Sofia Quijada
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Peru host Bolivia at the Estadio Monumental U Marathon in Lima in a November international friendly, with Mano Menezes and Óscar Villegas setting up their sides. Peru enter as clear favourites, and the last meeting between these nations in March 2025 ended 3-1 in Peru’s favour in a FIFA World Cup CONMEBOL qualifier. Bolivia have struggled for goals since, and that gap in attacking output shapes our view of this fixture.
Peru have been the more productive side across recent months, scoring three goals in their last five matches. Bolivia have found the net only once in the same period, and perhaps that single goal tells the story of their current form. Mano Menezes will look to his forwards to convert chances against a side that has conceded heavily.
Hot stat: Bolivia failed to score in four of their last five matches, and they conceded 16 goals across that run, including four-goal defeats to Argentina, Algeria and Scotland.
| 🏆 Tournament: | International Friendly 2026 |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estadio Monumental U Marathon, Lima |
| 🗓️ Date: | 14.11.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 03:00 CEST |
Peru vs Bolivia prediction
We predict Peru to win this match, and we back the home side to win by two or more goals. Peru hold a clear quality edge, and the bookmakers price them at around 60% to win. Bolivia have won only two of their last 15 results, so a margin of two or more goals suits the trend. To be honest, a narrow 1-0 win would not surprise us, but the balance of recent scoring favours a comfortable home victory.
Peru have scored in most of their recent matches but have also been open at the back, conceding twelve goals in five games. That openness matters less here because Bolivia rarely create sustained pressure in the final third. Bolivia’s attacking output of one goal in five matches suggests they will struggle to trouble Peru’s defence on the counter. We expect Peru to control possession in Lima and create enough chances to settle the contest before the second half.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Peru to win by two or more goals |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 3.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
Team Analysis
Peru come into this match on a poor run, with only two wins and four draws from their last fifteen results. Their most recent match was a 1-4 defeat to USA, and before that they lost 1-3 to Spain. Peru still found the net in those matches, but their defensive record leaves room for concern. Menezes will want a tighter shape than the one that conceded four away from home. We expect a home crowd to lift Peru, and we believe they have enough individual quality to dominate Bolivia.
Bolivia have won four and drawn one of their last fifteen results, and most of those losses came against stronger opponents. Their last match was a 1-2 defeat to Iraq, which at least produced a goal. Villegas’s side has leaked goals consistently, and perhaps the lack of cohesion in attack explains why they have failed to score in four of five outings. Bolivia must improve their chance creation to keep this match competitive.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Peru | Bolivia |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3 | 1 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Peru vs Bolivia stats page for more info.
Bolivia. Source: Official Facebook
Pre-game odds and win probability: Peru the favourite
- Moneyline Peru 1.52 | Bolivia 5.58
- Draw 3.82
Peru at 1.52 implies a probability of roughly 66%, which lines up with the bookmaker average of 60% once the margin is removed. Bolivia at 5.58 look overpriced given their scoring record, while the draw at 3.82 offers no clear value against a home side with better form. We see the moneyline as fair rather than rewarding, so the margin market gives the stronger angle.
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Peru. Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict Peru 2-0 Bolivia as the most likely scoreline. Peru’s home advantage, recent attacking output and Bolivia’s inability to score make the home side the logical pick. Bolivia’s four-match scoreless run gives little reason to back them to score, which is why we recommend the Both Teams To Score market as No. Our recommended bet is Peru to win by two or more goals.
