Novorizontino vs Nautico Prediction: 15 June 2026 Campeonato Brasileiro Série B

Novorizontino host Nautico at the Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biase stadium in Novo Horizonte in a mid-table Série B clash that carries genuine weight for both sides. Novorizontino sit 5th on 20 points, with a consistent draw record (five in twelve games) holding them back from a top-four charge. Nautico are one point behind in 7th, but their win rate of 61% across 2026 tells a different story from their current position. Striker Robson has scored 2 goals in 3 recent appearances for Novorizontino and leads their attacking threat, while Nautico’s wide forward Victor Andrade, with an assist and consistent ball progression from the right flank, is the most dangerous creative outlet for the visitors.

Hot stat: Nautico scored 6 goals in a single match against Operario PR and 4 against America MG in their last five games, posting 78 total shots across that span, nearly double Novorizontino’s 39.

Novorizontino vs Nautico Prediction

Novorizontino’s home form has been solid enough, and their 4-0 win over Goias in their most recent match shows they can be clinical. Nautico, though, arrive with real firepower and a dangerous shot volume. The bookmakers price Novorizontino as marginal favorites at home, and we agree that a home win is the most likely single outcome, but this is not a dominant-favorite scenario. Nautico’s attacking output across five matches (78 shots, 30 corners) suggests they will generate pressure, and their high foul count (59) points to a physical, contested style.

Novorizontino play a structured 4-2-3-1 and show controlled possession, with 884 passes and a 77.7% accuracy rate across five matches. They commit fouls at a moderate rate (41 total) and pick up relatively few yellow cards (4). Nautico are more aggressive, racking up 10 yellow cards and 59 fouls, which means referee decisions and set pieces will feature. Both teams’ formations are identical, so the tactical battle will come down to pressing intensity and transitions. Given Nautico’s shot volume and Novorizontino’s ability to score in bunches at home, goals from both sides are likely.

Team Analysis

Novorizontino enter this match off the back of a convincing 4-0 home victory over Goias, their best performance of the recent run. Before that, results were mixed: a 1-1 draw with São Bernardo, a 2-2 with Chapecoense, a 2-1 win over Ceará, and a 0-2 loss to Chapecoense. That sequence shows a team capable of strong performances but prone to inconsistency, particularly in midweek scheduling. Their form string (wwdwlldwwdlwddw) reflects a team that draws frequently rather than losing, and their 5W-5D-2L record in the league is a fair reflection of that.

Nautico’s last five games tell a more volatile story. They beat America MG 4-0 and Operario PR 6-2, but sandwiched those results with a 1-0 win over Cuiabá and back-to-back defeats: 0-1 to Fortaleza and 0-2 to Sport Recife. The losses to two top-four sides show they struggle against organized, high-quality opponents. Novorizontino are not in that elite bracket, but they are organized at home. Nautico’s recent form string (wdllwwllwdwwwll) highlights this volatility, and their 6W-1D-5L league record underlines the risk on their end.

Most Recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Check out our dedicated Novorizontino vs Nautico stats page for more info.

Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Novorizontino the Favourite

• Moneyline Novorizontino 2.07 | Nautico 3.57
• Draw 3.12

The average odds across bookmakers place Novorizontino at around 2.07, which reflects their home advantage and recent big win over Goias. Nautico at 3.57 looks generous given their shot volume and 61% win rate across 2026. The draw at 3.12 is priced fairly, but given both teams’ tendencies to produce goals rather than stalemates in their recent outings, backing the draw offers less value here. We see Novorizontino’s home win as the most grounded pick, with BTTS adding value given Nautico’s attacking output.

Possible Starting Lineups

Novorizontino Possible Starting Eleven

Enderson Moreira has been consistent with his 4-2-3-1 shape across the last five matches. Jordi takes the gloves after featuring in three of those games. The defensive unit is anchored by Maykon Kesley and Patrick Marcos, both of whom have logged full minutes across the tracked period. Matheus Henrique Bianqui is the key midfield contributor with a goal and 9 shots from deep, and Juninho adds energy and a goal from the central area. Robson is the standout attacking name, with 2 goals in 3 appearances and 5 shots, making him the focal point of Novorizontino’s attacking structure.

Nautico Possible Starting Eleven

Hélio dos Anjos also deploys a 4-2-3-1, though Nautico’s full defensive lineup is not entirely confirmed from the available data. Luiz Felipe is the most active defender tracked, with 8 fouls and a key assist across three games. Leonai Souza de Almeida anchors the midfield with 98 passes and 4 appearances. Victor Andrade is the attacking player to watch, combining creativity with 5 shots and 7 free kicks earned, making him a consistent threat from wide positions. Derek Freitas Ribeiro provides the most direct goal threat among tracked forwards with 1 goal and 6 shots in 98 minutes.

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TipsGG Match Prediction

We predict a Novorizontino home win in a match that produces goals at both ends. Novorizontino’s 4-0 demolition of Goias shows they can be ruthless at home, and their structured 4-2-3-1 under Enderson Moreira gives them the organizational edge in this fixture. Nautico’s shot volume and corner count (30 in five matches) mean they will create chances, and a clean sheet for the hosts looks unlikely given how open Nautico’s recent games have been. The combination of Novorizontino’s home win with BTTS is, to be honest, the bet that captures both the likely result and the attacking nature of this matchup. Over 2.5 goals also carries real value here, with both teams averaging well above a goal per game in their recent runs.

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