Liam Duckstein
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Parma and Cremonese meet in the second round of the Coppa Italia 2026/27 at Stadio Giovanni Zini in Cremona, which means Cremonese get to host this knockout tie on their own turf. That is a notable advantage for the home side, especially given how poor both teams have looked in recent league action. Parma arrive here having lost three of their last five matches and carrying a goalscoring problem that has been hard to ignore. Simone Lontani is the one bright spot in their attack, having scored both of Parma’s goals across their last five games, and his ability to create problems in tight spaces makes him the man to watch up front. For Cremonese, Jari Vandeputte has been active and direct on the wing, picking up two yellow cards in five matches but also generating consistent ball movement in the final third.
A hot stat worth flagging: Cremonese have earned 15 corner kicks across their last five matches compared to Parma’s 8, showing a clear dominance in set-piece situations that could matter a lot in a cup tie decided by small margins.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Coppa Italia 2026/27, Round 2 |
| 🏟 Venue: | Stadio Giovanni Zini, Cremona |
| 🗓️ Date: | 01.09.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 18:00 CEST |
Parma vs Cremonese Prediction
Cremonese are the better-performing side right now. They have won two of their last five matches, hold a 40% win rate over the past 30 days, and crucially they are playing at home. Parma’s form over the same period is poor, with just one win and three losses. In the two most recent Serie A head-to-head meetings, Cremonese won 2-0 and drew 0-0, meaning Parma have not scored against them in either of those encounters.
Cremonese press with a 4-3-3 shape that demands high energy and wide coverage. Their passing volume is significantly higher than Parma’s across the last five games, with 1,681 total passes compared to Parma’s 1,187, and their pass accuracy rate reflects a team that keeps the ball with purpose. Parma, playing a 4-2-3-1, tend to sit deeper and look to transition, but their 37 total fouls and low shot count suggest they struggle to build sustained pressure. Cremonese’s 42 fouls show they are aggressive and physical, which suits a cup atmosphere.
We predict Cremonese to win this match. The home ground, recent form, and their head-to-head record all point in the same direction.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Cremonese to Win to Nil |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Parma have had a difficult run. They lost to Juventus 0-2 and to Cagliari 0-1 in their two most recent league outings, and their only win in the last five came against Serie D-level opposition in Catania. The Sampdoria defeat (0-2) and the draw against Iraklis further underline a team that is misfiring badly in attack and leaking goals at the back. Goalkeeper Edoardo Corvi made 10 saves across three appearances, which tells you how much pressure the defence has been under. Carlos Cuesta’s side have scored just twice in five matches, both from Lontani, and with no free-kick goals and only 29 total shots, the creative output is limited.
Cremonese have been more competitive. Their last match, a 0-3 home loss to Modena, is a concern, but before that they beat Sampdoria 2-0 and Verona 1-0, showing they can put results together against comparable opposition. The Empoli defeat (0-1) was narrow. Marco Giampaolo’s team generates volume: 30 shots and 15 corners across their recent five-match window. Fabio Gerli and Federico Bonazzoli combine to give them creativity and work rate in midfield and attack respectively, and Tommaso Berti chipped in with a goal despite limited minutes. The Modena loss was a heavy one, but that was against a far superior opponent. Against Parma, the level is much more even.
🚨Check out our dedicated Parma vs Cremonese stats page for more info.
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Parma the Favourite
- Moneyline Parma 2.10 | Cremonese 3.45
- Draw 3.30
The bookmakers listing Parma as favourites at 2.10 feels generous given the current form picture. Cremonese at 3.30 to 3.45 represents real value for a team playing at home with a better recent record and a positive head-to-head run against this specific opponent. The draw at 3.20 to 3.30 is a reasonable fallback given how low-scoring both sides have been, but we lean toward backing Cremonese outright at those odds rather than settling for the draw price.
Possible Starting Lineups
Parma Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Edoardo Corvi
- DF: Enrico Del Prato, Mariano Troilo, Emanuele Valeri, Lautaro Valenti
- MF: Mandela Keita, Abdou-Salam Konaté, Adrián Bernabé García, Christian Ordóñez
- FW: Simone Lontani, El Bilal Touré
Corvi is the clear starter in goal after his appearances across the last three matches. The back four picks itself based on playing time, with Del Prato and Troilo as the central pairing. Keita and Konaté provide the double pivot, with Bernabé and Ordóñez pushing higher. Lontani leads the line as the only player to have scored in this run, and Touré offers movement and link-up play from the second striker position. Parma should line up in their familiar 4-2-3-1 shape.
Cremonese Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Marco Festa
- DF: Matteo Bianchetti, Sebastiano Luperto, Alessandro Vogliacco, Giuseppe Pezzella
- MF: Fabio Gerli, Tommaso Berti, Simone Pontisso
- FW: Jari Vandeputte, Federico Bonazzoli, Manuel De Luca
Festa gets the nod in goal based on appearances. The back four of Bianchetti, Luperto, Vogliacco, and Pezzella has been consistent. Gerli anchors the midfield and is a disciplined organiser despite picking up two yellow cards. Berti brings energy from box to box, and Pontisso adds passing range. Vandeputte is the one to watch on the right wing, direct and capable of creating danger in behind. Giampaolo should stick with the 4-3-3 that has given them structure in recent weeks.
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Parma. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
The Verdict
This Coppa Italia tie has the look of a tight, low-scoring match. Both teams have managed just two goals each in their last five games. Parma have not found the net against Cremonese in either of their last two meetings, and they arrive here with worse form and playing away from home. Cremonese’s passing dominance, higher corner count, and home advantage give them a real edge.
We predict a Cremonese win, most likely by a single goal. The Under 2.5 goals market fits the profile of this match perfectly, and backing Cremonese to win to nil is the value play given Parma’s attacking struggles. The corners market also looks interesting, with Cremonese generating nearly double Parma’s corner count recently, making Over 8.5 corners a strong supporting bet.
