As Copa Chile 2025 enters its Round of 16, a compelling encounter awaits at the Estadio Nelson Oyarzún in Chillan, where Nublense will host Magallanes on July 2nd with the match kicking off at 02:00 CEST. Both teams, guided by experienced coaches Ronald Fuentes (Nublense) and Ivo Basay (Magallanes), are eager to progress in a tournament that carries immense historical prestige within Chilean football culture. The venue, renowned for its vibrant fan atmosphere and challenging conditions for visiting teams, sets the stage for an evening where tactical discipline and player composure will likely determine the outcome. All figures point to a tightly contested affair, as both sides have experienced mixed form heading into this pivotal match.
Among the players, Nublense’s Matías Plaza stands out after scoring two crucial goals in recent matches, while for Magallanes, Tomás Aránguiz’s presence in midfield, with both goals for his side in their past five appearances, will be instrumental in pivoting the team’s forward play. Both are expected to bring an extra edge in a fixture historically balanced and with high tactical stakes.
A standout stat heading into the clash is Nublense’s attacking output—having generated 63 total shots in their last five matches, nearly 50% more than Magallanes in the same period, underlining their proactive style under pressure.
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Nublense vs Magallanes predictions
Me best bet: Nublense to win.
Nublense arrive as clear favorites, supported both by bookmakers and historical form at home, while Magallanes continue to struggle to find a cutting edge away from home. Statistically, Nublense have not only demonstrated superior shooting volume but have secured a vital win against Huachipato and a hard-fought draw against Cobresal in their recent run. With Magallanes managing just two goals and failing to win any of their previous five outings, the rationale firmly supports backing the home team, especially given Magallanes’ challenge in converting draws into victories.
Examining both sides’ playing styles, Nublense operate in a structured 4-3-3, blending aggressive pressing—reflected by their high shot count and 16 interceptions in five games—while also conceding an average of over three fouls per match, which could open opportunities for set pieces. Magallanes, also favoring a 4-3-3, tend to play conservatively, as evidenced by a low goal return and a heavy focus on drawing fouls (two red cards in five games), suggesting a game plan discipline but vulnerability under persistent pressure. Nublense’s technical superiority in passing accuracy (over 79%) could be decisive, allowing them to control possession and gradually break down a disciplined but limited Magallanes defense.
- ⚽Total Goals: Under 2.5
- 💥Both Teams To Score: No
- 🎯Total Corners: Over 8.5
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Nublense vs Magallanes Most recent H2Hs
| Statistic | Nublense | Magallanes |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1 |
| Total shots | 11 | 6 |
| Free kicks | 14 | 13 |
| Corner kicks | 7 | 5 |
| Total fouls | 9 | 13 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 77 | 68 |
| Interceptions | 3 | 2 |
| Offsides | 1 | 2 |
Previous encounters between Nublense and Magallanes have been, by every statistical measure, tightly fought affairs. The last three head-to-heads in Copa Chile yielded draws in two games (both 1-1) and a narrow Nublense win (2-1). While Nublense tend to edge possession and create more, matches are regularly decided by moments of set piece quality or defensive lapses, suggesting another low-scoring contest is on the cards unless attacking efficiency unexpectedly spikes.
🚨Read our full Nublense vs Magallanes stats for more analysis.
Key Stats
- Nublense have fired 63 shots in their last five matches, triple the goal output of Magallanes (2 goals vs. Nublense’s 6).
- Magallanes are currently on a nine-match winless run in all competitions.
- Both teams have averaged less than 1.5 goals per match across their last three meetings.
- Nublense maintain a pass accuracy above 77% in H2H meetings, compared to Magallanes’ 68%.
- Magallanes have received two red cards in their last five games, indicating discipline and fatigue issues.
Nublense vs Magallanes score prediction: 1-0
Given recent form and previous meetings, the most probable outcome is a narrow Nublense victory by a single goal. Expect midfielders like Matías Plaza to capitalize on shooting opportunities, and defenders like Pablo Calderón to anchor a disciplined defensive line. Magallanes’ persistent attacking struggles and inability to break down organized defenses make a clean sheet for Nublense likely.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Nublense the favourite
| Moneyline | Nublense 1.70 | Magallanes 4.90 | |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 3.70 | |
| Over/Under | Over 2.5 2.10 | Under 2.5 1.70 | |
| BTTS (both teams to score) | Yes 2.25 | No 1.62 | |
Bookmakers give Nublense a win probability of 55%. The short price on the home side is justified considering their offensive momentum and Magallanes’ protracted slump. Markets price Under 2.5 goals as more likely, reflecting both teams’ recent inefficiency in front of goal and the defensive nature of recent Copa Chile fixtures at this stage. The odds for BTTS ‘No’ are similarly favored, highlighting Magallanes’ blunt attack and Nublense’s defensive consistency at home.
Nublense vs Magallanes Over/Under Analysis
- 4 of the last 5 matches for both teams have seen under 2.5 goals scored.
- Both sides drew 1-1 in their previous head-to-head, mirroring their weak finishing.
- Corner kick totals are consistently high: expect another 9+ corner match.
Nublense Preview
Nublense’s recent campaign has been one of gradual improvement amidst adversity. Last time out, they earned a 1-1 draw against Cobresal, showcasing resilience against a side who had previously gone unbeaten in six. Earlier, an encouraging 1-0 win over Huachipato broke a disappointing run, though defensive lapses still linger as evidenced by a 2-3 loss to Audax Italiano. Offensively, Nublense’s creative axis hinges on Matías Plaza and Patricio Rubio, while midfield discipline has been reinforced by Lorenzo Reyes’ composure. The side’s major concern is limited goal conversion despite clear chances—a factor that could impact them if they fail to assert early control.
Nublense possible starting eleven

- GK: Nicola Pérez
- DF: Bernardo Cerezo, Jovany Campusano, Osvaldo Bosso, Pablo Calderón
- MF: Lorenzo Reyes, Federico Mateos, Matías Plaza
- FW: Patricio Rubio, Pedro Sánchez, Gonzalo Sosa
Magallanes Preview
Magallanes are in the midst of a transitional period, frustrated by their inability to win games and hampered by attacking bluntness. Their last three fixtures have each ended in a draw or loss, failing to score against both Santiago Wanderers and Santiago Morning. The only recent bright spot was Tomás Aránguiz’s two-goal burst over the last five appearances, but with negligible shot volume and a defensive approach, offensive breakthroughs have been rare. Coach Ivo Basay may seek to strengthen the midfield structure, hoping to frustrate Nublense and seize on set piece opportunities, a strategy suited for knockout football but risky if they fall behind early.
Magallanes possible starting eleven

- GK: Gastón Rodríguez
- DF: Bruno Adriel Valdez, Alonso Walters, César Cortés, Felipe Espinoza
- MF: Tomás Aránguiz, Mauricio Morales, César Valenzuela
- FW: Franco Ortega, Gastón Lezcano, Carlos Muñoz
Our prediction: Who Wins?
As TipsGG analysts, we see Nublense as the stronger candidate for advancement. Statistically, their 55% win probability is grounded in superior shot creation, home advantage at Estadio Nelson Oyarzún, and greater squad depth. Magallanes’ inability to turn draws into wins, compounded by poor discipline, limits their upset potential. The AI prediction engine confidently assigns Nublense a 57% likely victory, Magallanes just 20%, with a 23% chance of a draw. Expect a one-goal margin, reflecting the consistency of this fixture’s tense, low-scoring trend.
How to watch Nublense vs Magallanes
- When? July 2, 2025. Kick-off at 02:00 CEST.
- Where? Estadio Nelson Oyarzún, Chillan.
- How to watch: Chilean broadcaster CDF, local streaming platforms, or international online sports streams (check regional availability).
- Favorite: Nublense

Magallanes. Source: Official Website
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