PEC Zwolle vs Volendam Prediction: 07.02.2026 Eredivisie 2025/26 Preview

This upcoming Eredivisie fixture features PEC Zwolle sitting ninth hosting fifteenth-placed Volendam at MAC³PARK Stadion. With both clubs needing points for very different reasons—Zwolle aiming to stay clear of the relegation conversation and Volendam desperate to avoid being dragged deeper into the drop zone—match context matters. Interestingly, both teams line up in a 4-2-3-1, setting the stage for a tactically intriguing clash where discipline and efficiency in transitions will be crucial.

Key attacking threats for Zwolle include Shola Shoretire, impressive with 4 goals in his last 4 appearances, and Koen Kostons, whose movement keeps opposition back lines guessing. On Volendam’s part, veteran striker Robert Muhren remains a focal point with 2 recent goals, supported by Brandley Kuwas, a creative spark with 2 goals and 2 assists, making them essential to their team’s attacking ambitions.

Hot stat: Zwolle have scored 9 goals in their last 5 matches—almost double Volendam’s 5—suggesting a real difference in offensive production coming into this encounter.

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PEC Zwolle vs Volendam prediction

The safest value lies with PEC Zwolle to win, supported both by form and home advantage. Zwolle have won 2 and drawn 2 of their last 4, scoring freely (9 in last 5) and showing their ability to react after setbacks. Volendam, meanwhile, struggle for consistency away, possess the second-worst goal difference in the Eredivisie, and average just 1 goal per game over the last 5 matches.

Disciplinary stats and style of play sharpen this prediction. Zwolle are generally measured—6 yellow cards in their last five matches, compared to Volendam’s 12—showing more composure and likely fewer interruptions from bookings and fouls. Zwolle also edge possession (1,623 successful passes vs Volendam’s 1,991, but with higher pass accuracy at 77% vs 81%). Notably, Zwolle’s defensive structure (36 recent interceptions vs 47 for Volendam) signals solid organisation and effective transition play. If Volendam can’t keep discipline, expect Zwolle to seize control as the match progresses.

Team Analysis

PEC Zwolle Recent Matches:
Zwolle’s latest result—a comprehensive 4-1 home win against Telstar—showcased their tactical flexibility and capacity to capitalise on defensive errors. Zwolle controlled possession, produced 17 shots, and looked threatening in open play. Prior to that, a narrow 1-2 defeat against Nijmegen (one of the league’s top teams) was less a setback and more a demonstration of resilience, with Zwolle pushing until the final whistle. Earlier draws against Twente and a disciplined win over AZ Alkmaar established their current run as both pragmatic and dynamic, led by in-form attackers and a back four capable of handling pressure.

Volendam Recent Matches:
Volendam’s latest five matches highlight their struggle for consistency: just 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 defeats. Their recent 0-1 loss to Nijmegen revealed issues breaking down compact defenses, while a goalless draw against GA Eagles suggested a lack of creative spark outside of Muhren and Kuwas. However, their 2-1 wins over both Utrecht and Sparta Rotterdam do underscore their counter-attacking threats—but frequent defensive lapses and 12 yellows in 5 games reflect tension under pressure, endangering their ability to maintain control when matches get stretched.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full PEC Zwolle vs Volendam stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: PEC Zwolle the favourite

• Moneyline PEC Zwolle 1.70 | Volendam 5.10
• Draw 3.75
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.80 | Under 2.5 2.00
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.72 | No 2.10

Pec Zwolle are solid home favorites at average odds of 1.70, reflecting both their higher league standing and current attacking form. Volendam’s generous odds (5.10) signal their underdog status, while the draw (3.75) reflects the volatility both teams can show in transition games. Over 2.5 goals stands as a near even-money prospect—justified by Zwolle’s firepower and defensive errors on both sides recently. BTTS Yes (1.72) holds value given both teams’ recent scoring trends.

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Possible Starting Lineups

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My take on the Match

With discipline, home advantage, and superior recent form, PEC Zwolle stand out as the logical pick. Their consistent scoring, compact defensive shape, and in-form forwards—especially Shoretire—point towards a comfortable home win, but do anticipate a reply from Volendam given the open nature of both sides’ recent games. Consider Zwolle -0.75 Asian Handicap and Over 2.5 goals as core bets, with BTTS Yes as an attractive side market. For risk-takers, combining Zwolle to win with both teams to score could offer excellent value.

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