Liam Duckstein
Parma and Sassuolo will meet at Ennio Tardini in the final round of the Serie A 2025/26 regular season. Both sides are safe from relegation but far from the European spots, setting the stage for a match that could open up as players look to finish the campaign on a positive note. Sassuolo have a slight edge in bookmaker predictions, but the difference is marginal, suggesting a tightly contested encounter. With both managers sticking to a 3-5-2 setup recently, tactical discipline and midfield battles are expected. Eyes will be on Sassuolo’s Armand Lauriente, who found the net twice in his last four games, and Parma’s Gabriel Strefezza, whose work rate and recent goal-scoring form make him a key threat. Hot stat: Sassuolo have taken 52 shots in their last five matches an average of over 10 per game showing their attacking intent regardless of results.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Serie A 2025/26 Regular Season, Italy |
| 🏟 Venue: | Ennio Tardini, Parma |
| 🗓️ Date: | 24.05.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 15:00 CEST |
Parma vs Sassuolo prediction
We predict both teams to score in this match. Both Parma and Sassuolo have struggled for consistency Parma with a 29% win rate this season and Sassuolo at 40% but each possesses attacking players in good form. Sassuolo’s high shot volume and Parma’s recent uptick in home results suggest open play with plenty of chances.
Both sides regularly rack up fouls and yellow cards Sassuolo notably with 8 yellows in their last five, Parma with 3 hinting at aggressive midfield duels. Sassuolo’s superior passing and ball progression may allow them to control possession phases, but Parma’s pressing and direct style will create counterattacking opportunities. Expect a physical match with plenty of set pieces.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Over 10.5 Corners |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 10.5 |
Team Analysis
Parma’s recent run has been mixed: a 0-1 loss to Como was preceded by defeats to Roma and Inter, though they managed narrow wins over Pisa and Udinese. Offensively, Parma have been modest only three goals in the last five matches but they remain resilient at home. Their last match highlighted defensive lapses, but also their ability to press for late chances.
Sassuolo’s latest results show inconsistency: a 2-3 home defeat to Lecce followed losses to Torino, but they surprised with a 2-0 win over Milan and a win over Como. The team’s 52 shots over the last five matches is impressive, and they have managed to keep games open, evidenced by a 0-0 draw with Fiorentina and regular goal output from Lauriente and Berardi. Their midfield, led by Thorstvedt, keeps the ball moving and creates chances in transition.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Parma | Sassuolo |
|---|---|---|
| Total shots | 8 | 10 |
| Free kicks | 15 | 17 |
| Corner kicks | 7 | 8 |
| Total fouls | 12 | 14 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 82 | 84 |
| Interceptions | 18 | 20 |
| Offsides | 2 | 3 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Parma vs Sassuolo stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Sassuolo the favourite
- Moneyline Parma 2.79 | Sassuolo 2.70
- Draw 3.48
- Over/Under Over 2.5 1.90 | Under 2.5 1.85
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.78 | No 1.97
Bookmakers rate this match as almost even, but lean slightly towards Sassuolo. The value on both sides suggests the market cannot split these teams, with marginal preference for the visitors. Over 2.5 goals is priced tightly, reflecting attacking intent but not expecting a goal fest. Both Teams To Score is the most confident market, given each side’s leaky defence and recent shot numbers.
Possible Starting Lineups
Parma possible starting eleven
- GK: Zion Suzuki
- DF: Alessandro Circati, Enrico DelPrato, Mariano Troilo
- MF: Hans Nicolussi Caviglia, Nahuel Estévez, Mandela Keita, Christian Ordóñez, Emanuele Valeri
- FW: Gabriel Strefezza, Nesta Elphege
Suzuki has started regularly in goal, with Circati and Troilo anchoring the back line. The midfield relies on Caviglia and Keita for both defensive cover and forward thrust, while Strefezza’s energy up front offers both goals and pressing. The 3-5-2 formation gives width and stability, with Valeri pushing high from left wing-back.
Sassuolo possible starting eleven
- GK: Giacomo Satalino
- DF: Tarik Muharemovic, Ulisses Garcia, Woyo Coulibaly
- MF: Kristian Thorstvedt, Nemanja Matić, Ismael Kone, Luca Lipani, Armand Lauriente
- FW: Domenico Berardi, Andrea Pinamonti
Satalino has rotated but gets the nod here with a steady back three. Thorstvedt and Matić anchor midfield, Lauriente and Berardi bring attacking quality, while Pinamonti leads the line. Lauriente’s recent form is a major asset, and Sassuolo’s 3-5-2 should allow them to create in wide areas while retaining central solidity.
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Parma. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
The Verdict
We predict both teams will score and the total goals will surpass 2.5. Sassuolo’s attack is more productive, their shot count is significantly higher, and their midfield possesses greater creativity. Parma at home have been tough, but their defensive cracks have been exposed against stronger attacks. This match suits a goals-focused approach expect an open game as neither side sits deep. Our analysis also leans towards a high corner count, given both teams’ use of wing play and set pieces.
