Alex MacQuoid
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Zwolle sits thirteenth, scraping four points from five games, while Feyenoord arrive third with eleven points and a squad that just got battered 1-5 by Barcelona midweek. That result stings but shouldn’t fool anyone watching this fixture. Feyenoord have won the last four head-to-head meetings against this exact opponent by a combined score that reads like a scoreboard malfunction, and honestly, nothing in the current data suggests Zwolle can flip that script now. Van Bronckhorst’s side leaked goals against a European heavyweight, sure, but domestically they’re still scoring at a near two-and-a-half-per-game clip. That’s the real story here.
Two names worth circling before kickoff. Gjivai Zechiel has been Feyenoord’s most dangerous attacker of late, four goals and two assists across his last five appearances, playing box-to-box with real intent. On the other side, Koen Kostons is basically the only source of goals Zwolle possess right now, three goals in four matches for a team that has managed just six all season. If Zwolle score, it likely runs through him.
Hot stat: in the last four PEC Zwolle vs Feyenoord meetings, Feyenoord have scored nineteen goals combined while Zwolle managed just two. That’s an average of nearly five goals per fixture between these two clubs, and it’s hard to ignore when setting goal markets for Saturday.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Eredivisie 2026/27, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | MAC³PARK Stadion, Zwolle |
| 🗓️ Date: | 13.09.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 16:45 CEST |
PEC Zwolle vs Feyenoord prediction
We think Feyenoord win this comfortably, and the value probably isn’t even in the moneyline given how short it’s priced. The better play looks like Feyenoord -1.5 on the Asian handicap, or a straight win-to-nil style bet if you want the safer route. Zwolle have lost three of their last five outings and conceded ten goals in that span, an average of two per game against sides nowhere near Feyenoord’s level offensively. Giving up multiple goals here feels almost inevitable.
Style-wise, Feyenoord dominate possession and territory in basically every metric that matters. Their pass accuracy sits around 85% over the last five games compared to Zwolle’s roughly 74%, and they’ve racked up nearly double the shot volume too. Zwolle foul at a similar rate to Feyenoord but pick up more offsides, which hints at a back line pushed high and exposed to pace on the counter. Feyenoord’s card count stays low relative to their territorial control, they don’t need to foul much when they’ve got the ball 60% of the time anyway.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Feyenoord win & Over 3.5 total goals |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
PEC Zwolle’s last outing ended 2-2 against Sparta Rotterdam, a result that flatters them slightly given the run they’re on. Before that it was a 1-3 defeat to Nijmegen, a 2-0 win over Heerenveen (their lone bright spot), then losses to Twente (1-3) and Ajax (0-2). Four defeats or draws-against-form in five games paints a side struggling defensively and lacking a second scoring outlet beyond Kostons. The draw against Sparta at least showed some fight, clawing back from behind, but conceding that many goals against mid-table opposition doesn’t bode well against a side of Feyenoord’s caliber.
Feyenoord’s most recent match was that eye-catching 1-5 loss to Barcelona, a continental fixture that shouldn’t weigh too heavily on domestic form. Strip that one out and the picture looks very different: 3-1 over Nijmegen, a scrappy 2-2 with Den Haag, a 5-2 demolition of Cambuur, and a 2-2 draw with GA Eagles. Four goals conceded across those four domestic games isn’t perfect defensively, but scoring thirteen goals in five matches overall shows an attack firing on most cylinders. Giovanni van Bronckhorst will want a response after the Barcelona mauling, and there’s no better way to get it than putting four or five past a struggling Zwolle side.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | PEC Zwolle | Feyenoord |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (last 4 meetings) | 2 | 17 |
🚨Check out our dedicated PEC Zwolle vs Feyenoord stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Feyenoord the favourite
- Moneyline PEC Zwolle 5.68 | Feyenoord 1.39
- Draw 4.85
Bookmakers have this pegged at roughly 65% for Feyenoord, 19% draw and just 16% for a Zwolle win, and frankly those numbers line up with everything above. The odds barely move across different bookmakers either, which tells you the market is confident. We wouldn’t touch the outright away price given how short it is . . . the handicap or goals markets carry far better value for this one.
Possible Starting Lineups
PEC Zwolle possible starting eleven
- GK: Jasper Schendelaar
- DF: Damian van der Haar, Simon Graves Jensen, Olivier Aertssen, Nick Viergever
- MF: Ryan Thomas, Thijs Oosting, Tobias Sommer
- FW: Dylan Mbayo, Koen Kostons, Elias Sörensen
Van der Vegt has stuck with a familiar 4-3-3 across the last five games and there’s little reason to change it now, not with results already poor. Kostons leads the line and remains the one genuine goal threat, while Mbayo’s three assists this season suggest he’s the creative outlet feeding him. Watch how Thomas copes in midfield against Feyenoord’s press, he’s picked up a yellow already this season and space will be tight.
Feyenoord possible starting eleven
- GK: Tjark Ernst
- DF: Givairo Read, Tsuyoshi Watanabe, Mika Mármol, Jeremiah St. Juste
- MF: Oussama Targhalline, Charles Vanhoutte, Gjivai Zechiel, Luciano Valente, Anis Hadj Moussa
- FW: Gaoussou Kyassou Diarra
Van Bronckhorst’s 4-2-3-1 relies on Targhalline and Vanhoutte shielding the back four while Zechiel, Valente and Hadj Moussa rotate through the attacking midfield band. Zechiel is the one to watch given his goal output lately, and Mármol at the back has been nearly everywhere defensively with thirteen interceptions in five games. Diarra up top might not be the biggest scorer on paper but he’s earned the most minutes among the strikers available.
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Feyenoord. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
The Verdict
Our team leans heavily toward Feyenoord here, both on the win and the goals markets. Zwolle just don’t have the defensive structure to contain a side averaging over two and a half goals a game domestically, and the head-to-head history between these two clubs is about as lopsided as it gets in the Eredivisie right now. Expect Feyenoord to bounce back from the Barcelona result in style, probably 3-1 or 4-1, with Zechiel or Valente getting on the scoresheet. Maybe Zwolle nick a consolation through Kostons, that wouldn’t shock us given his recent form, but stopping the away side outright looks like a stretch.
