Novorizontino vs Londrina PR Prediction: 23.03.2026 Campeonato Brasileiro Série B

Novorizontino welcomes Londrina PR to the Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biase stadium in Novo Horizonte for what promises to be a pivotal regular season encounter in the 2026 Campeonato Brasileiro Série B. As both teams look to establish early advantage in the new campaign, their contrasting forms and squad depth are under the spotlight. The match pits a Novorizontino side buoyed by a strong home record against a resilient but goal-shy Londrina PR, with both managers, Enderson Moreira and Allan Aal, fine-tuning their lineups for potential promotion pushes. An intriguing subplot emerges from their tactical similarities—both favoring the 4-2-3-1 formation—making central midfield control and transition play the likely battleground.

Among the players to watch, Novorizontino’s playmaker Matheus Henrique Bianqui brings creative spark and has already contributed with a crucial goal in recent outings. For Londrina PR, the versatile midfielder Lucas Marques, despite limited recent minutes, stands out for his tenacity and passing accuracy in midfield—qualities desperately needed for Londrina to break their goal drought.

Hot Stat: Novorizontino have managed 5 goals in their last 5 matches, compared to just 1 for Londrina PR, highlighting a significant offensive gulf as the teams approach this fixture.

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Novorizontino vs Londrina PR prediction

The numbers and recent performances point toward Novorizontino as the clear favorite for this clash. Averaging a 60% win rate this year (9 wins in 15 games) and boasting a more fluid attacking unit, Novorizontino enters this home game with confidence, reinforced by solid recent form and a dangerous midfield. Coach Enderson Moreira is likely to stick to the proven 4-2-3-1 approach, maximizing their pressing and quick transition play.

Londrina PR, on the other hand, have found goals hard to come by (just 1 goal in their last 5), compounded by discipline issues (8 yellow cards, 1 red, and 17 fouls in that stretch). Their structure under Allan Aal remains organized, but the team’s lack of cutting edge and frequent fouls could prove costly in Novo Horizonte. Novorizontino’s robust defending and frequent ball recoveries (25 interceptions, 23 corners in last 5) suggest they will dominate territory and chances on the night.

Given the disparity in attacking firepower and recent discipline trends, the best value lies in backing Novorizontino with an Asian Handicap, anticipating the home team’s dominance in possession and final third entries.

Team Analysis

Novorizontino comes off a well-earned 0-0 draw against Jacuipense, a match dominated by tactical discipline and measured possession (807 completed passes over last 5 games at 69% accuracy). Prior to that, they dispatched Mixto 3-0 and held their own in two tight battles with Paulista giants Palmeiras. Notably, Novorizontino’s recent five matches have seen five different players chip in with goals or assists, underlining a balanced attacking threat and depth. Their defensive shape has absorbed pressure well, with 25 interceptions and only 12 yellow cards—factors that allowed them to control most of their recent fixtures and remain efficient on set pieces (23 corners last 5).

Londrina PR enter this match on the back of a narrow 0-1 home defeat to Operario PR, a match marked by a lack of penetration and attacking ambition. Their last five outings produced only a single goal, with concerns about breaking down organized defenses now growing among the local fanbase. Defensively, however, Londrina has kept things compact, conceding fewer goals but relying heavily on their goalkeeper and producing minimal attacking output (just 17 fouls and 8 yellow cards in last 5, one red). Their transitional play remains stifled by losses of possession and a lack of direct threat, as evidenced by their low shots tally and repeated goalless draws.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Novorizontino vs Londrina PR stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Novorizontino the favourite

• Moneyline Novorizontino 1.57 | Londrina PR 6.20
• Draw 3.60
• Over/Under Over 2.5 2.25 | Under 2.5 1.60
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.30 | No 1.55

The pre-match betting markets heavily favor Novorizontino, with odds averaging 1.57 for the home win and just 6.20 for a Londrina PR upset. Bookmakers’ confidence in Novorizontino stems from their recent solidity and attacking output, while Londrina’s lack of goals and away form keep their odds long. The draw sits at 3.60, with low-scoring expectations reflected in the 1.60 odds for under 2.5 goals—reinforced by both teams’ conservative tendencies. With BTTS ‘No’ offered at just 1.55, the market strongly predicts a Novorizontino win to nil or at most a one-sided contest.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Novorizontino possible starting eleven

Novorizontino’s likely 4-2-3-1 formation gives them structure in the defensive third and width in attack. Key man Matheus Bianqui, slotting into a playmaking role, will link the midfield to the forward line where Robson and Nicolas Morês da Cruz operate as dynamic outlets. Full-backs Patrick Marcos and Castrillón provide valuable support in transitions, with Jordi’s distribution from the back a notable asset. Watch for Robson’s ability to draw fouls and contribute assists, strengthening Novorizontino’s set piece threat.

Londrina PR possible starting eleven

Londrina PR is expected to deploy their familiar 4-2-3-1 as well, focusing on a compact and disciplined back line. Kozlinski’s reliability in goal is vital, while the defensive quartet needs to maintain shape. Midfielders like Lucas Marques and Thalis Cantanhede must regain control in possession to ignite the attack. Gilberto may be tasked with leading the line solo, supported by the creativity of Francisco Vítor and Paulo Roberto Moccelin. The onus will be on breaking their recent goal drought and avoiding costly disciplinary lapses that have hampered their recent outings.

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My take on the Match

Backing Novorizontino for the win stands out as the best bet given their superior form, squad depth, and attacking balance. I expect them to dictate play from midfield, press high, and exploit Londrina’s current attacking struggles. A disciplined Londrina defense may keep the first half tight, but Novorizontino’s collective experience and fluid attack should see them eventually break through. My main pick: Novorizontino to win with a clean sheet, likely by a 2-0 scoreline.

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