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Olympiacos vs Panathinaikos Prediction: 08.02.2026 Super League

07.02.2026, 12:59

The Greek footballing calendar marks another epic chapter in the Olympiacos vs Panathinaikos rivalry as the two giants face off at Karaiskakis Stadium. Olympiacos currently top the Super League with a commanding win rate and excellent form, while Panathinaikos enter the match with less consistency but a legacy for staging surprises on big occasions. With both teams known for tight defenses and ambitious attacking schemes, this derby is not only a battle for points but for bragging rights that echo through Greek football history.

Key players to watch for Olympiacos include the prolific Mehdi Taremi up front, who has racked up three goals in his last five appearances, and creator-in-chief Daniel Podence, who adds dynamic playmaking in the midfield. For Panathinaikos, Anass Zaroury’s threat from the wing is undeniable, while Sverrir Ingi Ingason anchors the defense with composure and experience. These individuals are certain to influence the outcome in a fixture where every detail matters.

Olympiacos’s “hot stat” is their stingy defensive record—just nine goals conceded in 19 league matches this season, making them the best backline in the competition and laying the foundation for their league leadership.

14:00Finished08.02.2026
🏆 Tournament: Super League 1 2025/26 (Regular Season, Greece)
🏟 Venue: Karaiskakis Stadium, Piraeus
🗓️ Date: 08.02.2026
⏰ Time: 21:00 CEST

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Olympiacos vs Panathinaikos prediction

The best value prediction for this derby leans sharply towards Olympiacos, who enter as clear favorites. Their recent run—winning five of their last seven and holding an impressive 71% win rate in the last 30 days—reflects both resilience and fluency across all lines. With a disciplined yet aggressive philosophy under José Luis Mendilibar, Olympiacos combine high pressing and methodical build-up play.

Panathinaikos, on the other hand, have struggled for rhythm with only three wins in their last eight. Under Rafael Benítez, their approach focuses on defensive solidity and patient possession, but offensive productivity has lagged, as reflected by five goals in the last five matches.

On-the-pitch stats reinforce these trends. Olympiacos average 1.8 goals per match and have amassed just 11 yellow cards in their previous five, balancing aggression with control. Panathinaikos clock slightly fewer fouls but also create less up front. Olympiacos’s higher interception and shot totals speak to a proactive outlook, while both teams’ solid pass accuracy (Olympiacos 72%, Panathinaikos 70%) ensures efficient circulation in midfield. Disciplinary records are clean—both sides boast zero red cards in their latest outings.

🔥Hot Tip: Olympiacos -1.0 Asian Handicap
⚽Total Goals: Under 2.5
💥Both Teams To Score: No
🎯Total Corners: Over 8.5

Team Analysis

Olympiacos come off a commanding 3-0 home win over Asteras Tripolis, underscoring their mastery at both ends. Taremi’s clinical finishing and Gelson Martins’ ability to stretch defenses were standout features, while the defense remained unbreached thanks to sure-handed goalkeeping by Tzolakis and the leadership of Giulian Biancone. Looking further back, their only recent blemish was a stalemate against title contender AEK Athens, demonstrating their competitiveness even against the league’s best.

11:30Finished04.02.2026

Panathinaikos’ form paints a different picture. Their most recent match ended in a narrow 0-1 defeat to PAOK—a game marked by wasteful finishing and defensive lapses, despite controlling possession for large periods. Earlier, a 3-0 triumph over Kifisia showed flashes of their attacking prowess, especially from Vicente Taborda and Karol Świderski, but consistency across games remains elusive.

13:30Finished04.02.2026
1PAOKGreece

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

Statistic Olympiacos Panathinaikos
Goals 9 5
Total shots 65 52
Free kicks 27 22
Corner kicks 27 22
Total fouls 72 70
Pass accuracy (%) 72 70
Interceptions 57 43
Offsides 10 9

🚨Read our full Olympiacos vs Panathinaikos stats for more analysis.

Panathinaikos. Source: Official Website

Panathinaikos. Source: Official Website

Pre-game odds and win probability: Olympiacos the favourite

  • Moneyline Olympiacos 1.50 | Panathinaikos 6.00
  • Draw 4.00
  • Over/Under Over 2.5 2.12 | Under 2.5 1.74
  • BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.15 | No 1.60

Bookmakers notably favor Olympiacos, reflecting the 62 percent win probability with odds clustering around 1.50. The draw (4.00) remains a remote possibility, considering Olympiacos’ commanding home form. Panathinaikos have struggled in recent top-flight encounters, justifying their long odds. With defenses in focus and recent meetings trending towards fewer goals, the under 2.5 market holds value, while both teams to score ‘No’ is supported by Olympiacos’s recent clean sheets and Panathinaikos’ limited attacking returns.

You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.

Possible Starting Lineups

Olympiacos possible starting eleven

  • GK: Konstantinos Tzolakis
  • DF: Rodinei, Giulian Biancone, Panagiotis Retsos, Francisco Ortega
  • MF: Santiago Hezze, Chiquinho, Daniel Podence, Dani García, Lorenzo Scipioni
  • FW: Mehdi Taremi

This projected XI relies on the proven 4-2-3-1 set-up that has yielded both defensive solidity and attacking flair of late. Tzolakis’s consistency in goal offers security, while a blend of youth and experience in defense shields against swift counters. Hezze and Podence provide creativity and bite in midfield, with Taremi’s conversion rate giving Olympiacos a true edge. Gelson Martins’ pace off the bench could also be decisive if required.

Panathinaikos possible starting eleven

  • GK: Alban Lafont
  • DF: Giorgos Kyriakopoulos, Sverrir Ingi Ingason, Erik Palmer-Brown, Davide Calabria
  • MF: Anastasios Bakasetas, Renato Sanches, Manolis Siopis, Adam Gnezda Čerin
  • FW: Anass Zaroury, Karol Świderski

Panathinaikos are likely to stick with a 4-2-3-1 formation as well, prioritizing stability across the back line with Ingason as the defensive lynchpin. Bakasetas can orchestrate from deep, while Zaroury and Świderski offer dynamism in attack. The squad lacks recent synergy, but if they can control the midfield, Panathinaikos always have the tools to frustrate stronger sides.

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Olympiacos. Source: Official Website

Olympiacos. Source: Official Website


My take on the Match

My main pick for this fierce derby is an Olympiacos win (Moneyline), with extra value in the -1 Asian Handicap market. The hosts combine defensive structure and attacking sharpness that Panathinaikos have not consistently matched this season. Yet, as always in this rivalry, expect Panathinaikos to fight for every blade of grass and keep the scoreline tighter than the odds might suggest. Olympiacos’s superiority in form and squad depth makes them the logical, evidence-backed selection for both outright and handicap markets.

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