.
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Possible Starting Lineups
Portugal possible starting eleven
- GK: Diogo Costa
- DF: Rúben Dias, Antonio Silva, Diogo Dalot, Nuno Mendes
- MF: Bruno Fernandes, João Palhinha, Bernardo Silva
- FW: Cristiano Ronaldo, Rafael Leão, João Félix
With Roberto Martínez likely to stick to a 4-2-3-1 formation, the focus will be on a balanced attack led by Cristiano Ronaldo. The defense will rely on the experienced Rúben Dias to contain Denmark’s forwards.
Denmark possible starting eleven
- GK: Kasper Schmeichel
- DF: Joachim Andersen, Jannik Vestergaard, Joakim Maehle, Rasmus Kristensen
- MF: Christian Eriksen, Christian Nørgaard, Morten Hjulmand
- FW: Rasmus Hojlund, Andreas Skov Olsen, Jonas Wind
Denmark is expected to retain their successful 4-2-3-1 structure, emphasizing a cohesive unit. Rasmus Hojlund’s form could be decisive, complemented by Eriksen’s creativity in midfield.
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Denmark. Source: Official Website
The Verdict
My main pick is 1-1 Draw. Portugal’s struggle to break down Denmark’s defenses in their last encounter indicates a similar close contest is likely. Denmark’s disciplined approach and Portugal’s need for victory will create an intriguing clash, potentially leading to a stalemate.

