Liam Duckstein
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Hammarby arrive at Gamla Ullevi sitting second in the Allsvenskan table with 36 points from 17 games, chasing leaders Sirius. Orgryte sit 15th with just 13 points and a goal difference of -17. The last time these two met, Hammarby won 8-1. That scoreline alone tells you most of what you need to know about the gulf between these clubs right now.
Keep an eye on Victor Lind for Hammarby. The forward has registered four assists and one goal across his last four appearances, and his combination play down the flanks has been a constant source of danger. For Orgryte, Tobias Sana is their most productive outlet, contributing one goal and one assist in his last four games while taking six shots, making him the most likely source of anything positive going forward for the home side.
A hot stat worth noting: Hammarby have scored 11 goals across their last three league matches, putting four past Kalmar and three past Stockholm Internazionale before losing 3-2 to AIK most recently.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Allsvenskan 2026, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Gamla Ullevi, Gothenburg |
| 🗓️ Date: | 06.09.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 14:00 CEST |
Orgryte vs Hammarby Prediction
Hammarby are the clear pick here. They have won four of their last seven matches, carry a +28 goal difference across the season, and their squad depth dwarfs what Orgryte can field. Orgryte have managed just four wins all season in 26 matches, and their last five results show a team that concedes regularly and creates very little.
The best value in this match is a Hammarby win, and the odds around 1.20-1.23 reflect how one-sided this contest is expected to be. Given that Hammarby scored eight in the reverse fixture and average nearly two goals per game this season, backing over 2.5 goals also makes strong sense. We predict Hammarby to win comfortably and both teams are unlikely to score, given Orgryte’s output of just five goals in five matches.
Looking at style of play, Hammarby commit fewer fouls (33 across five matches versus Orgryte’s 40) and pass with higher accuracy (1,622 accurate passes versus 1,375 for Orgryte). Their ball retention puts pressure on opponents and limits transitions. Orgryte, with one red card in recent games and a tendency to give away free kicks in dangerous areas, are vulnerable to a structured, possession-based attack like Hammarby’s. Orgryte’s 39 free kicks conceded in five games is a particularly telling number. Hammarby have the quality to punish set-piece situations.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Hammarby to score in both halves |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Orgryte have had a difficult stretch. In their last six matches, they have managed just one win, drawing two and losing three. Their most recent result was a 0-1 home defeat to Goteborg, a team also in the bottom half of the table. The match before that was a 1-1 draw with Eskilsminne in cup action, and they drew 1-1 with Halmstads before that. Their heaviest recent defeat came against Brommapojkarna, losing 1-3. The one bright spot was a 3-4 loss to AIK that showed they can score, but also that their defensive structure breaks down against quality opposition. With only 18 goals scored all season and 35 conceded, the numbers paint a bleak picture for Andreas Holmberg’s side.
Hammarby’s form is strong across the broader season, with 20 wins from 35 matches. Their last five results include a 4-0 win over Kalmar, a 3-0 win over Stockholm Internazionale, a 2-0 win over GAIS, and a 2-3 loss to AIK in their most recent outing. That defeat to AIK was their first loss in five matches and came in what was likely a high-intensity city derby. Before that, they also lost 0-1 to Rakow in European competition. Henrik Rydström’s team have the firepower to bounce back quickly, and a trip to face bottom-half Orgryte is a good opportunity to do exactly that.
🚨Check out our dedicated Orgryte vs Hammarby stats page for more info.
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Hammarby the Favourite
- Moneyline Orgryte 10.84 | Hammarby 1.19
- Draw 6.96
- Over/Under Over 2.5 — | Under 2.5 —
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes — | No —
The odds market is in near-total agreement. Hammarby at 1.19 to 1.24 across bookmakers reflects a 76% implied win probability, and given the form, the table position, and the head-to-head context, that pricing is fair. Orgryte at 10.00+ is a long shot for a reason. The draw at 6.50-6.96 is similarly priced out of realistic contention. Pinnacle, typically the sharpest market, has Hammarby at 1.23, which is at the slightly longer end of the range and offers marginally better value if you are backing the visitors. The Hammarby win is the only sensible selection here at any of these prices.
Possible Starting Lineups
Orgryte Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Hampus Gustafsson
- DF: Mikael Dyrestam, Christoffer Styffe, Johan Hammar, Adam Andersson
- MF: Owen Parker Price, Benjamin Laturnus, Anton Andreasson, Jerome Tibbling Ugwo
- FW: Tobias Sana, William Hofvander
Orgryte look set to line up in their familiar 4-4-2 shape. Hampus Gustafsson has been the first-choice goalkeeper across four of the last five matches. Mikael Dyrestam has been a constant in the back four and leads the defenders in interceptions. In midfield, Benjamin Laturnus has been one of the more active players with a goal, a yellow card, and high pass volume. Tobias Sana and William Hofvander form the attacking pair, with Sana the more threatening of the two based on recent output.
Hammarby Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Warner Hahn
- DF: Hampus Skoglund, Frederik Franck Winther, Noah Karl Anders Persson, Victor Eriksson
- MF: Markus Karlsson, Amin Boudri, Frank Junior Adjei
- FW: Victor Lind, Paulos Abraham, Montader Madjed
Hammarby’s 4-3-3 setup has been their go-to formation. Warner Hahn is the established number one. The back four largely picks itself, with Franck Winther contributing a goal and Persson also on the scoresheet recently. In the engine room, Amin Boudri leads on assists with two, and Markus Karlsson is the anchor with five interceptions across four games. Up front, Paulos Abraham leads with three goals, Victor Lind adds goals and creativity, and Madjed provides width and movement. This is a well-balanced attacking unit with multiple goal threats.
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Hammarby. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
TipsGG Match Prediction
Hammarby are in a different class to Orgryte right now. The 8-1 head-to-head result from earlier this season was not a fluke. Hammarby’s passing accuracy, shot volume (89 shots across five matches versus Orgryte’s 50), and goal output all point to a visitor who will dominate this match from start to finish. Orgryte have conceded 35 goals in 16 league games and have struggled to keep matches competitive even against mid-table sides.
We predict a Hammarby win with over 2.5 goals in the match. Hammarby to score in both halves is our hot tip, given their consistent attacking output and Orgryte’s inability to shut games down. To be honest, the only uncertainty here is the margin of victory, not the result itself.
