Olimpia Asuncion vs Audax Italiano Prediction: 28.05.2026 Copa Sudamericana

Group G in Copa Sudamericana heats up as Olimpia Asuncion welcomes Audax Italiano at Estadio Defensores del Chaco. Both clubs still have everything to play for: Olimpia, the group leader, seeks to secure top spot while Audax Italiano can shake up qualification with a statement result. Gustavo Lema’s side, though underdogs, travel after an inconsistent run but with some attacking spark. Olimpia’s front line remains dangerous, with Hugo Sandoval emerging as a key goal threat. For Audax, Michael Fuentes stands out with both goals and pressing intensity, likely to test Olimpia’s back line.

Hot stat: Olimpia have scored 10 goals in their last five games—highest in the group—demonstrating a consistent attacking output.

Olimpia Asuncion vs Audax Italiano prediction

We predict Olimpia Asuncion to win. Their sharper attack, proven by a recent run of 10 goals in five matches, sets them apart. Their home form, paired with a 62% win rate this year and a solid defense that rarely concedes more than one goal, points to a controlled performance. Audax Italiano’s defensive gaps and lower pass accuracy (just 74.6% in last five games, versus Olimpia’s 85.6%) will likely leave them chasing the ball and vulnerable on transitions. Olimpia’s pressing in midfield, led by Alan Rodríguez and the energy of Hugo Sandoval up front, should dictate tempo and force mistakes.

Style-wise, expect physical duels and frequent stoppages. Both teams average over 10 fouls per match, with Audax committing even more (62 fouls in last five games) and collecting more cards. This suggests a choppy rhythm, with Olimpia’s better ball retention giving them the edge in controlling the flow. Corners may favor Olimpia (35 in last five vs Audax’s 21), adding another angle for set-piece threats.

Team Analysis

Olimpia Asuncion’s most recent fixtures show consistency. Against Sportivo Luqueno, they secured a 2-1 win, following up their earlier 3-1 success over Vasco. Their attack looks efficient, with five different players contributing goals in the last five games. Sandoval and Ferreira are reliable up top, supported by midfield runs from Juan Fernando Alfaro. Defensively, they allow some pressure but manage to absorb and counter effectively. Their only slip came against San Lorenzo (0-1), when chance creation was lacking.

Audax Italiano’s recent form is less convincing: two wins from their last eight. Their last outing, a 2-0 victory over Barracas Central, offered some respite, powered by Michael Fuentes and Ignacio Fuenzalida’s movement. Defensive lapses remain a problem—evident in the 0-3 loss to Coquimbo and the 1-2 defeat to Vasco. Their midfield, led by Marco Collao Ramos, struggles to maintain control under pressing, leading to turnovers and exposed defenders.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Check out our dedicated Olimpia Asuncion vs Audax Italiano stats page for more info.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Olimpia Asuncion the favourite

• Moneyline Olimpia Asuncion 1.62 | Audax Italiano 5.25
• Draw 4.06
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.90 | Under 2.5 1.85
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.10 | No 1.65

Olimpia Asuncion stands out as clear favorite with a win probability near 58%. Audax’s long odds reflect their recent inconsistency and lack of away success. Draws remain possible given both teams’ defensive errors, but Olimpia’s superior goal output and home advantage tip the balance. Over/Under lines are close, with our analysis leaning toward a high-scoring encounter, given both attacks’ output and defensive frailties. BTTS value is attractive—both sides create chances and show lapses at the back.

Possible Starting Lineups

Olimpia Asuncion possible starting eleven

Olveira remains a safe pair of hands in goal. The defense features Bentaberry’s passing, Cáceres’s width, and Vera’s composure. In midfield, Rodríguez offers control, Alfaro provides box-to-box running, and Benitez Farina brings creative passing. Zayas and Quintana inject energy and quick transitions. Sandoval, in form, leads the line. The 4-1-4-1 setup maximizes midfield control while supporting wide attacks—expect Sandoval and Quintana to exploit Audax’s gaps.

Audax Italiano possible starting eleven

Ahumada anchors the back, with Ferrario and Ortíz marshalling centrally, Rojas and Matus on the flanks. Collao Ramos screens the defense, while Zenteno and Loyola focus on breaking lines and ball recovery. Sandoval and Monreal provide wide support, Fuentes drives the attack. Audax also line up in a 4-1-4-1, but their midfield lacks Olimpia’s control and pass completion. Fuentes’s pressing and pace could trouble Olimpia’s center-backs, but support must arrive from midfielders breaking forward.

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TipsGG Match Prediction

We predict Olimpia Asuncion to win in a match likely to feature plenty of attacking moments and set-piece opportunities. Olimpia’s scoring rate and control at home, combined with Audax’s defensive fragility and frequent fouls, point toward a match with multiple goals. Both teams should get on the scoresheet, but Olimpia’s superior passing and finishing make them the safer pick for all punters.

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