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Paraguay (w) vs Brazil (w) Prediction: 23.07.2025 Copa America Femenina

21.07.2025, 13:41

The Copa America Femenina Group B continues to deliver compelling matchups as Paraguay (W) faces powerhouse Brazil (W) at Brann Stadion, Bergen. With Brazil undeniably leading the group and Paraguay seeking a place in the next round, this match carries implications not just for progression, but also for asserting regional dominance. Interestingly, both sides come in with bold approaches under vastly different coaches: Jeff Strasser’s pragmatic structure meets Arthur Elias’ high-octane Brazilian flair. The contrast in football philosophies sets the stage for more than just a straightforward group decider.

Keep an eye on Kerolin Nicoli for Brazil, who’s already netted three goals in the tournament and is central to their dynamic play, while Paraguay will look to Lice Chamorro in midfield to break up attacks and transition play swiftly. Both teams’ attacking talent is expected to play a pivotal role, but defensive concentration, especially among the goalkeepers, will be scrutinised in this high-stakes encounter.

What stands out? Brazil (W) have not conceded a single goal in the group stage so far, scoring 8 goals in just two matches a remarkable start highlighting their defensive discipline and clinical finishing.

20:00Finished22.07.2025
1Paraguay (w)Paraguay
4Brazil (w)Brazil
🏆 Tournament: Copa America Femenina 2025 (Group B)
🏟 Venue: Brann Stadion, Bergen
🗓️ Date: 23.07.2025
⏰ Time: 03:00 CEST

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Paraguay (W) vs Brazil (W) prediction

Given the exceptional momentum and form Brazil (W) bring, a win seems almost predetermined in the eyes of bookmakers and analysts alike. Brazil’s intensity on both ends undefeated, high-scoring, and defensively airtight contrasts sharply with Paraguay’s mixed form, as evidenced by their recent 1-4 home defeat to Colombia. The best value bet is Brazil (W) to win with a -2 Asian Handicap, as the gap in quality is evident both statistically and tactically.

Paraguay (W) tend to deploy a direct style but have shown vulnerability under pressure, especially against technically strong sides, as reflected in their 20 fouls and relatively low ball retention in high-stakes games. Their 4-3-3 formation aims for width, but often leaves them outnumbered in midfield transitions. Brazil (W) meanwhile favor the 4-2-3-1, controlling possession (pass accuracy close to 75 percent) and transitioning rapidly through the lines. Their physicality is evident with 28 fouls in five matches, balanced by tactical pressing and discipline. Expect Brazil’s relentless pressing and clinical crosses to stretch Paraguay’s backline and create multiple scoring opportunities.

🔥Hot Tip: Brazil (W) -2 Asian Handicap
⚽Total Goals: Over 3.5
💥Both Teams To Score: No
🎯Total Corners: Over 8.5

Team Analysis

Paraguay (W) Recent Games: Paraguay’s Group B campaign reflects their competitive ambition but exposes notable limitations against top opposition. Their emphatic 4-0 win against Bolivia saw effective transitions and high pressing, especially through Chamorro and Bogarín Giménez. However, a 1-4 defeat to Colombia laid bare defensive frailties struggling against pace and conceding through set pieces. The midfield struggled to stem Colombian attacks, and despite energetic forward movements, defensive shape crumbled under sustained pressure. Paraguay’s inability to manage games against creative teams could be pivotal in this match-up.

20:00Finished19.07.2025
4Colombia (w)Colombia
1Paraguay (w)Paraguay

Brazil (W) Recent Games: Brazil have lived up to expectations, outgunning Bolivia 6-0 and tactically disarming Venezuela in a 2-0 victory. Kerolin Nicoli’s influence up front, combined with defensive organisation marshaled by Tarciane and Lorena da Silva Leite, has left opponents with minimal room to breathe. Their only recent setback was a closely fought 2-3 loss to France, a match hailed as a learning curve by coach Arthur Elias: “We learned to impose our intensity even when facing setbacks.” Brazil’s shape, press, and unrivalled squad depth remain unmatched in this group.

17:00Finished16.07.2025
0Bolivia (w)Bolivia
6Brazil (w)Brazil

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

Statistic Paraguay (W) Brazil (W)
Goals 5 8
Total shots 26 36
Free kicks 20 28
Corner kicks 8 8
Total fouls 20 28
Pass accuracy (%) 71 75
Interceptions 24 13
Offsides 3 8

🚨Read our full Paraguay (W) vs Brazil (W) stats for more analysis.

Brazil (W). Source: Official Website

Brazil (W). Source: Official Website

Pre-game odds and win probability: Brazil (W) the favourite

  • Moneyline Paraguay (W) 27.00 | Brazil (W) 1.07
  • Draw 12.50
  • Over/Under Over 2.5 1.30 | Under 2.5 3.40
  • BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.80 | No 1.40

These overwhelmingly lopsided odds reflect Brazil’s overwhelming superiority in both squad depth and recent form. Paraguay’s long odds highlight their underdog status something not lost on players or fans. Brazil are expected to control possession, fashion more chances, and apply ruthless finishing. The bookmakers essentially expect a commanding performance with minimal resistance, evidenced by the low price for a Brazil (W) win and high odds for a Paraguay (W) upset.

You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Paraguay (W) possible starting eleven

  • GK: C. Recalde
  • DF: Dahiana Monserrat Bogarín Giménez, Jessica Martínez, F. Acosta, F. Godoy
  • MF: Lice Chamorro, Camila Barbosa, C. Recalde
  • FW: Dahiana Monserrat Bogarín Giménez, Jessica Martínez, F. Acosta

Strasser is likely to stick with the familiar 4-3-3, banking on defensive compactness and quick transitions. Chamorro’s tenacity in midfield will be crucial, while Bogarín Giménez’s energy up front is key for counter-attacks. The defensive unit, anchored by Godoy and Recalde, must be alert throughout to withstand Brazil’s multi-pronged attack.

Brazil (W) possible starting eleven

  • GK: Lorena da Silva Leite
  • DF: Tarciane Karen Dos Santos de Lima, Andressa Karolaine Freire Gomes Ferreira, Isadora Haas Gehlen, Fernanda Palermo Licen
  • MF: Maria Eduarda Ferreira Sampaio, Vitória Yaya, Angelina Alonso Costantino
  • FW: Kerolin Nicoli, Marta, Luany da Silva Rosa

Expect Elias to stick with the proven 4-2-3-1 structure, with Lorena’s reliability between the sticks and Tarciane’s leadership in defense. Key figures include Kerolin Nicoli for explosive output and Marta as the creative heartbeat. The system’s fluency and player familiarity will only bolster Brazil’s control and confidence in this contest.

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Brazil (W). Source: Lívia Villas Boas / CBF

Brazil (W). Source: Lívia Villas Boas / CBF


My take on the Match

Brazil (W) to win with confidence remains the main pick: the side’s tactical superiority, deeper squad, and superb attacking proficiency are almost certain to overwhelm Paraguay (W). Expect a one-sided affair, with Brazil dictating tempo and pinning Paraguay back for long spells. The key for Paraguay will be damage limitation and seizing any set-piece opportunities they can craft. For bettors, all evidence points to a routine victory and likely a clean sheet for the selecao.

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