Ordabasy vs Torpedo Kutaisi Prediction: 17.07.2025 UEFA Europa Conference League

There’s something quietly intriguing about this first qualifying round clash in the UEFA Europa Conference League: Ordabasy, seasoned campaigners with recent continental experience, meet a Torpedo Kutaisi side buoyed by a prolific start to their European season. The Kazakh hosts will look to overturn a thrilling 3-4 first-leg defeat, putting local pride and tactical nous on the line against the Georgian visitors. With both attacks firing and vulnerabilities in defence on display last time out, expect more drama beneath the Shymkent sky on 17 July.

Keep an eye on the lively Luka Imnadze for Ordabasy, whose knack for finding space in the box has already paid dividends, and Bjorn Johnsen for Torpedo Kutaisi, the Norwegian centre-forward who bagged four goals in his last two matches and looks primed to trouble the hosts’ back three. These two may well define the rhythm and complexion of the return fixture, while their teammates battle to make their mark on the continental stage.

Hot stat: Torpedo Kutaisi scored eight goals across their last five matches, the highest tally in this draw not bad for a side renowned more for resolve than attacking spectacle!

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Ordabasy vs Torpedo Kutaisi prediction

This second leg is beautifully poised after Torpedo Kutaisi’s wild 4-3 win in Georgia a testament to prevailing attacking instincts over defensive rigidity. The numbers tilt slightly towards Ordabasy, with a slight home differential and bookmakers installing them as 50 percent favourites. But football’s not played on spreadsheets, is it?

The best value here lies in backing “Both Teams To Score” (BTTS – Yes), with the fluidity and confidence of both frontlines making another high-scoring contest feel likely. Ordabasy possess the territorial edge and a slightly superior ball retention rate, but their 10 yellow cards in five matches and three corner kicks per game suggest a willingness to play on the edge and pile bodies forward, sometimes at the expense of defensive shape. Torpedo, meanwhile, favour transitions, as evidenced by fewer corners won (just one per match on average) and only seven yellow cards yet, they’ve compensated with clinical finishing and strong performances from Johnsen and Felipe Pires (four assists in two games).

It’d be foolish to ignore the impact of foul counts: Ordabasy are tenacious in the press but prone to risky challenges, which may open the door for Torpedo’s swift counterpunch. This match could come down to who manages their discipline and capitalises on set-piece chaos expect minimal midfield rest, as both chase progression in the competition.

Team Analysis

Ordabasy:
Trailing after a seven-goal spectacle in the first leg (3-4 defeat in Kutaisi), Andrei Martin’s side will need to balance intent with caution. Their previous form has been patchy two wins, two draws and a single loss in their last five. Most recently, they ground out a gritty 1-0 win over FC Astana, displaying far more control and defensive poise than in their Conference League outing, with Sagadat Tursynbay once again contributing in both boxes. However, the first-leg collapse against Torpedo does highlight vulnerabilities, particularly to quick breaks and set-pieces. Martin’s persistent use of a 3-5-2 asks much of his wing-backs both in transition and in tracking opposition wide play.

Torpedo Kutaisi:
Dirk Schuster could not dream of a better statement, as his side tallied four in front of their home crowd to seize the aggregate lead. They followed that with a 3-2 win over Iberia, showcasing attacking fluency with Bjorn Johnsen and Felipe Pires starring. Their only stumble came recently in a 3-4 defeat to Spaeri, but Kvirkvelia’s disciplined marshalling and Pires’ creativity mean Torpedo have the necessary blend to trouble any back line. Their default 5-3-2 system has lent defensive stability, though their five-match defensive record 12 corners conceded and just seven yellow cards suggests an eagerness to cede some territory in exchange for devastating transitions.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Ordabasy vs Torpedo Kutaisi stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Ordabasy the favourite

• Moneyline Ordabasy 1.91–1.86 | Torpedo Kutaisi 3.60–4.08
• Draw 3.41–3.90
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.67 | Under 2.5 2.05
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.65 | No 2.10

The odds clearly have Ordabasy installed as favourites, primarily due to home advantage and a superior global ranking. However, Torpedo’s clinical edge and powerful recent away form narrow the margin more than the bookmakers suggest. A bet on BTTS or Asian Handicap Torpedo Kutaisi (+1) offers compelling value given both teams’ attacking outputs and recent propensity for open, end-to-end football.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Ordabasy possible starting eleven

This line-up reflects Andrei Martin’s typical 3-5-2. Tursynbay and Imnadze bring both attacking threat and transitional balance; Căpățână is key for his late runs and eye for a crucial pass, while Celeadnic remains a steadying presence in goal. There’s enough firepower and midfield muscle to overwhelm Torpedo’s wing-backs, as long as defensive focus doesn’t stray.

Torpedo Kutaisi possible starting eleven

Schuster’s 5-3-2 pivots on the imperious form of Johnsen up front, ably supported by the inventive Pires. Kvirkvelia anchors a disciplined line, and Nadaraia provides grit. The wing-back system may allow Torpedo to soak up pressure and strike on the counter, with Simic’s eye for a set piece and Itrak’s ability to break lines.

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The Verdict

Ordabasy remain favourites on paper, yet Torpedo Kutaisi’s recent attacking form is impossible to ignore. If the hosts can tighten their defensive transitions and limit Johnsen and Pires’ space, they will have every chance. Still, with both side’s strengths tilted towards firepower and last week’s seven-goal thriller fresh in memory, another blockbuster evening feels likely.
Main pick: Both Teams To Score (Yes) and Over 2.5 Goals there’s just too much attacking intent and defensive volatility on both sides for a drab affair.
If you’re leaning towards a result, consider Torpedo Kutaisi on Asian Handicap (+1), as their counter-attacking calibre can keep things tight and nervy for the home crowd.

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