PAOK vs Maccabi Tel Aviv Prediction: 24.09.2025 UEFA Europa League

The Toumba Stadium in Thessaloniki sets the stage for a crucial UEFA Europa League League Phase fixture as Greek giants PAOK host Israel’s Maccabi Tel Aviv on 24 September 2025. Both sides arrive in solid form and hungry to assert their credentials early in the group, making this clash a key test of depth and tactical nous. While PAOK boast a fierce home advantage under Razvan Lucescu, Maccabi—now led by Zarko Lazetic—enter with an impressive win rate and attacking proficiency.

For PAOK, Dimitrios Pelkas is in sparkling form with 3 goals in his last 5, providing thrust from midfield, while the visitors’ Dor Peretz has been lethal, netting 5 times in as many appearances. The battle between energetic creators and disciplined defences promises compelling viewing.

A hot stat worth noting: Maccabi Tel Aviv have scored 14 goals in their last five matches, making them one of the most prolific attacking sides in the group stages.

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PAOK vs Maccabi Tel Aviv prediction

The best value prediction for this encounter leans towards PAOK securing the win—either via the Asian Handicap -0.5 or Draw No Bet. The Greek side’s formidable home record and their tactical compactness under Lucescu have been pivotal, especially when pressured. While Maccabi have outperformed in front of goal lately, their increased yellow card count (14 in last 5 matches) suggests a side that can be forced into errors and defensive lapses, particularly in tough away fixtures.

PAOK, with only 6 yellow cards in the same period, have kept their discipline and maintained an impressive 68 percent pass accuracy, controlling midfield tempo in their 4-2-3-1 setup. Maccabi, despite their attacking fluency, tend to concede possession more freely (pass accuracy at 63 percent) and commit nearly 14 fouls per match, potentially giving PAOK set-piece opportunities—an area they’ve exploited well this season. Expect the match to feature high tempo, attacking phases, but the Greek outfit’s restraint and defensive organisation should tip the balance in their favour.

Team Analysis

PAOK’s recent form has been positive, bouncing back impressively after a tough 1-4 home loss to Levadiakos with a draw against Panaitolikos (0-0) and a hard-fought win versus OFI Crete (2-1). Pelkas and Chalov have driven the attack, while the defensive line—anchored by Michailidis and Kędziora—has shown increasing cohesion. Their tactical discipline and patience in possession are visible, often wearing down opponents late in matches. Notably, their 5-0 thumping of Rijeka displayed their potential at full throttle.

Maccabi Tel Aviv travel to Thessaloniki in high spirits, having steamrolled through recent domestic fixtures, netting 4 goals against Hapoel Petah Tikva and Ironi Tiberias, and overcoming Hapoel Jerusalem 2-1. The only real blip was the 0-1 reverse to Dynamo Kyiv, but that aside, their attacking output, marshalled by Dor Peretz (5 goals) and Ido Shahar (3 goals, 1 assist), has been electric. The side does show defensive vulnerability under pressure, especially in transitions, and their discipline is a concern, as reflected by their yellow and red card count.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full PAOK vs Maccabi Tel Aviv stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: PAOK the favourite

• Moneyline PAOK 1.68-1.72 | Maccabi Tel Aviv 4.60-4.96
• Draw 3.80-3.89
• Over/Under Over 2.5 2.00 | Under 2.5 1.76
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.85 | No 2.00

The odds and bookmaker consensus place PAOK as distinct favourites for this home fixture, thanks to their historical strength at Toumba and tactical solidity. The short home price (average 1.70) reflects both their recent form and superior discipline, while Maccabi’s attacking record is acknowledged in the “over 2.5 goals” and BTTS offerings. Value may be found in supporting goals and both sides to score, considering both teams’ recent attacking stats and open styles.

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Possible Starting Lineups

PAOK possible starting eleven

PAOK are set to line up in a familiar 4-2-3-1, heavily reliant on Pelkas for midfield creativity and Chalov’s threat up front. Meïté and Ozdoev anchor the centre, providing both energy and tactical stability. Pavlenka in goal has proved reliable, while Živković is a player to watch cutting in from wide areas. This formation allows versatility on and off the ball, crucial against Maccabi’s attacking transitions.

Maccabi Tel Aviv possible starting eleven

Maccabi are likely to mirror the 4-2-3-1, with Peretz and Shahar pivotal in advanced roles. Nicolaescu’s movement up front creates space for supporting runners, while the back line, organised around Revivo and Asante, will need full focus to contain PAOK’s wide threats. Peretz, in particular, has the ability to turn the match with late runs from midfield.

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My take on the Match

The momentum and home crowd at Toumba give PAOK a vital edge, but Maccabi’s potent forward line cannot be underestimated. Expect a high-tempo match with both sides likely to score, but ultimately PAOK’s tactical discipline and midfield control should see them over the line—my main pick: PAOK to win, possibly in a 2-1 scenario. For bettors, PAOK Asian Handicap -0.5 and Over 2.5 goals are standout options given both sides’ recent trends and statistical profiles.

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