Paysandu Pa vs Botafogo SP Prediction: 14.06.2025 Campeonato Brasileiro Série B Preview

This Saturday at Estádio Leônidas Castro, two sides desperate to escape the lower reaches of the Série B table face off in what could be a critical encounter for their seasons. While Paysandu Pa have yet to taste victory in 2025 and sit bottom, Botafogo SP aim to separate themselves from the relegation zone. Despite recent struggles, both coaches—Claudinei Oliveira for Paysandu Pa and Allan Aal for Botafogo SP—are expected to stick with the familiar 4-2-3-1, trusting that consistency will pay dividends. This matchup, marked by two sides battling for form, could be defined by pivotal moments and defensive resilience.

For Paysandu Pa, attacking midfielder Matheus Vargas stands out as a creative force, facilitating transitions and providing a spark in the final third. Botafogo SP’s Jonathan Cafú, a versatile forward, is another to watch for his direct running and recently improved finishing. These two, not the goalkeepers, could make the crucial difference in a tight tactical battle.

Although both sides are having trouble found the net, a “hot stat” to note is Paysandu Pa’s streak of 11 winless games (0-4-7)—the only side yet to win in Série B this season—underscoring the pressure they face in every outing.

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Paysandu Pa vs Botafogo SP prediction

The value prediction for this clash is a conservative one: Draw No Bet on Botafogo SP, and Under 2.5 total goals. Paysandu Pa’s inability to convert chances—just 5 goals in 11 matches—contrasts with Botafogo SP’s marginally more promising attack, having scored 10 goals in the same span. However, both sides suffer from chronic inefficiency and lack of cutting edge, with Paysandu Pa only managing a solitary strike in their last five and Botafogo registering just three in that period. Defensively, both can be breached but recent matches have been low-scoring and tense.

Discipline-wise, Paysandu Pa have tallied 9 yellow cards to Botafogo SP’s 8 over five matches, indicating aggressive play but not recklessness. Paysandu are marginally more physical (50 total fouls to Botafogo’s 43) and dominate on corners (25 in last five vs 9). But the stat to watch is pass completion: Paysandu’s 77.3% eclipse Botafogo’s 77.8%, yet neither team controls midfield well over 90 minutes, leading to fragmented play. This will likely result in cautious buildup, with both teams prioritizing defensive integrity, reinforcing the value in the Under 2.5 goals market.

Team Analysis

Paysandu Pa Recent Games:

Paysandu Pa’s campaign has been marked by frustration, culminating in a 0-1 defeat last week to Cuiaba despite a decent showing in open play. They controlled passages of possession but failed to create gilt-edged chances, while defensive lapses proved costly. Before that, another narrow 0-1 loss to Criciuma and a 1-3 home defeat to Novorizontino exposed recurring issues: lack of attacking cohesion and suspect defending in set-piece situations. The goalless draw with leaders Goias was perhaps the closest Paysandu came to grabbing a win, illustrating their potential to resist, but also their incapacity to capitalise on opportunities.

Botafogo SP Recent Games:

Botafogo SP managed a battling 0-0 draw with Coritiba in their most recent outing, showcasing improved defensive structure but little attacking ambition. Previously, a 1-1 draw with Ferroviaria and 2-1 triumph over CRB provided glimpses of promise, especially with Jonathan Cafú and Leandro Maciel featuring in critical attacking sequences. Yet, consistency has eluded this group. The team tends to fade quickly after conceding first, as seen in the 0-3 defeats to Operario PR and Athletic Club. Their performance against Paysandu’s porous defense could tilt this matchup in their favor, provided the attacking trio delivers.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Paysandu Pa vs Botafogo SP stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Paysandu Pa the favourite

• Moneyline Paysandu Pa 2.03 | Botafogo SP 4.20
• Draw 3.20
• Over/Under Over 2.5 2.45 | Under 2.5 1.58
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.30 | No 1.60

Bookmakers position Paysandu Pa as the narrow favorite due to home-field advantage and market inertia, despite their winless streak. The odds for the draw and an away win are generous, reflecting low public confidence in both offenses. Notably, Under 2.5 goals is heavily favored, fitting the shape of both teams’ recent matches. Given Paysandu’s chronic scoring woes and Botafogo SP’s improved discipline, the edge for a low-scoring draw or slim away result seems justified.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Paysandu Pa possible starting eleven

• GK: Matheus Nogueira
• DF: Luan, Edílson Júnior, Patric Calmon, Maurício Antônio
• MF: Matheus Vargas, Leandro Vilela, Ramon Martinez
• FW: Rossi, Jorge Benitez, Benjamín Borasi

Paysandu’s likely 4-2-3-1 will see defensive stability with Luan and Patric Calmon flanking Edílson Júnior and Maurício Antônio. Matheus Nogueira, their most consistent presence in goal, should marshal the back line. Midfield will rely on Vargas’ creativity and Vilela’s box-to-box work, with support from Martinez if fit. In attack, Jorge Benitez provides a focal point, and Rossi plus Borasi offer width and occasional goal threat on transitions. The key is for Vargas to link midfield and attack, as Paysandu require ingenuity and risk to find their first win.

Botafogo SP possible starting eleven

• GK: Victor Souza
• DF: Gabriel Risso Patrón, Wallison, Edson Felipe da Cruz, Robinho
• MF: Gabriel Bispo, Leandro Maciel, Sabit abdulai
• FW: Jonathan Cafú, Ronie Carrillo

Allan Aal should field a similar 4-2-3-1 with Victor Souza between the posts for his leadership. Gabriel Risso Patrón impresses on the left, likely pushing forward to support attacks, while Wallison and Edson Felipe anchor central defense. Maciel and Bispo anchor midfield; Sabit adds bite and range. Up front, Cafú’s invention and Ronie Carrillo’s movement can trouble the hosts, especially if transition play opens space. In this system, Cafú remains the vital link, and if Botafogo SP can maintain discipline, their counter-attacks could determine the outcome.

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My take on the Match

Given the lack of offensive punch and the mutual pressure not to lose, this match is set up for a tightly fought contest where neither side is likely to dominate. I expect a low-scoring draw or a narrow Botafogo SP win, with the visitors’ slightly stronger attack giving them a slim edge. The draw no bet on Botafogo SP presents value, as Paysandu’s search for attacking answers continues. The outcome may well hinge on a single moment—a set piece, an error, or an inspired run from Cafú or Vargas. Fans should expect tension, defensive discipline, and few clear chances.

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