Sofia Quijada
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Two bottom-half sides with identical points tallies meet at Estadio Ciudad de Vicente Lopez in a Clausura fixture that carries real relegation weight. Platense and Deportivo Riestra both sit on 8 points from 7 games, separated only by goal difference, making this a direct six-pointer. Martín Palermo’s side has the home advantage but has been leaking goals badly, conceding 11 in 7 Clausura matches. Kevin Retamar leads the Platense attack with 2 goals in the last 5 games and will be the focal point against a Riestra defence that has kept three clean sheets in its last four outings.
Riestra’s Milton Celiz is the midfielder to watch on the away side, combining 10 shots and 8 fouls across the last 5 matches, giving him both a creative and disruptive profile. For the hosts, defender Víctor Cuesta stands out with 10 interceptions and a consistent 360 minutes played, anchoring a Platense backline that desperately needs leadership.
Hot stat: Platense scored 7 goals in a single match against Coquimbo in their recent Copa run, showing they can produce attacking bursts, though that result came against a side ranked 227th globally.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Argentine Primera Division 2026, Clausura |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estadio Ciudad de Vicente Lopez, Florida |
| 🗓️ Date: | 05.09.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 00:00 CEST |
Platense vs Deportivo Riestra Prediction
The bookmakers see this as almost a three-way split, with Platense at a narrow home edge (35%), the draw at 34%, and Riestra at 31%. Given the context, a draw is the most logical outcome. Riestra has drawn three of their last five league matches, and Platense has drawn two of their last five. Neither side has the firepower or defensive solidity to dominate, and both carry the anxiety of a relegation battle.
Platense’s pass accuracy across the last 5 games sits at 1325 completed passes from 1781 attempts, a reasonable output for a home side. Riestra, by contrast, completed just 625 of 1145 passes, a noticeably lower accuracy that points to a more direct, less structured style. Riestra also racked up 79 fouls compared to Platense’s 60, suggesting they will be physical and disruptive. That foul count will generate set-piece opportunities for Platense, who have 60 free kicks in that same sample. With both teams pressing and fouling at high rates, the referee will be busy, and the 13 yellow cards Riestra collected in 5 matches signals a genuine card market opportunity.
- We predict the match ends in a draw (X)
- Best value bet: Draw at approximately 2.75-2.80
- Secondary option: Under 2.5 goals, given both sides’ defensive caution in recent league fixtures
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Deportivo Riestra Over 2.5 Yellow Cards |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 7.5 |
Team Analysis
Platense’s last 30 days show 3 wins, 2 losses, and 3 draws from 8 matches, a modest but functional return. Their most recent result was a 0-1 home defeat to Defensa y Justicia, a well-ranked opponent sitting 4th in the Clausura table, so the loss carries some context. Before that, they drew 1-1 with Instituto de Córdoba and beat Barracas Central 2-1. The 7-6 thriller against Coquimbo inflates their goals scored tally considerably. In the Clausura specifically, Platense have won just 2 of 7, with their goal difference at -4, the worst metric in their current league standing. Palermo’s 4-2-3-1 setup has provided structural discipline, but the backline’s vulnerability to counter-attacks remains a concern.
Deportivo Riestra come into this match off a 1-1 draw with Velez Sarsfield, a top-5 Clausura side, which is arguably their best result in recent weeks. Their last 5 matches include a 0-2 loss to Newells Old Boys and back-to-back draws before that against Huracan and Gimnasia LP. Riestra have won only 1 of their last 5 and just 6 times in 32 matches this year, a 19% win rate that reflects their season-long struggle. Guillermo Duró’s team is compact and hard to break down, with 59 interceptions in their last 5, but their attacking output is limited, with 58 total shots across that stretch compared to Platense’s 74.
Most Recent Head-to-Head Matches
These two sides have met four times in recent Argentine football, and the pattern is clear: goals are scarce and results are tight.
| Statistic | Platense | Deportivo Riestra |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 2 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Platense vs Deportivo Riestra stats page for more info.
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Platense the Favourite
- Moneyline Platense 2.75 | Deportivo Riestra 2.95
- Draw 2.76
- Over/Under Over 2.5 N/A | Under 2.5 N/A
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes N/A | No N/A
Platense’s home odds around 2.75 reflect their marginal advantage but offer genuine value given the draw has landed in 3 of the last 4 head-to-head meetings. Riestra at 2.90-3.15 is slightly overpriced for an away side that has drawn three of their last five. The draw at 2.75-2.80 across most bookmakers is where the real value sits. Pinnacle’s line of 2.79/2.76/3.15 is the sharpest market available and confirms the near-even split. We lean toward the draw based on both teams’ form, their h2h history, and the high-pressure context of a relegation battle where neither side can afford reckless play.
Possible Starting Lineups
Platense Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Juan Cozzani
- DF: Víctor Cuesta, Tomás Silva, Agustin Lagos, Mateo Mendía
- MF: Martin Barrios, Ivan Gómez, Franco Zapiola Yamartino, Gastón Togni
- FW: Kevin Retamar, Luciano Giménez
Palermo is likely to stick with the 4-2-3-1 that has been his default in recent fixtures. Cozzani starts in goal after appearing in 4 of the last 5 matches. Víctor Cuesta and Tomás Silva form a centre-back pairing with genuine experience, and Silva’s goal from defence adds a set-piece threat. Martin Barrios is the engine in midfield with 172 passes and 5 interceptions across the last 5, making him the key link between defence and attack. Kevin Retamar is Platense’s most dangerous player with 2 goals and an assist in this run, and he will need service to unlock a disciplined Riestra shape.
Deportivo Riestra Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Ignacio Mauricio Jesús Arce
- DF: Facundo Miño, Mariano Bracamonte, Jonathan Goitia, Cristian Paz
- MF: Nicolás Sansotre, Pablo Daniel Monje, Milton Celiz, Braian Sánchez
- FW: Nicolas Benegas, Tomás González
Duró has consistently deployed a 4-2-3-1 across the last 5 matches. Arce has started all 5 and produced 11 saves, making him one of the key reasons Riestra have kept their heads above water. Facundo Miño leads the backline with 5 interceptions and 450 minutes played across the sample, the most of any outfield player. Up front, Nicolas Benegas (13 shots, 1 goal) and Tomás González (9 shots, 1 goal) form an active if not prolific front two. Milton Celiz is the most complete midfielder in the squad with goals, shots, and fouls to his name, and he will be central to any Riestra attacking threat.
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Platense. Source: Official Website
TipsGG Match Prediction
Three of the last four head-to-head meetings between these sides ended level, and the current Clausura form for both teams points in the same direction. Platense have drawn 2 of 7 league games and Riestra 2 of 7, both sitting on 8 points with identical records. Riestra’s defensive structure, 59 interceptions and 11 saves from Arce in 5 matches, will make them difficult to break at the Estadio Ciudad de Vicente Lopez. Platense’s attack, despite Retamar’s contributions, has managed only 7 goals in 7 Clausura games. We predict a 1-1 draw, with both teams likely to score but neither finding a winner. The draw at 2.75 is our primary recommendation, and Riestra to receive over 2.5 yellow cards is the hot tip given their 13 bookings across the last 5 games.
