Sofia Quijada
The upcoming clash between Once Caldas and La Equidad on April 17, 2025, is set to be a crucial encounter in the Apertura phase of Colombia’s Primera A. With both teams striving for a higher position in the standings, the match holds significant importance, especially for Once Caldas, who are aiming to break into the top tier of the league. La Equidad, while struggling at the lower end of the table, will look to turn their fortunes around with a resilient performance.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Primera A 2025 |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estadio Palogrande, Manizales |
| 🗓️ Date: | 17.04.2025 |
| ⏰ Time: | 00:10 CEST |
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Once Caldas vs La Equidad prediction
The prediction for the Once Caldas vs La Equidad match leans heavily towards a victory for Once Caldas. Given their superior form and home advantage, they are well-positioned to secure a win. Once Caldas have demonstrated greater consistency and attacking prowess in their recent performances, indicated by their 53% win rate this year. Meanwhile, La Equidad have struggled with an 8% win rate, making it challenging to envision them overcoming the odds at Estadio Palogrande.
Once Caldas have shown a balanced approach with a 4-2-3-1 formation, focusing on both defense and attack, while La Equidad’s similar formation has not yielded the desired results, as reflected in their recent statistics. Once Caldas’ disciplined approach results in fewer fouls and higher ball possession, which could be decisive in dictating the game’s pace.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Once Caldas Asian Handicap -1 |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 10 |
Team Analysis
Once Caldas come into this match following a goalless draw against Boyaca Chico, a match marked by defensive resilience. Prior to this, they secured a commanding 2-0 victory over U. Espanola, showcasing their attacking potential. Their recent form reads as robust, with key victories and strategic gameplay from their midfield, led by Esteban Beltran and Alejandro García.
La Equidad’s recent form has been less promising, with a narrow 2-1 victory over Santa Fe breaking a string of losses. They have often struggled to capitalize on goal-scoring opportunities, as seen in their 1-3 defeat against Deportivo Cali. Ayron Del Valle remains a crucial figure up front, but consistent support from the midfield remains an issue.
Most recent H2Hs: Once Caldas dominates
| Statistic | Once Caldas | La Equidad |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 6 | 4 |
| Total shots | 77 | 61 |
| Free kicks | 32 | 30 |
| Corner kicks | 32 | 30 |
| Total fouls | 59 | 50 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 78 | 78 |
| Interceptions | 36 | 20 |
| Offsides | 11 | 6 |
🚨Read our full Once Caldas vs La Equidad stats for more analysis.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Once Caldas the favourite
| Moneyline | Once Caldas 1.65 | La Equidad 5.60 | |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 3.45 | |
| Over/Under | Over 2.5 1.90 | Under 2.5 1.80 | |
| BTTS (both teams to score) | Yes 1.85 | No 2.10 | |
The odds reflect Once Caldas’ strong form at home and their higher standing in the league. They are the bookmakers’ favorite to win, with a 55% implied probability. The odds for both teams to score suggest that La Equidad could find the net, but their defensive vulnerabilities might leave them exposed.
You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.
Key Players to Watch
For Once Caldas, Dayro Moreno is a forward to watch, having scored three times in recent matches. His prowess in the final third could prove pivotal. On the other side, La Equidad will rely on Ayron Del Valle, who has been their most consistent attacking threat, looking to breach the Once Caldas defense.
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La Equidad. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo.
Possible Starting Lineups
Once Caldas possible starting eleven
- GK: James Aguirre
- DF: Jorge Cardona, Juan Patiño, Juan Cuesta, Jerson Malagon
- MF: Esteban Beltran, Alejandro García, Iván Rojas, Mateo Garcia Rojas
- FW: Dayro Moreno, Luis Palacios
Once Caldas will likely maintain their strategic 4-2-3-1 formation with James Aguirre providing solidity at goal. Dayro Moreno’s presence in the attack is crucial, given his recent form.
La Equidad possible starting eleven
- GK: Andres Perez
- DF: Andres Correa, Amaury Torralvo, Guillermo Tegue, Brayan Montano
- MF: Santiago Orozco, Santiago López, D. Polanco
- FW: Ayron Del Valle, Renan Abner, B. Castro
La Equidad will likely field a 4-2-3-1 formation, with Ayron Del Valle spearheading their attack. The team’s defensive solidity will be key to containing Once Caldas’ forwards.
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The Verdict
Once Caldas are the favorites for this matchup, given their home advantage and superior form. Our main pick is for Once Caldas to secure a victory, potentially with a comfortable margin, as they exploit La Equidad’s defensive weaknesses. With pivotal players like Dayro Moreno in form, expect a dynamic attacking display from the home side.
