Paysandu Pa vs Goias Prediction: 19.05.2025 Campeonato Brasileiro Série B Preview

There’s a palpable sense of urgency at Estádio Leônidas Castro, Belem, as Paysandu Pa welcome high-flying Goias on May 19th, 2025, in a crucial Campeonato Brasileiro Série B regular season fixture. Both teams are separated by vastly different fortunes: while Goias sit confidently atop the standings, Paysandu Pa languish in the relegation zone and are desperate for a positive turnaround. The context here is intriguing — both clubs recently delivered an electrifying 6-5 thriller in the Copa Verde Final, underlining just how unpredictable this battle can be.

For the hosts, Matheus Nogueira’s organization and distribution from the back remain vital, yet it’s forward Jorge Benitez — scorer of a crucial goal in the recent draw against America MG — who offers a spark of hope. Goias, bolstered by the dynamism of midfielder Rafael Gava (one goal, one assist in his last four outings) and the clinical presence of Anselmo Ramon up top, possess the kind of attacking depth that can change a match in an instant.

“Hot stat”: Goias have tallied 35 corner kicks in their last 5 matches, showcasing their intense attacking output and ability to generate pressure in the opponent’s box, far surpassing Paysandu Pa’s comparatively modest 16 corners.

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Paysandu Pa vs Goias prediction

Given Goias’ strong position — 5 wins from 7 league games, capped by a firm grasp on the summit — and Paysandu Pa’s ongoing struggles, the value here lies in backing Goias. Their fluid 4-2-3-1 exploits both wide and central spaces, evident in their league-low defensive record and outstanding corner count.

Paysandu Pa’s defensive line has been far from robust, conceding nine goals in seven league outings and only managing four themselves. While the home side averages 37 fouls in their last five matches (to Goias’ 55), they also accumulate more yellow cards — a sign of defensive lapses and late challenges. However, neither team is prone to red cards, hinting at disciplined, but aggressive defensive play.

Goias’ pass accuracy (77%) dwarfs Paysandu Pa’s (54%), translating to more successful build-ups and retention, which is reflected in Goias’ impressive possession stats and the number of chances they generate. Expect Goias’ efficiency and pressing to dictate the rhythm, although Paysandu Pa have shown they can spring a surprise — as their 2-2 draw with America MG demonstrated.

Team Analysis

Paysandu Pa: Recent form illustrates a team patching holes rather than building momentum. Their last match — a 2-2 stalemate with America MG — displayed character and attacking potential, highlighted by Jorge Benitez finding the net, but also defensive vulnerability under pressure. The notorious 6-6 wild shootout with Remo showed a dangerous mix: offensive spark, but frequent lapses and a tendency to concede from set pieces and quick transitions.

Goias: In stark contrast, Goias have been in formidable league form, overcoming Coritiba 1-0 last time out, with strong performances from Rafael Gava and Tadeu in goal. Before that, their 2-1 success at Avai and a professional display against Botafogo SP (1-0) underscored resilience and a multi-pronged threat up front. Their midfield, marshalled by the likes of Juninho and Marcão Silva, has enabled seamless transitions — a major contributor to their current place atop Série B.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Paysandu Pa vs Goias stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Goias the favourite

• Moneyline Paysandu Pa 2.80 | Goias 2.70
• Draw 3.00
• Over/Under Over 2.5 2.05 | Under 2.5 1.75
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.95 | No 1.80

With nearly identical win probabilities (34% Paysandu Pa, 34% Goias, 32% draw), the market sees an open contest. However, Goias’ recent momentum justifies their mild favoritism and the value seen in the Draw No Bet market. The relatively short odds for Over 2.5 goals and Both Teams To Score reflect past high-scoring duels — and both sides’ attacking tendencies. The underdog pricing on Paysandu Pa indicates their home advantage, but their struggling form leaves them as outsiders for good reason.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Paysandu Pa possible starting eleven

Luizinho Lopes appears wedded to the 4-2-3-1, leveraging recent player rotations. Matheus Nogueira anchors the backline, with Luan and Patric Calmon offering steadiness in defense. The midfield three blend hard work (Vilela, Giovanni) with creative sparks (Vargas). Up front, Benitez holds the line, while Rossi and Johann are tasked with supporting runs. Watch for Benitez’s movement — if Paysandu Pa get anything, it’s likely to come through him.

Goias possible starting eleven

Goias are expected to stick with their reliable 4-2-3-1, a structure that utilizes defensive solidity provided by Messias and Diego, plus attacking thrust from fullbacks like Lucas Lovat. Midfield generals Juninho and Marcão Silva offer cover, allowing Rafael Gava free rein as the orchestrator behind a front three led by the predatory Anselmo Ramon. Pedrinho and Arthur Caíke provide width and directness — a trio capable of unlocking Paysandu Pa’s vulnerable lines.

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My take on the Match

The metrics make a compelling case for Goias to extend their strong Série B start. They dominate key attacking areas (over double the shots and corners of Paysandu Pa over the past five games), have a disciplined defense, and their front four can exploit any defensive miscues. While Paysandu Pa may galvanize in front of a home crowd, the odds reflect their deep-rooted struggles: a solitary win in nine matches tells its own story.

My main pick is Goias Draw No Bet, in light of their more reliable structure and recent form. Secondary bets — Over 2.5 Goals and Both Teams To Score — highlight the likelihood of an open, dynamic match, especially remembering their unforgettable Copa Verde goal-fest. Look for Goias to assert themselves, but don’t rule out Paysandu Pa grabbing a goal through Benitez or an attacking set piece.

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