Sofia Quijada
| Prefer us on Google — see Tips.gg in Top Stories & Discover | Add on Google |
Osasuna host Getafe at El Sadar in Pamplona in what promises to be a tight La Liga fixture between two sides who have met four times in the last two seasons, with each game producing no more than two goals combined. Osasuna sit seventh on four points from two games, while Getafe are eleventh on three after one win and one loss. The head-to-head record shows Getafe have won two of the last four meetings, so the visitors arrive with genuine belief despite being underdogs on the bookmakers’ boards.
Watch Enes Ünal for Getafe, who has scored three goals across his last four appearances and poses a constant threat in the box, and Ante Budimir for Osasuna, whose eight shots in two La Liga games show he is in aggressive form up front.
Hot stat: Getafe have registered 44 total shots across their last five matches compared to Osasuna’s 25, and their 72 fouls in that same span reflect a physically dominant, foul-heavy style that could generate set-piece opportunities at El Sadar.
| 🏆 Tournament: | La Liga 2026/2027, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estadio El Sadar, Pamplona |
| 🗓️ Date: | 31.08.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 19:30 CEST |
Osasuna vs Getafe Prediction
Osasuna enter this match with a 50% win rate over the last 30 days, posting three wins, two losses, and one draw from six games. Their recent form trend shows improvement after a difficult mid-period run. Getafe, by contrast, have won just two of seven matches in the same window, losing four, which makes the home side the value pick here. The four previous head-to-head encounters have all been low-scoring, and both teams carry defensive-first philosophies under Ramis and Bordalás respectively. Osasuna have conceded only one goal in their two La Liga games this season, and their 4-3-3 shape allows them to press high while protecting the flanks.
Getafe’s 5-3-2 setup is built to frustrate, and Bordalás sides typically grind results rather than open up. Their 72 fouls and 14 yellow cards across five matches reflect an aggressive, disruptive approach. Osasuna’s own 25 fouls in five games is far more disciplined, meaning referee decisions and set pieces could prove decisive. Getafe’s two red cards in five matches is a concern and could leave them short in a physical contest. We predict Osasuna to win this match, but the margin will likely be narrow.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Osasuna to win & Under 2.5 Goals |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 7.5 |
Team Analysis
Osasuna’s last five matches have included a range of competition levels. Their most recent outing was a 2-1 La Liga win over Celta Vigo, a result that lifted confidence heading into this home fixture. Before that, they drew 0-0 with Levante in the league, which shows their defensive solidity but also a tendency to be cautious in certain matchups. Their pre-season saw a 0-2 loss to Al Ain and a 1-2 defeat to Napoli, though a 2-1 win over Norwich provided a positive note. Across their last two La Liga matches specifically, they have scored twice and conceded once, with Budimir and Barja Alfonso each finding the net. The squad depth is moderate, and Ramis has settled into a consistent 4-3-3 with Moncayola and Torró anchoring the midfield.
Getafe’s last five matches tell a more mixed story. They beat Racing Santander 1-0 in La Liga and defeated Partizan 3-1 in European competition, but they also lost 1-2 to Partizan in the first leg and were beaten 0-3 by Alavés in the league. A 1-1 draw with Tottenham rounds out a patchy run. Their attacking output has been better than their defensive record suggests, with Ünal carrying the goal threat and Martin Satriano contributing two assists. Bordalás has leaned on the 5-3-2 shape in all five recent matches, prioritising defensive width and pressing from the wings, but the high foul count and two red cards show the system carries disciplinary risk.
🚨Check out our dedicated Osasuna vs Getafe stats page for more info.
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Osasuna the Favourite
- Moneyline Osasuna 2.17 | Getafe 3.89
- Draw 3.17
- Over/Under Over 2.5 N/A | Under 2.5 N/A
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes N/A | No N/A
The bookmakers price Osasuna at around 2.17 with Pinnacle, reflecting their home advantage and better recent form. Getafe at 3.89 looks generous on the surface, but their inconsistency over the last 30 days and poor defensive record against quality opponents makes that price fair. The draw at 3.17 is a reasonable option given the tight head-to-head history, but we lean toward the Osasuna win given the home support at El Sadar and Getafe’s disciplinary vulnerabilities.
Possible Starting Lineups
Osasuna Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Sergio Herrera
- DF: Abel Bretones, Alejandro Catena, Jorge Herrando, Íñigo Arguibide
- MF: Jon Moncayola, Lucas Torró, Moi Gómez
- FW: Rubén García, Ante Budimir, Enrique Barja Alfonso
Ramis looks set to continue with the 4-3-3 that has served him well in both La Liga outings. Sergio Herrera starts in goal, with Catena and Herrando forming the central defensive partnership. Moncayola and Torró offer defensive cover in midfield, while Moi Gómez provides creativity from deeper positions. Up front, Budimir is the focal point with eight shots in two games, and Barja Alfonso’s goal contribution makes him a key outlet on the wing. Aimar Oroz could push for a start if Ramis opts for more creativity, but consistency should prevail here.
Getafe Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: David Soria
- DF: Dakonam Ortega Djené, Zaid Romero, Saba Sazonov, Abdel Abqar, Kiko Femenia
- MF: Orel Mangala, Ramón Terrats, Francho Serrano Gracia
- FW: Martin Satriano, Enes Ünal
Bordalás will almost certainly deploy the 5-3-2 that has defined Getafe’s shape across all five recent matches. David Soria is the clear first-choice goalkeeper with 15 saves in five games. Djené and Romero anchor the back five, with Kiko Femenia operating as the right wing-back. Mangala is the engine in midfield with 11 fouls in five matches, setting the physical tone. Ünal leads the attack with three goals in four appearances and remains the primary danger man, supported by Satriano whose two assists show his link-up quality. Bordalás will need to manage yellow card accumulation given the squad’s disciplinary record.
🏅Tips.GG premium subscription brings you even closer to WIN!🏅
- Gain access to the most profitable bets by using our analysis of over 60,000 monthly predictions from 1000+ sources.
- Premium users enjoy predictions from tipsters with the highest win rate while also gaining access to favorable odds, outcome calculation, and quick filter to favorable odds.
- Unlock the “Golden Bet” – our unique formula for the best high-odd betting opportunities! Get detailed reports on our system’s performance, including Winrate, ROI, and Yield.
Osasuna. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
TipsGG Match Prediction
This match fits the pattern of previous Osasuna-Getafe meetings: defensively organized, low-scoring, and decided by fine margins. Osasuna’s home record, better recent form, and disciplinary advantage over a Getafe side carrying two red cards and 14 yellow cards in five games point toward a home win. Getafe’s 5-3-2 will make life difficult, but Bordalás sides away from home tend to absorb pressure and look for one goal, and that approach has not been working consistently this month with four losses in seven games. Budimir’s physical presence and Barja Alfonso’s directness should be enough to unlock the visitors at least once. We predict Osasuna to win 1-0, with the match staying under 2.5 goals and Getafe failing to score, consistent with the head-to-head trend and Osasuna’s defensive solidity this season.
