Liam Duckstein
Serie A’s regular season nears its end, but intrigue builds in mid-table and for the final European spots. Parma host Roma at Ennio Tardini, with the visitors eyeing the top four and the hosts seeking a late push away from a crowded mid-table pack. Roma arrive with clear momentum and a higher ranking, while Parma look to build on their recent home improvement.
Donyell Malen, Roma’s in-form forward, is poised for another impactful performance after netting four in his last four matches. Parma’s Gabriel Strefezza, a creative force up front, offers a glimmer of hope with his ability to carve out chances even against tighter defenses.
Hot stat: Roma have scored 10 goals in their last five matches, more than three times Parma’s tally in the same period.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Serie A 2025/26 Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Ennio Tardini, Parma |
| 🗓️ Date: | 10.05.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 18:00 CEST |
Parma vs Roma prediction
We predict Roma to win away at Ennio Tardini. Roma’s recent form (60% winrate in last 30 days), superior position in the standings, and attacking output set them apart. They boast double Parma’s win tally this season and have a striking edge in goals scored. Parma, while organized and difficult to break down at home lately, struggle to threaten in attack, with just three goals in their last five matches.
Roma’s style relies on direct attacking transitions, frequent wide overloads, and sharp finishing — as evidenced by their 48 total shots in five matches and 10 goals. They commit more fouls and collect more yellows, which signals high-intensity pressing but also a risk of defensive gaps. Parma, with 29 fouls and just two yellows in the same period, are more restrained, prioritizing structure over aggression. Their lower pass accuracy and fewer shots show a reactive approach, which likely limits their chances of dictating play.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Roma to win & Over 2.5 Goals |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Parma’s last five matches showcase cautious progress. Their latest outing, a 0-2 loss to Inter, saw them well-organized early but eventually outclassed by the league leaders. Previous results include two gritty 1-0 wins over Pisa and Udinese, plus draws against Napoli and Lazio. Parma’s defense has tightened at home, but offensive output remains minimal. Their midfielders, like Adrián Bernabé García and Hans Nicolussi Caviglia, offer control but rarely push forward with intent. Strefezza remains the primary outlet, often isolated in attack.
Roma, under Gasperini, have found scoring rhythm and flexibility. Their last match, a comprehensive 4-0 victory over Fiorentina, saw Donyell Malen at his clinical best and Mario Hermoso surging from defense to attack. Roma dispatched Bologna (2-0) and Pisa (3-0) with relative comfort, held Atalanta to a 1-1 draw, and only faltered against Inter in a high-scoring 2-5 affair. Their attack is distributed, with midfielders like Niccolò Pisilli and defenders like Hermoso also contributing.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Parma | Roma |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 8 |
| Total shots | 32 | 48 |
| Corner kicks | 18 | 19 |
| Total fouls | 29 | 43 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 83.6 | 85.4 |
| Interceptions | 24 | 46 |
| Offsides | 6 | 5 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Parma vs Roma stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Roma the favourite
- Moneyline Parma 6.39 | Roma 1.52
- Draw 4.45
- Over/Under Over 2.5 1.80 | Under 2.5 2.00
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.95 | No 1.80
Bookmakers clearly back Roma. The away win is priced at 1.52–1.78 across major sites, implying strong confidence in Roma’s superiority. Parma sit at long odds near 6.00, reflecting both their lower league position and limited goal output. The draw, at 4.45, only appeals if Roma underperform or Parma repeat a defensive masterclass. Over 2.5 goals is favored, which matches both teams’ recent stats, and ‘No’ for both teams to score is only slightly less likely than ‘Yes’ — this fits our prediction of Roma winning to nil.
Possible Starting Lineups
Parma possible starting eleven
- GK: Zion Suzuki
- DF: Alessandro Circati, Mariano Troilo, Abdoulaye Niakhate Ndiaye
- MF: Emanuele Valeri, Hans Nicolussi Caviglia, Adrián Bernabé García, Mandela Keita
- FW: Nesta Elphege, Gabriel Strefezza, Pontus Almqvist
We expect Cuesta to stick to the 3-4-2-1 that has brought defensive stability. Suzuki is the clear choice in goal with recent consistency. Circati, Troilo, and Ndiaye form a reliable back three. Nicolussi Caviglia and Bernabé anchor the midfield, flanked by Valeri and Keita. Up front, Strefezza and Almqvist support Elphege, who brings energy and two goals in the last five matches. Strefezza remains the key to any attacking threat.
Roma possible starting eleven
- GK: Mile Svilar
- DF: Mario Hermoso, Evan Ndicka, Gianluca Mancini
- MF: Zeki Çelik, Bryan Cristante, Niccolò Pisilli, Angeliño
- FW: Donyell Malen, Matias Soule, Stephan El Shaarawy
Gasperini will likely field a 3-4-2-1 that features Svilar in goal. Hermoso, Ndicka, and Mancini provide both steel and ball progression from the back. Cristante and Pisilli control midfield, with Çelik and Angeliño as wide outlets. Malen starts up front, supported by Soule and El Shaarawy. Malen’s recent form makes him the obvious danger man, while Hermoso’s defensive contributions and goal threat are crucial.
🏅Tips.GG premium subscription brings you even closer to WIN!🏅
- Gain access to the most profitable bets by using our analysis of over 60,000 monthly predictions from 1000+ sources.
- Premium users enjoy predictions from tipsters with the highest win rate while also gaining access to favorable odds, outcome calculation, and quick filter to favorable odds.
- Unlock the “Golden Bet” – our unique formula for the best high-odd betting opportunities! Get detailed reports on our system’s performance, including Winrate, ROI, and Yield.
Roma. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
TipsGG Match Prediction
Roma’s consistent scoring, defensive discipline, and dynamic forward line put them in a different tier to Parma right now. Our TipsGG punters team predicts Roma to win with a two-goal margin. Parma can frustrate early, but Roma’s pressure and quality should break the deadlock before the hour mark. Malen is likely to find the net. Over 2.5 goals offers value, and a clean sheet for Roma is more likely than the odds suggest.
