Arjun Menon
The Super League 1 clash between Olympiacos and Aris Thessaloniki on 01 November 2025 at Karaiskakis Stadium, Piraeus, sets up a meeting of two sides shaping the upper echelons of Greek football. Olympiacos are off to a strong start and currently sit second in the table, just one point off the summit, while Aris are in the top six but have struggled for consistency. Notably, both sides favour a 4-2-3-1 formation, promising an intriguing tactical battle. The spotlight will be on two key players: Ayoub El Kaabi, Olympiacos’ in-form striker with 4 goals in his last 4 matches, and Monchu, Aris’s industrious midfielder who influences both ends of the pitch. A standout stat here is Olympiacos’ potent attack at home—scoring 18 goals in 8 matches, the highest in the league so far.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Super League 1 2025/26 Regular Season (Greece) |
| 🏟 Venue: | Karaiskakis Stadium, Piraeus |
| 🗓️ Date: | 01.11.2025 |
| ⏰ Time: | 20:00 CEST |
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Olympiacos vs Aris Thessaloniki prediction
The best value prediction for this match is Olympiacos to win with an Asian Handicap of -1. Olympiacos have demonstrated a dominant home performance all season, boasting a high goal count and a solid winning percentage. Their robust defensive record (just 5 goals conceded in 8 matches) complements their attacking threat, making them favourites against an Aris side that has managed just 2 goals in their last five matches and has struggled for rhythm on the road.
Both teams tend to play with intensity—Olympiacos’ average of almost 11 fouls per recent match and 9 yellow cards in the last five highlights their aggression. Aris, while more conservative with cards, still racks up over 10 fouls per game and only 4 yellows in the same span, reflecting a disciplined, but at times, less combative approach. Olympiacos’s greater possession—evident from over 1000 accurate passes in the last five—is likely to translate into sustained pressure. Expect Olympiacos to command the tempo and create more set-piece opportunities.
Given both teams’ defensive approaches and Aris’s limited goal output, a low-scoring game is probable, further supported by high pass accuracies and modest shot counts.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Olympiacos -1 Asian Handicap |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Under 10.5 |
Team Analysis
Olympiacos recent games: The Reds arrive off the back of a resounding 5-0 win over Volos, a testament to their attacking depth and clinical finishing. Prior to that, they secured a confident 2-0 victory over AEK Athens but suffered a heavy 1-6 defeat to Barcelona—an outlier against top European opposition. In Super League 1 play, their consistency is key: six wins in eight, with just a single loss, and an impressive +13 goal difference.
Aris Thessaloniki recent games: Aris’s last outing was a morale-boosting 3-1 win over PAE Egaleo, but that followed three consecutive draws and a humbling 0-3 home loss to OFI Crete. Their league form is patchy: three wins, three draws, and two losses, with a -1 goal difference. The side has shown flashes of cohesion but often struggles to sustain attacking momentum, as seen by their two goals across the last five matches.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Olympiacos | Aris Thessaloniki |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3 | 3 |
| Total shots | 18 | 17 |
| Free kicks | 22 | 21 |
| Corner kicks | 12 | 8 |
| Total fouls | 18 | 19 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 81 | 78 |
| Interceptions | 20 | 18 |
| Offsides | 3 | 2 |
🚨Read our full Olympiacos vs Aris Thessaloniki stats for more analysis.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Olympiacos the favourite
- Moneyline Olympiacos 1.30 | Aris Thessaloniki 9.70
- Draw 4.70
- Over/Under Over 2.5 2.07 | Under 2.5 1.80
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.41 | No 1.52
Given Olympiacos’ commanding home record and Aris’s attacking struggles, bookmakers justifiably rate Olympiacos as strong favourites. Odds just above 1.30 for the home win show market expectation of dominance, while the large gap between the teams in outright pricing underscores the difference in form and firepower. The low odds on ‘no’ for BTTS and Under 2.5 further highlight market belief in Olympiacos seeing this through with defensive solidity.
You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.
Possible Starting Lineups
Olympiacos possible starting eleven
- GK: Konstantinos Tzolakis
- DF: Costinha, Lorenzo Pirola, Panagiotis Retsos, Francisco Ortega
- MF: Santiago Hezze, Dani García, Chiquinho, Daniel Podence
- FW: Ayoub El Kaabi, Mehdi Taremi
This setup leans towards Olympiacos’s tried-and-tested 4-2-3-1, with Tzolakis starting between the posts for consistency. The backline features Pirola and Retsos for stability and buildup play, while Costinha and Ortega provide width. Hezze and García offer defensive and creative balance in midfield. Chiquinho and Podence control playmaking, and all eyes are on El Kaabi—currently in red-hot form—paired with the experienced Taremi up top. Expect Olympiacos to build attacks down the flanks and exploit Aris’s tendency to allow space behind their midfield.
Aris Thessaloniki possible starting eleven
- GK: Sokratis Dioudis
- DF: Álvaro Tejero, Lindsay Rose, Pedro Alvaro, Noah Sonko Sundberg
- MF: Monchu, Konstantinos Galanopoulos, Fredrik Jensen, Giannis Gianniotas
- FW: Loren Morón, Anastasios Donis
Aris should stick to their own 4-2-3-1, with Dioudis, their most reliable shot-stopper, repelling Olympiacos’s attacking waves. Tejero and Rose anchor the defence, joined by Alvaro and Sonko Sundberg, whose passing and aerial ability could be pivotal. In midfield, Monchu orchestrates while Galanopoulos and Jensen add graft and distribution. Up front, Gianniotas provides width, and Loren Morón leads the line supported by Donis’s pace. If Aris are to penetrate Olympiacos’s defence, expect Monchu and Donis to be instrumental in transitions.
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Aris Thessaloniki. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
The Verdict
My main pick is Olympiacos to win comfortably, likely with a margin of two goals or more. Their home form remains unmatched, and El Kaabi’s scoring touch makes them the side to back. While Aris can defend resolutely, recent results and limited attacking output indicate they will struggle to breach Olympiacos’s backline. I expect a largely one-sided contest, with Olympiacos controlling possession and capitalizing on set pieces, while Aris may look to counter but find few clear opportunities.
