Rafael Nogueira
Ponte Preta hosts Londrina PR at Moisés Lucarelli in a crucial early-season clash at the lower end of the table. Both clubs are looking to reverse poor form, with Ponte Preta aiming to capitalize on home advantage after a mixed set of results. Londrina PR, still seeking their first league win in over a month, face pressure to improve their attacking output. William Pottker stands out for Ponte Preta as their main offensive threat, having scored 2 of the team’s last 4 goals. For Londrina, Bruno Santos offers energy in attack, though he needs support to convert chances into goals. The “hot stat”—Londrina PR have managed just one goal in their last five matches, raising concerns about their ability to break down defences.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Campeonato Brasileiro Série B 2026, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Moisés Lucarelli, Campinas |
| 🗓️ Date: | 19.05.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 00:00 CEST |
Ponte Preta vs Londrina PR prediction
We predict a Ponte Preta home win. The bookmakers give Ponte Preta a 43% implied win probability, and the performance gap between the teams is significant: Ponte Preta, with a recent win rate of 40% at home in the last 30 days, faces a Londrina PR side stuck on 0% win rate in the same period. Ponte Preta have shown the ability to edge out results against teams near the bottom, while Londrina’s attack has failed to produce, scoring only once in their last five games.
Both teams favor a 4-2-3-1 formation, but Ponte Preta’s approach relies more on set pieces and quick attacks, evidenced by their 23 corners over the last five matches. Londrina PR, despite a higher passing volume (1678 passes to Ponte Preta’s 1261), lack penetration in the final third. Fouls and cards are frequent for both: Ponte Preta (14 yellow cards, 72 fouls in 5 matches), Londrina PR (12 yellow cards, 63 fouls). This could slow the game’s tempo, possibly leading to more stoppages and fewer clear chances, but Ponte Preta’s edge in creating set-piece opportunities and superior shot efficiency could tip the balance.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Under 2.5 goals |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Ponte Preta’s last five matches show a mixed pattern. Their most recent result—a 1-3 home defeat to Sport Recife—exposed defensive vulnerabilities, especially when facing fast transitions. Before that, Ponte Preta managed to beat America MG 1-0 and Avai 2-1, indicating they can find ways to win against struggling sides. Still, the lack of draws and a negative goal difference (-6) reflect instability. Set-piece execution remains a strong point, and William Pottker’s ability to score from limited opportunities could be key.
Londrina PR, on the other hand, lost 1-3 at home to Sao Bernardo in their last game. The team struggles with defensive organization, conceding 14 goals in eight league games. The attack is stagnant—one goal in the last five matches, with finishing quality and creative spark both missing. Defensively, they commit frequent fouls and face issues dealing with opposition pressure, which often results in giving away dangerous free kicks.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Ponte Preta | Londrina PR |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3 | 0 |
| Total shots | 49 | 53 |
| Free kicks | 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks | 23 | 36 |
| Total fouls | 72 | 63 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 72 | 63 |
| Interceptions | 38 | 40 |
| Offsides | 5 | 6 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Ponte Preta vs Londrina PR stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Ponte Preta the favourite
- Moneyline Ponte Preta 2.20 | Londrina PR 3.45
- Draw 2.90
- Over/Under Over 2.5 2.20 | Under 2.5 1.62
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.10 | No 1.70
The market favors Ponte Preta, who have both the home advantage and a marginally more consistent record. The Under 2.5 goals market is strongly supported by both teams’ recent inefficiency in attack. BTTS ‘No’ makes sense, given Londrina’s weak scoring form. Odds on the draw remain relatively low, reflecting the low-scoring nature expected, but Ponte Preta’s slight edge in finishing and home support keeps them favorite for the outright win.
Londrina PR. Source: Official Facebook
Possible Starting Lineups
Ponte Preta possible starting eleven
- GK: Diogo Silva
- DF: Danilo Barcelos, Lucas Cunha, Bryan Borges Mascarenhas, Marcio Silva
- MF: Murilo Henrique, Thalys, Rodrigo Agustín Saravia, Kevyson
- FW: William Pottker, Luis Phelipe
Ponte Preta stick to their 4-2-3-1 system. Diogo Silva provides stability in goal. The back four have mostly consistent appearances and bring a mix of defensive resilience and ability to contribute on set pieces. Murilo Henrique and Thalys anchor the midfield, balancing ball recovery and distribution. Up front, William Pottker is the main threat, while Luis Phelipe offers support both in link-up and goal creation. Expect Ponte Preta to build attacks from wide and use set pieces as a weapon.
Londrina PR possible starting eleven
- GK: Mauricio Kozlinski
- DF: Yago Lincoln, Wallace Reis, Gabriel Santos, Heron
- MF: Lucas Marques, Weverton, Paulo Roberto Moccelin, Thalis Henrique
- FW: Bruno Santos, Emiliano Rodríguez
Londrina PR’s 4-2-3-1 features Kozlinski in goal. The defense relies on Yago Lincoln and Wallace Reis for experience, but has lacked stability. Lucas Marques and Weverton bring work rate in midfield, while Paulo Roberto Moccelin and Thalis Henrique try to inject creativity. Bruno Santos and Emiliano Rodríguez lead the line, though both need sharper finishing. Londrina will look to control the ball but must improve directness and defensive solidity to avoid another defeat.
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Ponte Preta. Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict Ponte Preta to win by a narrow margin, most likely a 1-0 or 2-0 result. Londrina PR’s inability to score and defensive issues put them at a clear disadvantage. Ponte Preta’s efficiency on set pieces, shot creation, and home crowd push them ahead. Expect a tactical match with few open-play chances, set pieces providing the biggest threat, and a disciplined, physical battle with several cards.
