As the UEFA Europa League heats up, Porto and Roma face off in a crucial knockout stage match on February 13, 2025. Both teams are aiming to secure a firm advantage in the first leg, making this a must-watch encounter. Expert opinions suggest a close contest, with neither side having a clear upper hand.
Porto vs Roma Predictions
Porto vs Roma score prediction: 1-1 Draw
This match is projected to be a tightly contested affair, with both teams possessing enough firepower to cancel each other out. A 1-1 draw seems a probable outcome, considering the teams’ recent form.
Safe Bet: “Total Goals – Under 2.5” (1.80 via Bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
Expert insight: Given both teams’ recent defensive records and the importance of the match, it is likely to be a cautious game with fewer goals.
Wild Card: “Roma to Win and Both Teams to Score” (3.60 via Betway) ⭐⭐
Expert insight: Roma have shown strong attacking form, capable of scoring despite defensive frailties.
Value Bet: “Full-Time Draw” (3.30 via William Hill) ⭐⭐⭐
Expert insight: With evenly matched squads, a draw offers great value considering their similar performances in recent matches.
Porto vs Roma head-to-head record (last five games)
In their recent encounters, Porto and Roma have demonstrated evenly matched performances. However, Roma has a slight edge in recent form.
Key Stats:
- Porto has drawn 3 of their last 5 matches.
- Roma has won 4 of their last 5 matches.
- Porto averages 59% pass accuracy in recent games.
- Roma averages 58% pass accuracy in recent games.

Porto. Source: Official Facebook
| Goals | Free kicks | Corner kicks | Total fouls | Pass accuracy (%) | Interceptions | Offsides |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 (Porto) | 10 | 25 | 59 | 2134 | 33 | 1 |
| 7 (Roma) | 9 | 26 | 58 | 1908 | 34 | 4 |
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Tipsters’ Take
Out of 41 tipster entries, support is widespread: 22 tipsters back Porto, 15 predict a draw, and 4 are in favor of Roma.
TOP3 best tipsters picks:
- HRVizak (65% winrate, last 20 bets): Porto to draw
- Jonathan O’Shea (75% winrate, last 20 bets): Porto to draw
- Blackburn Roverseas (60% winrate, last 20 bets): Porto to win
8 tipsters with win rates above 60% back the underdog, Porto.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Porto the favourite
| Bet | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| HOME | 2.64 | 37% |
| DRAW | 3.30 | 29% |
| AWAY | 2.86 | 34% |
Porto vs Roma opening odds
Moneyline: Porto 2.66 | Roma 2.86
Draw: 3.48
Over/Under: Over 2.5 (2.17) | Under 2.5 (1.80)
Odds indicate a balanced contest with Porto holding a slight edge at home. The under on goals suggests a tight battle, likely low-scoring.
Team Analysis and Over/Under
Porto enters the match after a mixed run, needing to overcome inconsistency. Roma, with a more robust form, aims to leverage their attacking flair. Historically, these matches witness a calculated approach, favoring an under 2.5 goals scenario.
Porto preview
Porto has struggled recently but boasts a formidable home record. Aiming to bounce back, the team’s defense and midfield coordination will be key. With players like Otavio Ataide in form, they hope to strike a balance for success.
Porto possible lineup
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Starting XI: Diogo Costa, João Mário, Cláudio Ramos, Zaidu Sanusi, Daniel Loader, Pepê, Stephen Eustáquio, André Franco, Gonçalo Borges, Alan Gonzalo Varela, Iván Jaime.
Roma preview
Roma approaches this challenge with confidence, buoyed by recent victories. The Italians are expected to press high and exploit set-piece opportunities. Despite defensive lapses, their attacking prowess, led by Paulo Dybala, is a significant threat to Porto.
Roma possible lineup
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Starting XI: Mile Svilar, Zeki Çelik, Leandro Paredes, Niccolò Pisilli, Stephan El Shaarawy, Gianluca Mancini, Lorenzo Pellegrini, Paulo Dybala, Evan N’Dicka, Angeliño, Tommaso Baldanzi.
Key Player to watch: Paulo Dybala

Paulo Dybala. Source: Official Website
Dybala’s creativity and eye for goal make him Roma’s key player. With recent performances highlighting his finesse and precision, he is poised to influence the match decisively.
How to watch Porto vs Roma
Date: February 13, 2025
Time: 22:00 CEST
Venue: Estádio do Dragão, Porto, Portugal
Broadcast: FootballMAX, StreamHub
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