The much-anticipated clash between Paris Saint Germain and Liverpool in the UEFA Champions League 2024/25 Round of 16 is set to take place on the 5th of March, 2025. This face-off is crucial as both teams aim to secure their place in the quarter-finals. With PSG boasting an impressive 100% win rate in their last nine matches and Liverpool showing resilience despite a few draws, this fixture promises high stakes and thrilling football action.
| ℹ️ Tournament: | UEFA Champions League 2024/25 |
| ⚽️ Venue: | Parc des Princes, Paris |
| 🗓️ Date: | 05.03.2025 |
| ⏰ Time: | 22:00 CEST |
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Paris Saint Germain vs Liverpool prediction: PSG to win.
Paris Saint Germain’s style of play has been defined by their aggressive attacking strategy, evidenced by their 22 goals and just one yellow card in recent matches, showcasing disciplined play. Liverpool, on the other hand, will look to capitalize on their solid defensive interceptions, having collected more yellow cards which may affect their aggression in this pivotal match.
| 🔥 Hot Tip: | PSG to win; odds higher than 1.5 |
| ⚽ Correct Score: | 2-1 to PSG |
| 💥 Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯 Total Goals Over 2.5: | Yes |
Team Analysis
Paris Saint Germain has proven themselves as formidable contenders with a perfect win rate in their last nine matches, including dominant victories over Lille and Stade Briochin. With a squad firing on all cylinders, including Gonçalo Ramos and his four goals in recent matches, PSG appears poised for another commanding performance.
Meanwhile, Liverpool’s recent form has seen mixed outcomes, with robust performances against Newcastle and Manchester City contrasting with draws against Aston Villa and Everton. Key players like Mohamed Salah, who has netted four goals and provided four assists recently, will be integral to Liverpool’s hopes of advancing.
The difference in each team’s last matches may hold the key; PSG’s sheer attacking prowess was on display in their 7-0 dismantling of Stade Briochin, whereas Liverpool had to muster resilience to secure a 2-0 victory against Manchester City. The key for Liverpool would be to tighten their defense and rely on their strong midfield to deliver accurate passes, as indicated by their high pass accuracy rate.
Most recent H2Hs: PSG dominates
| Metric | Paris Saint Germain | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 22 | 10 |
| Total Shots | 101 | 53 |
| Pass Accuracy (%) | 92% | 84% |
| Interceptions | 39 | 42 |
| Offsides | 6 | 11 |
| Total Fouls | 36 | 63 |
| Total Corners | 27 | 24 |
🚨Read our full Paris Saint Germain vs Liverpool stats for more analysis.
Pre-game odds and win probability: PSG the favourite
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Paris Saint Germain | 40% |
| Draw | 25% |
| Liverpool | 35% |
With odds slightly in favor of Paris Saint Germain, the bookmakers reflect optimism in the French side’s consistent performance and home advantage. However, Liverpool’s capability to cause an upset cannot be ignored, given their historical resilience in big-stage matches.
You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.
Key Players to Watch
Gonçalo Ramos is definitely a player to keep an eye on, having scored four goals in recent matches. His precision and positioning in the box make him a constant threat.
Ousmane Dembélé, with three goals and one assist, adds creativity and flair to PSG’s lineup. His ability to dribble past defenders and create goal-scoring opportunities will be pivotal as PSG seeks victory.
For Liverpool, Mohamed Salah stands out with his four goals and four assists in recent performances. His leadership and play-making abilities, combined with his knack for finding the net, make him a crucial asset for the Reds.
Virgil van Dijk, with his towering presence in defense, will be instrumental in holding Liverpool’s backline against PSG’s formidable attack. His experience and leadership are unmatched, making him a key figure on the pitch.
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Paris Saint Germain. Source: Official Website
Possible Starting Lineup
Paris Saint Germain will likely stick with their tried and tested 4-2-3-1 formation, with Gonçalo Ramos spearheading the attack. The midfield is expected to feature the likes of Fabián Ruiz and Vitor Machado Ferreira, both integral to PSG’s transitional play and creativity. Defensively, the experience of Marcos Aoás Corrêa and Achraf Hakimi will be crucial in countering Liverpool’s pacey forwards.

Liverpool may opt for the same formation, with Mohamed Salah leading the charge alongside Diogo Jota. The midfield could see Dominic Szoboszlai partnering with Alexis Mac Allister, providing a blend of technical skill and defensive coverage. In defense, Virgil van Dijk will likely be paired with Ibrahima Konaté to form a robust backline capable of maintaining composure under pressure.
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The Verdict
My main pick is PSG securing a hard-fought victory. With their recent form and home advantage, they hold the edge, although Liverpool’s unpredictability adds an interesting dynamic to the clash. Expect goals on either end, but PSG’s attacking firepower should see them through.
