Sofia Quijada
| Prefer us on Google — see Tips.gg in Top Stories & Discover | Add on Google |
Platense host Instituto de Córdoba in the Copa Argentina 2026 Round of 16 at Estadio Ciudad de Vicente Lopez. The two sides met just weeks ago in the Argentine Primera Division Clausura, where Instituto came away with a 2-1 win — the same scoreline from their most recent head-to-head.
Martín Palermo’s side will be looking for revenge on home turf, but Diego Flores’ team arrives as the form favorite and the bookmakers’ preferred winner. Kevin Retamar has scored twice in his last six appearances for Platense and will be key in transition, while Alex Luna leads Instituto’s engine room with a team-high 23 shots across his last five games.
Hot stat: Instituto de Córdoba have won four of their last six matches and conceded just once during that run — a streak that includes a clean sheet against Atletico Tucuman, who put four past Independiente in the same round.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Copa Argentina 2026 – Round of 16 |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estadio Ciudad de Vicente Lopez, Florida |
| 🗓️ Date: | 28.08.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 02:15 CEST |
Platense vs Instituto de Córdoba Prediction
Instituto de Córdoba are the value pick here. They arrive with a 67% win rate over the last 30 days compared to Platense’s 38%, and their defensive record over the last five matches — just five goals conceded — suggests they are disciplined and hard to break down. The 2-1 win over Platense in the Clausura adds psychological weight, and their ability to grind out 1-0 results (three times in five matches) shows they can manage tight games.
Platense have shown attacking spark — seven goals in a Copa Argentina thriller against Coquimbo — but their inconsistency is a concern. They drew twice with Coquimbo across two legs and barely edged past Independiente 1-0. At home in the cup, they are beatable.
Platense commit more fouls per five matches (67 vs. 64) and pick up fewer yellow cards than Instituto (9 vs. 13), suggesting a more physical but less disciplined visiting side. Instituto’s higher yellow card count reflects their pressing intensity. With both sides using 4-2-3-1, the midfield battle will be decisive — and Instituto’s Matías Gallardo and Gustavo Abregú offer more stability than anything Platense can match in the center of the park. Platense’s pass volume is higher, but Instituto convert their possession more efficiently in the final third.
- We predict Instituto de Córdoba to win at odds around 2.25–2.42.
- Under 2.5 goals is also worth considering given Instituto’s recent run of tight wins.
- BTTS No aligns with Instituto’s defensive solidity across this stretch.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Instituto de Córdoba to win to nil |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Platense come into this match off a positive result, beating Barracas Central 2-1 in their most recent outing. Before that, they were involved in a wild 7-6 aggregate Copa Argentina tie against Coquimbo — a series that exposed both their attacking potential and defensive fragility. The 1-1 draw with Boca Juniors shows they can compete against top-flight opposition, and Luciano Giménez has been their most productive attacker with two goals in five matches. Their last five results show a mix of wins and draws, but two losses in that run keep confidence limited.
Instituto de Córdoba are in excellent shape. Their most recent match ended 0-0 against Atletico Tucuman — the strongest side in the current Copa Argentina standings — which speaks to their defensive organization under Diego Flores. Before that, back-to-back 1-0 wins over Central Cordoba and Gimnasia Mendoza reinforced a pattern of controlled, low-scoring victories. They also beat Lanus 1-0 earlier in this run. Four wins from six over the last 30 days makes them one of the better-performing sides in Argentine football right now. Fernando Alarcon and Giuliano Cerato, both defenders with goals to their names in recent matches, add set-piece threat from deep.
🚨Check out our dedicated Platense vs Instituto de Córdoba stats page for more info.
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Instituto de Córdoba the Favourite
- Moneyline Platense 3.25 | Instituto de Córdoba 2.38
- Draw 2.82
- Over/Under Over 2.5 N/A | Under 2.5 N/A
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes N/A | No N/A
The market reflects Instituto’s recent form accurately. Their odds in the 2.25–2.42 range represent genuine value given a 67% win rate over the last month and a direct head-to-head win over this exact opponent just weeks ago. Platense at 3.10–3.40 acknowledges their home advantage, but the draw at around 2.80–3.00 looks overpriced for a cup tie where one side is clearly peaking. Backing Instituto at 2.38 or better is the most defensible position.
Possible Starting Lineups
Platense Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Juan Cozzani
- DF: Víctor Cuesta, Tomás Silva, Ignacio Vazquez, Mateo Mendía
- MF: Martin Barrios, Franco Zapiola Yamartino, Ivan Gómez, Leonardo Heredia
- FW: Kevin Retamar, Luciano Giménez
Palermo is likely to set up in a 4-2-3-1 shape, with Barrios and Zapiola Yamartino anchoring the midfield. Retamar (two goals in six) and Giménez (two goals in five) form a direct attacking partnership. Cozzani is the clear first-choice keeper with 16 saves across five matches. Cuesta brings experience in defense and leads the backline in interceptions.
Instituto de Córdoba Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Marcos Ledesma
- DF: Fernando Alarcon, Giuliano Cerato, Leonel Mosevich, Diego Alejandro Sosa
- MF: Matías Gallardo, Gustavo Abregú, Alex Luna, Jeremías Ezequiel Lázaro
- FW: Matías Tissera, Jhon Córdoba
Flores will likely field his standard 4-2-3-1, with Gallardo and Abregú providing defensive cover in the double pivot. Luna is the most active player in Instituto’s setup — 23 shots across five games is exceptional for a midfielder — and he drives their best attacking moves. Tissera has contributed a goal in recent weeks and will press high alongside Córdoba. Ledesma kept eight saves across five matches and has been reliable between the sticks.
🏅Tips.GG Premium Subscription Brings You Even Closer to WIN!🏅
- Gain access to the most profitable bets by using our analysis of over 60,000 monthly predictions from 1000+ sources.
- Premium users enjoy predictions from tipsters with the highest win rate while also gaining access to favorable odds, outcome calculation, and quick filter to favorable odds.
- Unlock the “Golden Bet” — our unique formula for the best high-odd betting opportunities! Get detailed reports on our system’s performance, including Winrate, ROI, and Yield.
Instituto de Córdoba. Source: Official Instagram. Edited photo
TipsGG Match Prediction
Instituto de Córdoba are the pick for this Copa Argentina Round of 16 tie. Their form over the last 30 days is the best argument — four wins from six, including a clean sheet against the tournament’s current top side. They beat Platense 2-1 in their most recent league meeting, and their defensive stats across the last five matches (only five goals conceded, 50 interceptions) show a team that presses with purpose and defends with structure.
Platense have the home advantage and the firepower to create chances — Retamar and Giménez are capable of scoring — but their overall win rate this year sits at 34%, compared to Instituto’s 48%. The 0-0 draw Instituto managed against Atletico Tucuman in the same round demonstrates they can absorb pressure from stronger opponents. We predict Instituto de Córdoba to win, most likely by a single goal, with the match staying under 2.5 goals and Platense failing to score.
