Palestine vs Saudi Arabia Prediction: 11.12.2025 FIFA Arab Cup 2025 Quarterfinals Preview

A place in the semifinals of the FIFA Arab Cup 2025 is at stake as Palestine and Saudi Arabia face off at Brann Stadion on 11 December. While Saudi Arabia enter as clear favourites, Palestine have shown steady defensive improvement and will look to frustrate the higher-ranked Green Falcons, who have proven potent in attack but occasionally leaky at the back. Behind the storyline, this encounter also features the tactical chess match between Palestine boss Ehab Abu Jazar and Saudi coach Hervé Renard—two managers with contrasting philosophies.

Key figures to watch: Salem Al-Dawsari, whose creativity and leadership have lifted Saudi Arabia throughout the group stage, and Palestine midfielder Michel Termanini, an uncompromising presence anchoring the defensive line and dictating tempo in midfield transitions.

Hot stat: Saudi Arabia have averaged an imposing 8.8 corner kicks per game across their last five matches—a signal of aggressive wing play and constant attacking intent.

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Palestine vs Saudi Arabia prediction

Given recent form and the superior attacking statistics of Saudi Arabia, the best value prediction is a Saudi Arabia win, possibly accompanied by a low-to-moderate total goals scoreline. Palestine’s defensive shape has earned them respectable draws against Syria and Tunisia, but they struggle to create scoring chances consistently.

Looking at the tactical side, Saudi Arabia’s aggressive use of the wings and superior pass accuracy (averaging 80 percent in their last five) should stretch Palestine, whose own ball progression has been hindered by a modest 67 percent pass accuracy and low shot volume. However, Palestine’s low cards and controlled fouling could help them keep the game disciplined, avoiding giving away dangerous set pieces—an area where the Saudis excel. Both teams rarely receive red cards, and despite Saudi Arabia’s overall attacking thrust, Palestine’s structure makes a rout unlikely.

Team Analysis

Palestine: Their last game typifies their campaign—organised, determined, but lacking a clinical edge. Against Syria, a 0-0 draw saw Palestine hold their own defensively, with goalkeeper Rami Hamadeh standing firm and the back four protecting the area well. Over their last five, they’ve scored only three while conceding five, showing just how much they rely on shape and discipline over moments of magic. Termanini and Al Battat have been busy in the tackle, but a lack of creativity and cutting edge up front leaves them chasing long spells without a goal.

Saudi Arabia: Meanwhile, Saudi Arabia’s recent 0-1 loss to Morocco serves as a minor blip in an otherwise bullish run. Before that, they overcame Comoros with a dominant 3-1 win and edged Oman in a nervy 2-1 display. The Green Falcons look to dominate possession, playing through midfield orchestrators like Salem Al-Dawsari and Mohamed Kanno, who have both produced goals and assists in recent outings. Most impressively, their relentless creation of set pieces—20 corners over five games—shows a tactical focus on wide play and high pressing.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Palestine vs Saudi Arabia stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Saudi Arabia the favourite

• Moneyline Palestine 6.25 | Saudi Arabia 1.57
• Draw 3.35
• Over/Under Over 2.5 2.05 | Under 2.5 1.75
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.35 | No 1.55

With Palestine priced as steep underdogs and Saudi Arabia’s odds reflecting strong recent form and squad depth, the market is right to believe the Green Falcons should win. The odds for under 2.5 goals recognise Palestine’s defensive bite, their ability to grind out low-scoring games, and Saudi Arabia’s occasional struggles breaking down stubborn blocks.

You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.

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Possible Starting Lineups

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My take on the Match

My main pick: Saudi Arabia to win in regulation, with a clean sheet likely. While Palestine have gained admirers for their organisation, Saudi Arabia’s superior attacking threat, squad depth, and recent tournament pedigree should see them through to the semifinals. Expect Palestine to frustrate early and possibly hold until half-time, but Saudi Arabia keep coming, and their set-piece prowess could be the difference. Looking at the big picture, this is a clash of disciplined resistance against enterprising ambition—and the latter just feels too strong this time round.

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