Rafael Nogueira
The upcoming clash between Paysandu Pa and Chapecoense in the Campeonato Brasileiro Série B is a pivotal moment for both teams. With each team yet to secure a victory in the regular season, this match holds significant importance. This encounter is not just about the points but also restoring morale and setting the tone for the remainder of the season. Both teams, currently positioned at the bottom of the standings with two losses each, need to dig deep and deliver a performance that reinvigorates their campaign. The weight of expectations lies heavily, particularly on Paysandu Pa, who will look to leverage their home advantage at Estádio Leônidas Castro.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Campeonato Brasileiro Série B 2025 |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estádio Leônidas Castro, Belem |
| 🗓️ Date: | 17.04.2025 |
| ⏰ Time: | 02:00 CEST |
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Paysandu Pa vs Chapecoense prediction
Considering recent performances and current statistics, Paysandu Pa stands as the favorites to clinch victory in this fixture. They have shown resilience despite mixed results, and their home form could prove the difference-maker. The defensive frailties of Chapecoense, highlighted by their recent inability to secure clean sheets, offer a potential avenue for Paysandu’s attackers.
Paysandu’s style of play prioritizes possession, leading to a high number of passes per game, which can tire the opposition, creating spaces for exploitation. In contrast, Chapecoense’s recent matches have exposed a vulnerability to high pressing, which Paysandu can capitalize on. Keeping an eye on fouls and cards, both teams tend to play physical games; however, Paysandu’s strategic use of fouls and yellow cards has been less detrimental compared to Chapecoense’s red card struggles.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Asian Handicap – Paysandu Pa -0.75 |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Under 10 |
Team Analysis
Reviewing recent games, Paysandu Pa has recorded a win and a draw in their last four matches. Their last encounter saw them narrowly lose 0-1 to Vila Nova, but they displayed a solid defensive structure for most of the match. With a slight tactical tweak, they are poised to translate possession into goals.
Chapecoense, on the other hand, has struggled to find form, with two draws in their last four matches. Their previous game ended in a 1-2 defeat against Coritiba, where they were outclassed in the midfield, unable to string effective passes together or create clear-cut chances.
Most recent H2Hs: Paysandu Pa dominates
| Statistic | Paysandu Pa | Chapecoense |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 4 | 2 |
| Total shots | 60 | 59 |
| Free kicks | 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks | 25 | 19 |
| Total fouls | 24 | 19 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 82 | 86 |
| Interceptions | 18 | 15 |
| Offsides | 2 | 1 |
🚨Read our full Paysandu Pa vs Chapecoense stats for more analysis.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Paysandu Pa the favourite
| Moneyline | Paysandu Pa 1.75 | Chapecoense 4.45 | |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 3.30 | |
| Over/Under | Over 2.5 1.90 | Under 2.5 2.00 | |
| BTTS (both teams to score) | Yes 2.10 | No 1.70 | |
Given these odds, it’s clear that Paysandu Pa is favored not only by their home advantage but also due to their more consistent performance this season. The odds reflect Chapecoense’s recent struggles and suggest a challenging task ahead for them to reverse the bookmakers’ predictions.
You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.
Key Players to Watch
For Paysandu Pa, Matheus Nogueira stands out with his commanding presence in goal, having secured a pass accuracy of 35% in recent matches. His composure and ability to organize the defense are critical. Meanwhile, for Chapecoense, Mário Sérgio, with his goal-scoring potential and tactical awareness, poses a significant threat to opposition defenses.
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Possible Starting Lineups
Paysandu Pa possible starting eleven
- GK: Matheus Nogueira
- DF: Luan, Edílson Júnior, Yefferson Quintana, Patric Calmon
- MF: Matheus Vargas, Leandro Vilela, Ramon Martinez, Giovanni
- FW: Jorge Benitez, Nicolas Godinho Johann
Paysandu Pa is likely to maintain their 4-2-3-1 formation, aiming to control the midfield and utilize their wide players. Keep an eye on Matheus Vargas, whose agility and vision make him a crucial asset in transition play.
Chapecoense possible starting eleven
- GK: Léo Vieira
- DF: Bruno Leonardo, Walter Clar, Gianluca Piola Minozzo, Eduardo Doma
- MF: Bruno Matias, Giovanni Augusto
- FW: Marcinho, Dentinho, Mário Sérgio, Getúlio
Chapecoense’s 4-4-2 could be adjusted to strengthen their midfield presence. Mário Sérgio, with his knack for finding space, will be pivotal as they attempt to break down Paysandu’s defense.
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Chapecoense. Source: Official Website
The Verdict
Our main pick for the match favors Paysandu Pa, who are likely to seize the initiative and control the game from the outset. With their tactical discipline and home advantage, they are expected to overcome Chapecoense and climb up the table to kickstart their season positively.
