Arjun Menon
PAOK and Dynamo Kyiv meet again at Toumba Stadium for the second leg of their UEFA Europa League Second Qualifying Round tie. PAOK already hold a 3-2 advantage from the first leg, meaning Dynamo Kyiv must score and keep a clean sheet to progress without extra time. The Thessaloniki atmosphere at Toumba is notoriously intense, and Alessio Lisci’s side will look to use that home advantage to close out the tie.
Two players stand out heading into this match. Giannis Konstantelias has been PAOK’s most influential figure across recent games, contributing 2 goals and 2 assists in just 2 matches while picking up significant midfield volume. For Dynamo Kyiv, midfielder Volodymyr Brazhko has quietly been their most productive engine, scoring twice in the last three matches and covering ground in both defensive and attacking phases.
Hot stat: Dynamo Kyiv attempted 42 total shots across their last 5 matches compared to PAOK’s 28, yet they scored fewer goals (4 vs 6). That conversion gap could prove decisive if Kyiv push for the away goals they desperately need tonight.
| 🏆 Tournament: | UEFA Europa League 2026/27, Second Qualifying Round |
| 🏟 Venue: | Toumba Stadium, Thessaloniki |
| 🗓️ Date: | 30.07.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 19:45 CEST |
PAOK vs Dynamo Kyiv Prediction
PAOK enter this second leg with a one-goal aggregate lead and the benefit of playing at home. Their 4-3-3 setup under Lisci has produced goals in each of their last five matches, and they have won four of their last five games across all competitions. The job is not done, but the Greeks are firmly in the driver’s seat.
Dynamo Kyiv are not without threat. Igor Kostyuk’s side has been productive in their 4-2-3-1 system, and they have won four of their last eight matches. Their attacking output in terms of shot volume is high, but they have struggled to convert. Against a PAOK defence that can be pressed into errors, they will need to be sharper in front of goal than they were in the first leg.
We predict PAOK to win this match. They are the better-organised side at home, carry a goal advantage, and their key creative players are in form. Kyiv will push forward, which may open space for PAOK on the counter. A PAOK win with both teams scoring reflects the pattern of the first leg and suits the tactical setup of both sides.
PAOK commit fouls at a relatively high rate across their recent matches (26 fouls in 5 games), which suggests an aggressive defensive approach. Dynamo Kyiv, with 20 fouls in 5 matches, are slightly more disciplined. PAOK’s lower pass accuracy (610 out of 758 passes) compared to Kyiv’s 910 out of 1050 tells you these are two different styles colliding: Kyiv look to build patiently while PAOK are more direct. That directness, combined with home urgency, favours a PAOK win. Corner count could be high given both teams press forward, and PAOK’s set-piece threat through Konstantelias and Santamaria makes corners a market worth watching.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | PAOK to score in both halves |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 7.5 |
Team Analysis
PAOK have been in strong form over the past 30 days, winning four of their five matches. Their 3-2 victory over Dynamo Kyiv in the first leg showed both their attacking quality and their defensive vulnerability. Before that, they suffered a 2-3 loss to Twente, which was sandwiched between wins over AEK Larnaca (3-2) and Westerlo (4-0). Their most recent five-match run has produced 6 goals scored, with Baptiste Santamaria and Christos Zafeiris both netting twice. The team’s shape in the 4-3-3 allows Konstantelias and Andrija Živković to link play between the lines effectively.
Dynamo Kyiv’s recent form is more mixed. They drew 0-0 with U. Cluj twice, which shows that against organised defences they can struggle to break through. Their 4-2 win over Radomiak Radom was their most convincing attacking display, but Radomiak sit far lower in the club rankings. The 2-0 win over LASK was solid, yet the 2-3 loss to PAOK in the first leg exposed their defensive shape when pressed at pace. Justin Lonwijk and Brazhko have been their most consistent contributors going forward, but the team relies heavily on midfield creativity rather than a dominant striker.
Most Recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | PAOK | Dynamo Kyiv |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3 | 2 |
🚨Check out our dedicated PAOK vs Dynamo Kyiv stats page for more info.
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: PAOK the Favourite
- Moneyline PAOK 1.78 | Dynamo Kyiv 4.46
- Draw 3.74
- Over/Under Over 2.5 N/A | Under 2.5 N/A
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes N/A | No N/A
The odds reflect PAOK’s aggregate lead and home advantage clearly. A price around 1.78 on PAOK to win the match is fair given their recent form and the fact that Dynamo Kyiv must score at least once to stay in the tie. The draw at 3.74 is tempting if you expect a tense, low-intensity second half once PAOK extend their aggregate lead, but the outright PAOK win remains the most logical single-match outcome. Dynamo Kyiv at 4.46 implies around 22% probability, which aligns with the bookmakers’ pre-game assessment and feels about right given the context.
Dynamo Kyiv. Source: Official Facebook
Possible Starting Lineups
PAOK Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Jiří Pavlenka
- DF: Jonathan Gómez, Pantelis Hatzidiakos, Giannis Michailidis, Jonjoe Kenny
- MF: Baptiste Santamaria, Giannis Konstantelias, Christos Zafeiris
- FW: Andrija Živković, Anestis Mythou, Taison Barcellos Freda
Pavlenka has started both recent matches and is the clear first-choice goalkeeper, making 6 saves across those two games. The back four picks itself based on playing time, with Hatzidiakos and Michailidis as the central defensive pairing. Santamaria anchors the midfield and has been directly involved in goals, while Konstantelias is the creative heartbeat of this team. In a 4-3-3, Živković provides width and link-up play from the right, and his 2 assists in recent games make him a key figure. Konstantelias is the one to watch most closely.
Dynamo Kyiv Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Ruslan Neshcheret
- DF: Tomasz Kędziora, Taras Mykhavko, Kristian Bilovar, Vladyslav Dubinchak
- MF: Mykola Shaparenko, Oleksandr Pikhalyonok, Vitaliy Buyalskyi, Nazar Voloshyn
- FW: Matviy Ponomarenko, Volodymyr Brazhko
Neshcheret has featured in all three recent matches and made 8 saves. The back four is consistent, with Mykhavko and Bilovar as the central pairing. In a 4-2-3-1 shape, Shaparenko and Pikhalyonok sit deep, while Buyalskyi provides the creative link from midfield. Brazhko pushes forward from a deeper role and has scored twice recently, making him the most dangerous player in this Kyiv side. Ponomarenko leads the line and will be tasked with creating chances from his 6 total shots in recent matches.
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PAOK. Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
PAOK are the right side to back here. They hold a one-goal aggregate lead, play at home in front of a passionate crowd, and have won four of their last five matches. Their attacking players are in form, and the 4-3-3 system gives them the flexibility to defend the lead while still threatening on the break.
Dynamo Kyiv will have to come forward, and to be honest, their shot-heavy but low-conversion pattern is a concern. They attempted 42 shots across five matches and scored just 4 goals. Against a PAOK side that knows how to manage a lead, that conversion rate is unlikely to be enough.
We predict a PAOK win with both teams scoring. The first leg ended 3-2, and a similar pattern is plausible tonight. Over 2.5 goals and BTTS are the standout markets, while PAOK scoring in both halves offers extra value for those looking beyond the match result.
